Jacob Fearnley vs Yunchaokete BuPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Jacob Fearnley and Yunchaokete Bu have met 4 times since 2024; Jacob Fearnley leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Nottingham 2 Challenger in 2024 on grass. On grass courts they are level 1–1. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Bu leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Fearnley has taken 6 sets to Bu's 3. Their most recent meeting: Yunchaokete Bu won at Ilkley Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Fearnley | Bu | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jacob Fearnley | Yunchaokete Bu | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 19/32 | 79% | 33/42 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 11/22 | 30% | 6/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 44% | 24/54 | 24% | 15/62 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 41% | 17/41 | 61% | 23/38 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 62% | 8/13 | 73% | 11/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 54% | 14/26 | 48% | 14/29 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 96% | 23/24 | 91% | 40/44 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 79% | 19/24 | 75% | 33/44 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Fearnley 2, Bu 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fearnley
🪃 Counterpuncher
Bu
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 3,438 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Yunchaokete Bu.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jun 14, 2026
Ilkley Challenger
G Grass · Final
Apr 24, 2025
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 1st Round
Aug 10, 2024
Lincoln Challenger
H Hard · Semifinals
Jun 11, 2024
Nottingham 2 Challenger
G Grass · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Fearnley | Bu | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jacob Fearnley | Yunchaokete Bu | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 65% | 11/17 | 83% | 10/12 |
| 5 or more | 53% | 9/17 | 83% | 10/12 |
| 10 or more | 12% | 2/17 | 33% | 4/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Fearnley | Bu |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–6 | 8–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.67 | 2.45 |
| ROI % | +0.1% | +46.3% |
| Units P/L | +0.01u | +6.48u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Fearnley | Bu |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 2 | 7 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 1,361 mi · 2,191 km |
| Route | POR | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Fearnley has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Bu's 44%).
| Opponent | Fearnley | Bu |
|---|---|---|
| Juan Manuel Cerundolo | L 26 67 67 | W 62 57 64 |
| Kamil Majchrzak | L 67 57 63 67 | W 76 67 62 |
| Michael Zheng | W 63 64 | W 64 63 |
| Alexis Galarneau | W 62 63 | L 67 46 |
| Quentin Halys | L 36 46 | L 26 67 |
| Adam Walton | W 57 76 64 | L 62 60 |
| Mark Lajal | W 75 36 61 | L 64 61 |
| Dane Sweeny | W 67 61 62 | L 76 76 |
| Keegan Smith | W 46 75 64 | W 64 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Inaki Montes-De La Torre
Porto Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Alejo Sanchez Quilez
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Martin Landaluce
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Jurij Rodionov
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Luka Pavlovic
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Roberto Carballes Baena
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Taro Daniel
Quebec City Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Casper Ruud
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Luca Van Assche
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Novak Djokovic
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Roman Safiullin
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Kamil Majchrzak
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 2nd Round
Sep 26
Michael Zheng
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round
Sep 24
Michael Zheng
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 4
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 60–65 matches
| Metric | Fearnley | Bu |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 34% |
| Sets won | 53% | 63% |
| Games won | 51% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Fearnley | Bu |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Fearnley | Bu |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 1 |
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