Brandon Nakashima vs Yunchaokete BuPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

πΊπΈBrandon Nakashima
#17 Β· 25 yrs Β· R
31 meeting Β· sets 3β1

π¨π³Yunchaokete Bu
#124 Β· 24 yrs Β· R
9wBrandon Nakashima and Yunchaokete Bu have met 1 time since 2025; Brandon Nakashima leads 1β0. Across all meetings Nakashima has taken 3 sets to Bu's 1. Their most recent meeting: Brandon Nakashima won at Wimbledon (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Nakashima | Bu | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Brandon Nakashima | Yunchaokete Bu | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 25/34 | 76% | 16/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 7/21 | 33% | 4/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 29% | 16/55 | 27% | 9/33 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 54% | 20/37 | 33% | 2/6 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 69% | 11/16 | 100% | 3/3 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 15/30 | 44% | 7/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 30/34 | 87% | 20/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 25/34 | 70% | 16/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nakashima
π€ Servebot
Bu
π€ Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Brandon Nakashima and Yunchaokete Bu are π€ Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,568 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 1, 2025
Wimbledon
G Grass Β· Round of 128
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Nakashima | Bu | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Brandon Nakashima | Yunchaokete Bu | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 21/21 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 21/21 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 5 or more | 91% | 19/21 | 80% | 4/5 |
| 10 or more | 43% | 9/21 | 20% | 1/5 |
| 15 or more | 14% | 3/21 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 20 or more | 10% | 2/21 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Nakashima | Bu |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 16β5 | 1β0 |
| Avg odds | 1.87 | 2.20 |
| ROI % | +38.6% | +120.0% |
| Units P/L | +8.10u | +1.20u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Nakashima | Bu |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | β |
| Events | 3 | β |
| Matches | 12 | β |
| Distance | 1,200 mi Β· 1,932 km | β |
| Route | USA β CAN β USA | β |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Nakashima has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Bu's 25%).
| Opponent | Nakashima | Bu |
|---|---|---|
| Luciano Darderi | W 62 63 | L 46 46 |
| Alex de Minaur | W 76 64 | L 46 06 |
| Coleman Wong | L 46 67 | L 67 67 |
| Juan Manuel Cerundolo | W 63 75 | W 63 67 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· Semifinals
Aug 23
Taylor Fritz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Nuno Borges
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 4th Round
Aug 20
Daniil Medvedev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 3rd Round
Aug 18
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 16
Ben Shelton
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· Final
Aug 14
Rafael Jodar
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· Semifinals
Aug 13
Luciano Darderi
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· Quarterfinals
Aug 11
Hugo Dellien
Wimbledon Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Clement Tabur
Wimbledon Β· 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Chris Rodesch
Lexus Ilkley Open Β· Round of 32
Jun 10
Otto Virtanen
Lexus Birmingham Open Β· Final
Jun 7
Arthur Fery
Lexus Birmingham Open Β· Semifinals
Jun 6
Mark Lajal
Lexus Birmingham Open Β· Quarterfinals
Jun 5
Billy Harris
Lexus Birmingham Open Β· Round of 16
Jun 4
Lloyd Harris
Lexus Birmingham Open Β· Round of 32
Jun 1
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 33β61 matches
| Metric | Nakashima | Bu |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 64% |
| Sets won | 59% | 61% |
| Games won | 53% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Nakashima | Bu |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Nakashima | Bu |
|---|---|---|
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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