Carlos Alcaraz vs Damir DzumhurPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Carlos Alcaraz and Damir Dzumhur have met 3 times since 2020; Carlos Alcaraz leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Barcelona Challenger in 2020 on clay. On clay courts Alcaraz leads 2–0. Alcaraz has won the last 3 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Alcaraz leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Alcaraz has taken 7 sets to Dzumhur's 3. Their most recent meeting: Carlos Alcaraz won at Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Alcaraz | Dzumhur | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Carlos Alcaraz | Damir Dzumhur | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 76% | 25/33 | 58% | 14/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 20% | 1/5 | 26% | 7/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 24% | 9/38 | 33% | 17/51 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 69% | 25/36 | 37% | 7/19 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 0% | 0/2 | 53% | 16/30 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 60% | 12/20 | 52% | 11/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 28/28 | 83% | 19/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 89% | 25/28 | 61% | 14/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Alcaraz 0, Dzumhur 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alcaraz
👑 The Complete Package
Dzumhur
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 1,952 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Carlos Alcaraz.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Aug 10, 2025
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 2nd Round
May 30, 2025
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 3rd Round
Oct 11, 2020
Barcelona Challenger
C Clay · Final
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Alcaraz | Dzumhur | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Carlos Alcaraz | Damir Dzumhur | ||
| 1 or more | 95% | 20/21 | 62% | 8/13 |
| 3 or more | 86% | 18/21 | 15% | 2/13 |
| 5 or more | 48% | 10/21 | 8% | 1/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/21 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/21 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/21 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Alcaraz | Dzumhur |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 19–2 | 7–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.17 | 2.54 |
| ROI % | +6.4% | +9.3% |
| Units P/L | +1.34u | +1.21u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Alcaraz | Dzumhur |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 3 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 10 | 4 |
| Distance | 5,909 mi · 9,509 km | 1,123 mi · 1,807 km |
| Route | CHN → AUT → FRA | BEL → FRA → SWE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Alcaraz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Dzumhur's 17%).
| Opponent | Alcaraz | Dzumhur |
|---|---|---|
| Sebastian Baez | W 61 63 | L 67 57 |
| Zizou Bergs | L 57 67 | L 26 46 |
| Jaume Munar | W 57 63 61 | L 26 67 |
| Matteo Arnaldi | W 76 61 | W 76 67 76 |
| Jaime Faria | W 46 60 63 62 | L 67 46 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 67 36 | L 36 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Casper Ruud
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris · Semifinals
Nov 7
Taylor Fritz
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris · Quarterfinals
Nov 6
Alex Michelsen
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris · 2nd Round
Nov 4
Alex de Minaur
Erste Bank Open - Vienna · Final
Nov 1
Daniil Medvedev
Erste Bank Open - Vienna · Semifinals
Oct 31
Tommy Paul
Erste Bank Open - Vienna · Quarterfinals
Oct 30
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Erste Bank Open - Vienna · 2nd Round
Oct 29
Karen Khachanov
Erste Bank Open - Vienna · 1st Round
Oct 27
Inaki Montes-De La Torre
BNP Paribas Nordic Open - Stockholm · 1st Round Qualifying
Nov 7
Sebastian Baez
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 31
Zizou Bergs
European Open - Brussels · 2nd Round
Oct 22
Dino Prizmic
European Open - Brussels · 1st Round
Oct 21
Jacob Fearnley
Olbia Challenger · Final
Oct 18
Maks Kasnikowski
Olbia Challenger · Semifinals
Oct 17
Tom Gentzsch
Olbia Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 16
Dimitar Kuzmanov
Olbia Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 15
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 50–56 matches
| Metric | Alcaraz | Dzumhur |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 88% | 45% |
| Sets won | 80% | 45% |
| Games won | 59% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Alcaraz | Dzumhur |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Alcaraz | Dzumhur |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
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