Cameron Norrie vs Reilly OpelkaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Cameron Norrie and Reilly Opelka have met 4 times since 2020; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at Western & Southern Open - New York in 2020 on hard. On hard courts they are level 2–2. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Norrie leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Norrie has taken 5 sets to Opelka's 4. Their most recent meeting: Reilly Opelka won at Dallas Open - Dallas (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Norrie | Opelka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Cameron Norrie | Reilly Opelka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 52% | 15/29 | 75% | 9/12 |
| Wins a set when losing | 41% | 9/22 | 25% | 3/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 45% | 23/51 | 25% | 6/24 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 14/28 | 44% | 4/9 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 59% | 13/22 | 50% | 7/14 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 45% | 14/31 | 47% | 9/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 22/25 | 77% | 10/13 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 60% | 15/25 | 69% | 9/13 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Norrie 2, Opelka 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Norrie
🎯 Baseliner
Opelka
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,749 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Feb 6, 2025
Dallas Open - Dallas
H Hard · 2nd Round
Feb 20, 2022
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach
H Hard · Final
Nov 3, 2021
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard · 2nd Round
Aug 22, 2020
Western & Southern Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Norrie | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–5 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.95 | - |
| ROI % | -8.3% | - |
| Units P/L | -0.99u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Norrie | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 8 | — |
| Distance | 3,258 mi · 5,243 km | — |
| Route | MEX → CAN → USA | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Norrie has a higher win rate against shared opponents (83% vs Opelka's 33%).
| Opponent | Norrie | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | L 67 26 | L 36 67 75 64 46 |
| Ethan Quinn | W 63 46 64 | L 57 67 |
| Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | W 64 64 | W 64 63 64 |
| Benjamin Bonzi | W 60 67 46 63 64 | L 46 46 |
| Ugo Humbert | W 16 76 75 | L 67 46 |
| Sebastian Baez | W 63 64 | W 63 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alexander Zverev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Dino Prizmic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Arthur Fils
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 9
Alex de Minaur
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Ignacio Buse
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Denis Shapovalov
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Semifinals
Jul 31
Bernard Tomic
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Federico Cina
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 24
Ethan Quinn
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona · 1st Round
Apr 13
Taylor Fritz
Miami Open - Miami · 3rd Round
Mar 22
Taylor Fritz
Barcelona · Round of 64
Mar 22
Taylor Fritz
Tokyo · Round of 32
Mar 22
Jack Draper
Miami Open - Miami · 2nd Round
Mar 20
Nuno Borges
Miami Open - Miami · 1st Round
Mar 19
Ben Shelton
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 2nd Round
Mar 6
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 27–55 matches
| Metric | Norrie | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 48% |
| Sets won | 53% | 51% |
| Games won | 51% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Norrie | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Norrie | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 2 |
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