Cameron Norrie vs Reilly OpelkaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Cameron Norrie and Reilly Opelka have met 4 times since 2020; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at Western & Southern Open - New York in 2020 on hard. On hard courts they are level 2–2. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Norrie leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Norrie has taken 5 sets to Opelka's 4. Their most recent meeting: Reilly Opelka won at Dallas Open - Dallas (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Norrie | Opelka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Cameron Norrie | Reilly Opelka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 13/26 | 75% | 9/12 |
| Wins a set when losing | 43% | 9/21 | 30% | 3/10 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 47% | 22/47 | 27% | 6/22 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 46% | 12/26 | 50% | 4/8 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 12/20 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 41% | 11/27 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 19/21 | 77% | 10/13 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 62% | 13/21 | 69% | 9/13 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Norrie 2, Opelka 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Norrie
🎯 Baseliner
Opelka
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,590 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Feb 6, 2025
Dallas Open - Dallas
H Hard · 2nd Round
Feb 20, 2022
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach
H Hard · Final
Nov 3, 2021
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard · 2nd Round
Aug 22, 2020
Western & Southern Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Norrie | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–6 | - |
| Avg odds | 2.25 | - |
| ROI % | -15.3% | - |
| Units P/L | -1.99u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Norrie | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 2 | — |
| Distance | 663 mi · 1,067 km | — |
| Route | CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Norrie has a higher win rate against shared opponents (83% vs Opelka's 17%).
| Opponent | Norrie | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | L 67 26 | L 36 67 75 64 46 |
| Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | W 64 64 | L |
| Ethan Quinn | W 63 46 64 | L 57 67 |
| Benjamin Bonzi | W 60 67 46 63 64 | L 46 46 |
| Ugo Humbert | W 16 76 75 | L 67 46 |
| Sebastian Baez | W 63 64 | W 63 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Dalibor Svrcina
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Alexander Zverev
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Luca Van Assche
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Alexander Zverev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Dino Prizmic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Arthur Fils
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 9
Alex de Minaur
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Ignacio Buse
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Federico Cina
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 24
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid · 1st Round
Apr 23
Ethan Quinn
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona · 1st Round
Apr 13
Taylor Fritz
Barcelona · Round of 64
Mar 22
Taylor Fritz
Miami Open - Miami · 3rd Round
Mar 22
Taylor Fritz
Tokyo · Round of 32
Mar 22
Jack Draper
Miami Open - Miami · 2nd Round
Mar 20
Nuno Borges
Miami Open - Miami · 1st Round
Mar 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 25–52 matches
| Metric | Norrie | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 54% | 52% |
| Sets won | 51% | 54% |
| Games won | 51% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Norrie | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Norrie | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 2 |
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