Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniel EvansPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Carlos Alcaraz and Daniel Evans have met 4 times since 2021; Carlos Alcaraz leads 4–0. Their first meeting came at Erste Bank Open - Vienna in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Alcaraz leads 3–0. Alcaraz has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Alcaraz has taken 9 sets to Evans's 1. Their most recent meeting: Carlos Alcaraz won at Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Alcaraz | Evans | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Carlos Alcaraz | Daniel Evans | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 18/25 | 100% | 2/2 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 2/5 | 33% | 2/6 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 9/30 | 25% | 2/8 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 64% | 18/28 | 0% | 0/1 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 0% | 0/2 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 54% | 7/13 | 50% | 1/2 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 95% | 21/22 | 67% | 2/3 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 82% | 18/22 | 67% | 2/3 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Alcaraz 3, Evans 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alcaraz
👑 The Complete Package
Evans
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 411 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Oct 9, 2023
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai
H Hard · 3rd Round
Sep 2, 2023
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 3rd Round
Apr 22, 2023
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona
C Clay · Semifinals
Oct 25, 2021
Erste Bank Open - Vienna
H Hard · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Alcaraz | Evans |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–1 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.15 | - |
| ROI % | +4.3% | - |
| Units P/L | +0.51u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Alcaraz | Evans |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 7 | — |
| Distance | 7,032 mi · 11,317 km | — |
| Route | GBR → JPN → CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Jiri Lehecka
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Final
Oct 6
Jaume Munar
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Semifinals
Oct 5
Denis Shapovalov
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Matteo Arnaldi
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Alex Michelsen
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Taylor Fritz
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 26
Ben Shelton
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Tristan Schoolkate
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 24
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 22
Marcos Giron
HSBC Championships · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 13
Charles Broom
Lexus Ilkley Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 8
James Watt
Lexus Ilkley Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 7
Bruno Kuzuhara
UAMS Health Little Rock Open · 1st Round Qualifying
May 24
Daniel Jade
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 18
Rei Sakamoto
Australian Open - Melbourne · 1st Round Qualifying
Jan 12
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 8–42 matches
| Metric | Alcaraz | Evans |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 86% | 25% |
| Sets won | 78% | 33% |
| Games won | 59% | 44% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Alcaraz | Evans |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 2 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Alcaraz | Evans |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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