Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Rinky HijikataPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Rinky Hijikata have met 1 time since 2025; Rinky Hijikata leads 1–0. Across all meetings Carabelli has taken 0 sets to Hijikata's 2. Their most recent meeting: Rinky Hijikata won at Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou (2025).
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo
- Level
- ATP 500
- Round
- 1st Round Qualifying
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- September 27 · 10:00 PM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 1.33 or shorter, Rinky Hijikata has won 39 of 47 (83%). The price implied 77%, so Rinky Hijikata has beaten it by 6 points.
At 3.15 or longer, Camilo Ugo Carabelli has won 5 of 30 (17%). The price implied 23%, so Camilo Ugo Carabelli has fallen 6 points short of it.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Rinky Hijikata meet next at the Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo on September 27 on hard.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ugo Carabelli | Hijikata | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Rinky Hijikata | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 62% | 13/21 | 57% | 27/47 |
| Wins a set when losing | 29% | 6/21 | 31% | 10/32 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 14/42 | 38% | 30/79 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 4/12 | 44% | 19/43 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 48% | 13/27 | 61% | 20/33 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 61% | 11/18 | 67% | 26/39 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 14/16 | 92% | 34/37 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 81% | 13/16 | 73% | 27/37 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ugo Carabelli 0, Hijikata 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Carabelli
⚙️ Grinder
Hijikata
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 53% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 238 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Rinky Hijikata.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 19, 2025
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Carabelli | Hijikata | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Rinky Hijikata | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 9/9 | 92% | 11/12 |
| 3 or more | 56% | 5/9 | 67% | 8/12 |
| 5 or more | 56% | 5/9 | 42% | 5/12 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 8% | 1/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Carabelli | Hijikata |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–6 | 5–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.47 | 2.71 |
| ROI % | -39.8% | -15.1% |
| Units P/L | -3.58u | -1.81u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Carabelli | Hijikata |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 3 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 2 | 3 |
| Distance | 9,590 mi · 15,433 km | 8,639 mi · 13,903 km |
| Route | USA → CHN → JPN | USA → CHN → JPN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Carabelli and Hijikata posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Carabelli | Hijikata |
|---|---|---|
| Andrey Rublev | L 16 61 36 67 | L 36 36 |
| Gael Monfils | W 63 64 | W 26 76 63 |
| Cameron Norrie | L 67 46 | L 46 26 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | L 46 26 | W 62 64 |
| Frances Tiafoe | W 76 76 | L 46 46 |
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | L 46 76 26 | W 64 62 |
| Flavio Cobolli | L 76 16 46 | L 46 57 |
| Ignacio Buse | W 63 36 75 | W 36 63 64 |
| Timofey Skatov | W 67 63 64 | W 76 26 63 |
| Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | W 26 63 76 | L 64 67 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Federico Cina
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Jan-Lennard Struff
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Nicolas Mejia
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Moez Echargui
Cancun Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Miomir Kecmanovic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Cameron Norrie
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Titouan Droguet
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 1st Round
Jul 20
Roman Andres Burruchaga
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · Quarterfinals
Jul 16
Andrey Rublev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Dalibor Svrcina
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round
Sep 24
Felix Auger Aliassime
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Benjamin Bonzi
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 26
Raphael Collignon
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 25
Darwin Blanch
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Jakub Mensik
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Luciano Darderi
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 47–84 matches
| Metric | Carabelli | Hijikata |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 47% | 57% |
| Sets won | 47% | 54% |
| Games won | 48% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Carabelli | Hijikata |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Carabelli | Hijikata |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |