Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jan-Lennard StruffPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Jan-Lennard Struff have met 1 time since 2026; Jan-Lennard Struff leads 1–0. Across all meetings Carabelli has taken 0 sets to Struff's 3. Their most recent meeting: Jan-Lennard Struff won at U.S. Open - New York (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ugo Carabelli | Struff | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Jan-Lennard Struff | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 13/22 | 64% | 14/22 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 7/22 | 48% | 12/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 16/44 | 43% | 20/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 4/12 | 33% | 8/24 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 52% | 15/29 | 52% | 11/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 11/19 | 50% | 11/22 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 14/17 | 77% | 17/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 13/17 | 64% | 14/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Carabelli
⚙️ Grinder
Struff
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 56% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 720 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jan-Lennard Struff.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 1, 2026
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Carabelli | Struff | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Jan-Lennard Struff | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 9/9 | 100% | 11/11 |
| 3 or more | 67% | 6/9 | 91% | 10/11 |
| 5 or more | 67% | 6/9 | 82% | 9/11 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 46% | 5/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 27% | 3/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Carabelli | Struff |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–7 | 5–6 |
| Avg odds | 3.43 | 2.86 |
| ROI % | -47.1% | -16.9% |
| Units P/L | -4.24u | -1.86u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Carabelli | Struff |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| Distance | 3,172 mi · 5,105 km | 663 mi · 1,067 km |
| Route | CHN → JPN → CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Struff has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Carabelli's 50%).
| Opponent | Carabelli | Struff |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Tabilo | L 46 26 | L 36 46 |
| Roman Andres Burruchaga | L 26 62 36 | W 76 26 63 |
| Mariano Navone | W 62 75 | L 06 36 |
| Aleksandr Shevchenko | L 36 64 67 | W 36 76 64 |
| Pablo Carreno Busta | W 36 75 75 | L 46 67 |
| Brandon Nakashima | L 36 46 | W 46 76 76 67 76 |
| Sebastian Baez | L 67 26 | W 61 76 46 26 75 |
| Emilio Nava | W 76 63 63 | L 63 46 36 |
| Francisco Comesana | W 64 76 | W 62 64 |
| Karen Khachanov | W 63 64 | W 46 76 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Ilia Simakin
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Rinky Hijikata
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Federico Cina
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Jan-Lennard Struff
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Moez Echargui
Cancun Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Nicolas Mejia
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Miomir Kecmanovic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Daniil Medvedev
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Martin Landaluce
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Daniil Medvedev
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Thiago Agustin Tirante
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Francisco Cerundolo
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Alejandro Tabilo
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Roman Andres Burruchaga
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 49–57 matches
| Metric | Carabelli | Struff |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 47% | 49% |
| Sets won | 47% | 50% |
| Games won | 48% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Carabelli | Struff |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Carabelli | Struff |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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