Holger Rune and Pablo Carreno Busta have met 4 times since 2021; Pablo Carreno Busta leads 3–1. Their most recent meeting: Holger Rune won at ATP Masters 1000 Canada (2024).
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rune
🎯 Baseliner
Busta
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 53% vs 🏹 Frontrunner across 106 matches in our dataset — a stylistic lean toward Holger Rune.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the frontrunner's fast starts.
4 career meetings, newest first
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rune | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 5–3 |
| Avg odds | - | 2.03 |
| ROI % | - | +10.4% |
| Units P/L | - | +0.83u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 3 shared opponents, both Rune and Busta posted a 100% win rate.
| Opponent | Rune | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Sebastian Baez | W 75 64 | W 57 75 75 |
| Marton Fucsovics | W 64 64 | W 46 76 62 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | W 63 76 76 | W 63 62 |
Last five matches per player
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Stockholm · Quarterfinals
Oct 17
Marton Fucsovics
Stockholm · Round of 16
Oct 16
Valentin Vacherot
ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai · Round of 16
Oct 7
Ugo Humbert
ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai · Round of 32
Oct 5
Sebastian Baez
ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai · Round of 64
Oct 3
Jenson Brooksby
Tokyo · Quarterfinals
Sep 28
Ethan Quinn
Tokyo · Round of 16
Sep 27
Rafael Jodar
Roland Garros · Round of 16
May 31
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Thanasi Kokkinakis
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Jiri Lehecka
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Sebastian Baez
Copa Faulconbridge · Round of 16
May 14
Francisco Comesana
Copa Faulconbridge · Round of 32
May 12
Alejandro Tabilo
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 128
May 6
Martin Damm
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · 1st Round Qualifying
May 4
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 18–57 matches
| Metric | Rune | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 67% | 67% |
| Sets won | 66% | 60% |
| Games won | 54% | 53% |
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rune | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 1 |
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rune | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
