Carlos Alcaraz vs Damir DzumhurPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Carlos Alcaraz and Damir Dzumhur have met 3 times since 2020; Carlos Alcaraz leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Barcelona Challenger in 2020 on clay. On clay courts Alcaraz leads 2–0. Alcaraz has won the last 3 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Alcaraz leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Alcaraz has taken 7 sets to Dzumhur's 3. Their most recent meeting: Carlos Alcaraz won at Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Alcaraz | Dzumhur | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Carlos Alcaraz | Damir Dzumhur | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 80% | 20/25 | 52% | 12/23 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 2/5 | 32% | 9/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 23% | 7/30 | 39% | 20/51 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 71% | 20/28 | 31% | 4/13 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 0% | 0/2 | 56% | 20/36 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 40% | 4/10 | 46% | 11/24 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 95% | 21/22 | 76% | 16/21 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 91% | 20/22 | 57% | 12/21 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Alcaraz 0, Dzumhur 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alcaraz
👑 The Complete Package
Dzumhur
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 1,893 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Carlos Alcaraz.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Aug 10, 2025
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 2nd Round
May 30, 2025
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 3rd Round
Oct 11, 2020
Barcelona Challenger
C Clay · Final
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Alcaraz | Dzumhur | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Carlos Alcaraz | Damir Dzumhur | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 5/5 | 50% | 6/12 |
| 3 or more | 80% | 4/5 | 25% | 3/12 |
| 5 or more | 20% | 1/5 | 8% | 1/12 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Alcaraz | Dzumhur |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–1 | 5–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.15 | 2.84 |
| ROI % | -10.0% | -3.2% |
| Units P/L | -0.50u | -0.35u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Alcaraz | Dzumhur |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 5 | 1 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | USA | USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Alcaraz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Dzumhur's 0%).
| Opponent | Alcaraz | Dzumhur |
|---|---|---|
| Jaime Faria | W 46 60 63 62 | L 67 46 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 67 36 | L 36 36 |
| Sebastian Korda | L 36 75 46 | L 64 36 36 |
| Corentin Moutet | W 62 64 61 | L 36 06 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | W 62 61 | L 36 26 16 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | W 62 64 | L 67 64 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Ben Shelton
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Tommy Paul
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 6
Yibing Wu
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Jaime Faria
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Roman Safiullin
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Otto Virtanen
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona · 1st Round
Apr 14
Jannik Sinner
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · Final
Apr 12
Valentin Vacherot
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · Semifinals
Apr 11
Hubert Hurkacz
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Mathys Erhard
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Geoffrey Blancaneaux
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Hugo Gaston
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 1st Round
Jul 21
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · Final
Jul 18
Alex Molcan
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · Semifinals
Jul 17
Matteo Arnaldi
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · Quarterfinals
Jul 16
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–56 matches
| Metric | Alcaraz | Dzumhur |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 86% | 43% |
| Sets won | 80% | 44% |
| Games won | 60% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Alcaraz | Dzumhur |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Alcaraz | Dzumhur |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
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