Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniel EvansPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Carlos Alcaraz and Daniel Evans have met 4 times since 2021; Carlos Alcaraz leads 4–0. Their first meeting came at Erste Bank Open - Vienna in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Alcaraz leads 3–0. Alcaraz has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Alcaraz has taken 9 sets to Evans's 1. Their most recent meeting: Carlos Alcaraz won at Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Alcaraz | Evans | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Carlos Alcaraz | Daniel Evans | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 80% | 20/25 | 80% | 4/5 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 2/6 | 40% | 2/5 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 23% | 7/31 | 30% | 3/10 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 69% | 20/29 | 67% | 2/3 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 0% | 0/2 | 67% | 4/6 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 40% | 4/10 | 67% | 2/3 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 95% | 21/22 | 80% | 4/5 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 91% | 20/22 | 80% | 4/5 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Alcaraz 3, Evans 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alcaraz
👑 The Complete Package
Evans
🎾 All-Court
Matchup analysis
The 🎾 All-Court archetype wins about 56% vs 👑 The Complete Package across 124 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Daniel Evans.
All-Court players often use tactical versatility and net approach ability to pressure the the complete package's elite serve & return.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Oct 9, 2023
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai
H Hard · 3rd Round
Sep 2, 2023
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 3rd Round
Apr 22, 2023
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona
C Clay · Semifinals
Oct 25, 2021
Erste Bank Open - Vienna
H Hard · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Alcaraz | Evans |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 1–3 |
| Avg odds | - | 2.55 |
| ROI % | - | -47.5% |
| Units P/L | - | -1.90u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Otto Virtanen
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona · 1st Round
Apr 14
Jannik Sinner
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · Final
Apr 12
Valentin Vacherot
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · Semifinals
Apr 11
Alexander Bublik
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · Quarterfinals
Apr 10
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · 3rd Round
Apr 9
Sebastian Baez
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · 2nd Round
Apr 7
Sebastian Korda
Miami Open - Miami · 3rd Round
Mar 22
Joao Fonseca
Miami Open - Miami · 2nd Round
Mar 20
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Tristan Schoolkate
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 24
Marcos Giron
HSBC Championships · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 13
Charles Broom
Lexus Ilkley Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 8
James Watt
Lexus Ilkley Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 7
Bruno Kuzuhara
UAMS Health Little Rock Open · 1st Round Qualifying
May 24
Daniel Jade
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 18
Oliver Crawford
Guangzhou Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 11
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 10–42 matches
| Metric | Alcaraz | Evans |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 86% | 50% |
| Sets won | 80% | 52% |
| Games won | 59% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Alcaraz | Evans |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Alcaraz | Evans |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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