Carlos Alcaraz vs Fabian MarozsanPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Carlos Alcaraz and Fabian Marozsan have met 3 times since 2023; Carlos Alcaraz leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome in 2023 on clay. On clay courts they are level 1–1. Alcaraz has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Alcaraz has taken 5 sets to Marozsan's 3. Their most recent meeting: Carlos Alcaraz won at French Open - Paris (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Alcaraz | Marozsan | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Carlos Alcaraz | Fabian Marozsan | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 18/25 | 67% | 14/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 2/5 | 50% | 11/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 9/30 | 42% | 18/43 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 64% | 18/28 | 31% | 8/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 0% | 0/2 | 76% | 13/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 54% | 7/13 | 58% | 14/24 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 95% | 21/22 | 73% | 16/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 82% | 18/22 | 64% | 14/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Alcaraz 1, Marozsan 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alcaraz
👑 The Complete Package
Marozsan
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 53% vs 👑 The Complete Package across 380 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Fabian Marozsan.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the the complete package's elite serve & return.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
May 28, 2025
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 2nd Round
Mar 12, 2024
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 4th Round
May 15, 2023
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 3rd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Alcaraz | Marozsan | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Carlos Alcaraz | Fabian Marozsan | ||
| 1 or more | 92% | 11/12 | 100% | 11/11 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 9/12 | 82% | 9/11 |
| 5 or more | 25% | 3/12 | 46% | 5/11 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 9% | 1/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Alcaraz | Marozsan |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–1 | 6–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.15 | 1.70 |
| ROI % | +4.3% | -24.2% |
| Units P/L | +0.51u | -2.90u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Alcaraz | Marozsan |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 7 | 4 |
| Distance | 7,032 mi · 11,317 km | 103 mi · 165 km |
| Route | GBR → JPN → CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Alcaraz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (89% vs Marozsan's 11%).
| Opponent | Alcaraz | Marozsan |
|---|---|---|
| Denis Shapovalov | W | L 67 26 |
| Matteo Arnaldi | W 76 61 | L 57 62 46 |
| Taylor Fritz | W 63 46 1311 | L 26 46 |
| Yibing Wu | W 63 64 61 | L 46 26 |
| Daniil Medvedev | L 36 67 | L 26 76 46 |
| Joao Fonseca | W 64 64 | L 46 63 26 |
| Casper Ruud | W 61 76 | W 64 64 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | W 67 63 62 | L 63 36 46 |
| Andrey Rublev | W 76 64 | L 26 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Jiri Lehecka
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Final
Oct 6
Jaume Munar
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Semifinals
Oct 5
Denis Shapovalov
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Matteo Arnaldi
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Alex Michelsen
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Taylor Fritz
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 26
Ben Shelton
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Zachary Svajda
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Kyrian Jacquet
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Taro Daniel
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Alex Bolt
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round
Sep 24
Louis Van Herck
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, LUX-HUN 0-4 · Rubber 1
Sep 18
Michael Zheng
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
James Duckworth
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Martin Damm
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 27
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–50 matches
| Metric | Alcaraz | Marozsan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 86% | 48% |
| Sets won | 78% | 50% |
| Games won | 59% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Alcaraz | Marozsan |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Alcaraz | Marozsan |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
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