Jacob Fearnley vs Yunchaokete BuPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Jacob Fearnley and Yunchaokete Bu have met 3 times since 2024; Jacob Fearnley leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Nottingham 2 in 2024 on grass. Fearnley has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Fearnley has taken 6 sets to Bu's 1. Their most recent meeting: Jacob Fearnley won at ATP Masters 1000 Madrid (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Fearnley | Bu | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jacob Fearnley | Yunchaokete Bu | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 53% | 16/30 | 76% | 16/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 45% | 9/20 | 33% | 4/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 46% | 23/50 | 27% | 9/33 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 38% | 14/37 | 33% | 2/6 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 69% | 9/13 | 100% | 3/3 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 54% | 13/24 | 44% | 7/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 20/20 | 87% | 20/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 80% | 16/20 | 70% | 16/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Fearnley 2, Bu 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fearnley
🎾 All-Court
Bu
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 54% vs 🎾 All-Court across 752 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Yunchaokete Bu.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the all-court's tactical versatility.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Apr 24, 2025
ATP Masters 1000 Madrid
C Clay · Round of 128
Aug 10, 2024
Lincoln
H Hard · Semifinals
Jun 11, 2024
Nottingham 2
G Grass · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Fearnley | Bu | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jacob Fearnley | Yunchaokete Bu | ||
| 1 or more | 96% | 24/25 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 3 or more | 72% | 18/25 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 5 or more | 48% | 12/25 | 80% | 4/5 |
| 10 or more | 4% | 1/25 | 20% | 1/5 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/25 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/25 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Fearnley | Bu |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 18–7 | 1–0 |
| Avg odds | 1.71 | 2.20 |
| ROI % | +10.5% | +120.0% |
| Units P/L | +2.62u | +1.20u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Fearnley | Bu |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 5 | — |
| Distance | 145 mi · 233 km | — |
| Route | CAN | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Bu has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Fearnley's 75%).
| Opponent | Fearnley | Bu |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Walton | W 57 76 64 | W 62 60 |
| Mark Lajal | W 75 36 61 | W 75 64 |
| Keegan Smith | W 46 75 64 | W 64 75 |
| Juan Manuel Cerundolo | L 26 67 67 | W 63 67 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Taro Daniel
Quebec City Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Alexis Galarneau
Quebec City Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 21
Mackenzie McDonald
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Jakub Mensik
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Adrian Mannarino
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Alex Michelsen
Bloomfield Hills Challenger · Final
Jul 26
Michael Zheng
Bloomfield Hills Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 25
J.J. Wolf
Bloomfield Hills Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Hugo Dellien
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Clement Tabur
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Chris Rodesch
Lexus Ilkley Open · Round of 32
Jun 10
Otto Virtanen
Lexus Birmingham Open · Final
Jun 7
Arthur Fery
Lexus Birmingham Open · Semifinals
Jun 6
Mark Lajal
Lexus Birmingham Open · Quarterfinals
Jun 5
Billy Harris
Lexus Birmingham Open · Round of 16
Jun 4
Lloyd Harris
Lexus Birmingham Open · Round of 32
Jun 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 33–54 matches
| Metric | Fearnley | Bu |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 64% |
| Sets won | 53% | 61% |
| Games won | 51% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Fearnley | Bu |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Fearnley | Bu |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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