Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Felix Auger-AliassimePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇷Camilo Ugo Carabelli
#77 · 27 yrs · R
2 meetings · sets 1–5
🇨🇦Felix Auger-Aliassime
#5 · 26 yrs · R
Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Felix Auger-Aliassime have met 2 times since 2022; Felix Auger-Aliassime leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at French Open - Paris in 2022 on clay. Auger-Aliassime has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Carabelli has taken 1 sets to Auger-Aliassime's 5. Their most recent meeting: Felix Auger-Aliassime won at Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ugo Carabelli | Auger-Aliassime | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Felix Auger-Aliassime | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 13/22 | 63% | 25/40 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 7/22 | 19% | 3/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 16/44 | 32% | 18/56 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 4/12 | 48% | 23/48 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 52% | 15/29 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 11/19 | 66% | 23/35 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 14/17 | 94% | 31/33 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 13/17 | 76% | 25/33 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ugo Carabelli 0, Auger-Aliassime 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Carabelli
⚙️ Grinder
Auger-Aliassime
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 56% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 720 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Felix Auger-Aliassime.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Oct 10, 2026
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai
H Hard · 2nd Round
May 25, 2022
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Carabelli | Auger-Aliassime | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Felix Auger-Aliassime | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 9/9 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 67% | 6/9 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 5 or more | 67% | 6/9 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 57% | 4/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 14% | 1/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Carabelli | Auger-Aliassime |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–7 | 7–3 |
| Avg odds | 3.43 | 1.33 |
| ROI % | -47.1% | -11.2% |
| Units P/L | -4.24u | -1.12u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Carabelli | Auger-Aliassime |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 3 |
| Distance | 3,172 mi · 5,105 km | 663 mi · 1,067 km |
| Route | CHN → JPN → CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Carabelli and Auger-Aliassime posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Carabelli | Auger-Aliassime |
|---|---|---|
| Pablo Carreno Busta | W 36 75 75 | W 63 46 61 |
| Karen Khachanov | W 63 64 | L 36 36 |
| Rinky Hijikata | L 26 36 | L 75 46 63 75 |
| Frances Tiafoe | W 76 76 | L 36 46 |
| Juan Manuel Cerundolo | W 75 61 | L 75 61 |
| Titouan Droguet | L 06 63 46 | W 64 67 61 |
| Roman Andres Burruchaga | L 26 62 36 | W 46 60 75 61 |
| Aleksandr Shevchenko | L 36 64 67 | W 63 61 64 |
| Learner Tien | L 67 36 | W 67 75 76 |
| Kamil Majchrzak | W 16 62 63 | L 46 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Ilia Simakin
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Rinky Hijikata
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Federico Cina
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Jan-Lennard Struff
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Moez Echargui
Cancun Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Nicolas Mejia
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Miomir Kecmanovic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Pablo Carreno Busta
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 12
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Karen Khachanov
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Arthur Rinderknech
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CAN-FRA · Rubber 4
Sep 19
Quentin Halys
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CAN-FRA · Rubber 2
Sep 18
Karen Khachanov
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Rinky Hijikata
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 49–68 matches
| Metric | Carabelli | Auger-Aliassime |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 47% | 68% |
| Sets won | 47% | 64% |
| Games won | 48% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Carabelli | Auger-Aliassime |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Carabelli | Auger-Aliassime |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.