Jacob Fearnley vs Lukas PokornyPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Jacob Fearnley and Lukas Pokorny have met 4 times since 2024; Jacob Fearnley leads 4–0. Their first meeting came at Stockholm in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Fearnley leads 4–0. Fearnley has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Fearnley has taken 8 sets to Pokorny's 1. Their most recent meeting: Jacob Fearnley won at Manama Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Fearnley | Pokorny | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jacob Fearnley | Lukas Pokorny | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 19/32 | 76% | 19/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 11/22 | 30% | 7/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 44% | 24/54 | 27% | 13/48 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 41% | 17/41 | 56% | 15/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 62% | 8/13 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 54% | 14/26 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 96% | 23/24 | 77% | 20/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 79% | 19/24 | 73% | 19/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Fearnley 3, Pokorny 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fearnley
🪃 Counterpuncher
Pokorny
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 3,969 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jan 29, 2026
Manama Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Feb 18, 2025
Pau Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Oct 28, 2024
Bratislava 2 Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Oct 12, 2024
Stockholm
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Fearnley | Pokorny | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jacob Fearnley | Lukas Pokorny | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 90% | 9/10 |
| 3 or more | 65% | 11/17 | 60% | 6/10 |
| 5 or more | 53% | 9/17 | 50% | 5/10 |
| 10 or more | 12% | 2/17 | 10% | 1/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Fearnley | Pokorny |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–6 | 6–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.67 | 2.11 |
| ROI % | +0.1% | +24.9% |
| Units P/L | +0.01u | +2.24u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Fearnley | Pokorny |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 2 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | POR | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Fearnley and Pokorny posted a 0% win rate.
| Opponent | Fearnley | Pokorny |
|---|---|---|
| Taro Daniel | L 46 16 | L 46 06 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Inaki Montes-De La Torre
Porto Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Alejo Sanchez Quilez
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Martin Landaluce
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Jurij Rodionov
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Luka Pavlovic
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Roberto Carballes Baena
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Taro Daniel
Quebec City Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Radu David Turcanu
M25 Slobozia · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Valentin Vanta
M25 Slobozia · 1st Round
Sep 30
Dominik Recek
M25 Pardubice · Quarterfinals
Sep 26
Stepan Baum
M25 Pardubice · Semifinals
Sep 26
Jonas Gundacker
M25 Pardubice · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Marcel Zielinski
M25 Pardubice · 1st Round
Sep 23
Diego Dedura
Tulln Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Andrew Paulson
Tulln Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 7
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 48–60 matches
| Metric | Fearnley | Pokorny |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 52% |
| Sets won | 53% | 52% |
| Games won | 51% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Fearnley | Pokorny |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 3 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Fearnley | Pokorny |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 4 | 0 |
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