Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Pablo Carreno Busta have met 1 time since 2025; Camilo Ugo Carabelli leads 1–0. Their most recent meeting: Camilo Ugo Carabelli won at ATP Masters 1000 Rome (2025).
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Carabelli
🪃 Counterpuncher
Busta
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 297 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
1 career meeting, newest first
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Carabelli | Busta | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Pablo Carreno Busta | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 14/16 | 92% | 11/12 |
| 3 or more | 69% | 11/16 | 50% | 6/12 |
| 5 or more | 38% | 6/16 | 25% | 3/12 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/16 | 25% | 3/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/12 |
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Carabelli | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–7 | 5–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.16 | 2.03 |
| ROI % | -1.3% | +10.4% |
| Units P/L | -0.20u | +0.83u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Busta has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Carabelli's 40%).
| Opponent | Carabelli | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Jodar | L 36 36 | L 64 64 16 26 26 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | L 16 16 | W 46 63 76 |
| Sebastian Baez | L 67 26 | W 57 75 75 |
| Francisco Comesana | W 64 76 | W 64 63 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | L 46 26 | L 26 16 |
| Martin Damm | W 76 63 | W 63 63 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | L 16 36 | L 36 36 |
| Marton Fucsovics | L 67 16 26 | W 46 76 62 |
| Luca Van Assche | W 06 63 62 | L 67 76 26 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | W 76 57 63 | W 63 62 |
Last five matches per player
Andrey Rublev
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Emilio Nava
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Kamil Majchrzak
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · Round of 32
May 18
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · Quarterfinals
May 16
Miomir Kecmanovic
Copa Faulconbridge · Quarterfinals
May 15
Frances Tiafoe
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · Round of 16
May 13
Matteo Berrettini
Copa Faulconbridge · Round of 16
May 9
Aleksandr Shevchenko
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 128
May 7
Rafael Jodar
Roland Garros · Round of 16
May 31
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Thanasi Kokkinakis
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Jiri Lehecka
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Sebastian Baez
Copa Faulconbridge · Round of 16
May 14
Francisco Comesana
Copa Faulconbridge · Round of 32
May 12
Alejandro Tabilo
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 128
May 6
Martin Damm
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · 1st Round Qualifying
May 4
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 49–57 matches
| Metric | Carabelli | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 49% | 67% |
| Sets won | 47% | 60% |
| Games won | 48% | 53% |
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Carabelli | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Carabelli | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
