Jacob Fearnley vs Lukas PokornyPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

π¬π§Jacob Fearnley
#100 Β· 25 yrs Β· R
4 meetings Β· sets 8β1
πΈπ°Lukas Pokorny
#610 Β· 24 yrs Β· R
6wJacob Fearnley and Lukas Pokorny have met 4 times since 2024; Jacob Fearnley leads 4β0. Their first meeting came at Stockholm in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Fearnley leads 4β0. Fearnley has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Fearnley has taken 8 sets to Pokorny's 1. Their most recent meeting: Jacob Fearnley won at Manama Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Fearnley | Pokorny | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jacob Fearnley | Lukas Pokorny | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 53% | 16/30 | 79% | 15/19 |
| Wins a set when losing | 45% | 9/20 | 26% | 5/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 46% | 23/50 | 24% | 9/38 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 38% | 14/37 | 50% | 11/22 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 69% | 9/13 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 54% | 13/24 | 57% | 8/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 20/20 | 75% | 15/20 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 80% | 16/20 | 75% | 15/20 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Fearnley 3, Pokorny 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fearnley
πΎ All-Court
Pokorny
π₯ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
πΎ All-Court vs π₯ Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 620 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jan 29, 2026
Manama Challenger
H Hard Β· 2nd Round
Feb 18, 2025
Pau Challenger
H Hard Β· 1st Round
Oct 28, 2024
Bratislava 2 Challenger
H Hard Β· 1st Round
Oct 12, 2024
Stockholm
H Hard Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Fearnley | Pokorny | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jacob Fearnley | Lukas Pokorny | ||
| 1 or more | 96% | 24/25 | 89% | 8/9 |
| 3 or more | 72% | 18/25 | 78% | 7/9 |
| 5 or more | 48% | 12/25 | 33% | 3/9 |
| 10 or more | 4% | 1/25 | 22% | 2/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/25 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/25 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Fearnley | Pokorny |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 18β7 | 4β6 |
| Avg odds | 1.71 | 1.79 |
| ROI % | +10.5% | -35.2% |
| Units P/L | +2.62u | -3.52u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Fearnley | Pokorny |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | β |
| Events | 2 | β |
| Matches | 5 | β |
| Distance | 145 mi Β· 233 km | β |
| Route | CAN | β |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Pokorny has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Fearnley's 0%).
| Opponent | Fearnley | Pokorny |
|---|---|---|
| Taro Daniel | L 46 16 | L 46 06 |
| Bu Yunchaokete | L 36 67 | W 16 62 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Taro Daniel
Quebec City Challenger Β· Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Alexis Galarneau
Quebec City Challenger Β· 2nd Round
Aug 21
Mackenzie McDonald
Quebec City Challenger Β· 1st Round
Aug 20
Jakub Mensik
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· 2nd Round
Aug 6
Adrian Mannarino
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· 1st Round
Aug 4
Alex Michelsen
Bloomfield Hills Challenger Β· Final
Jul 26
Michael Zheng
Bloomfield Hills Challenger Β· Semifinals
Jul 25
J.J. Wolf
Bloomfield Hills Challenger Β· Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Ioannis Xilas
M25 Ollersbach Β· 1st Round
Jul 21
Hynek Barton
Bundesliga - men
Jul 12
Andrea Paolini
M15 Monastir Β· 1st Round
Jul 1
Mathys Picard
M15 Monastir Β· Semifinals
Jun 27
Mathys Picard
Futures 2026
Jun 27
Benjamin Pietri
M15 Monastir Β· Quarterfinals
Jun 26
Anas Bennour Dit Sahli
M15 Monastir Β· 1st Round
Jun 24
Zdenek Kolar
Bratislava Challenger Β· 2nd Round
Jun 10
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 38β54 matches
| Metric | Fearnley | Pokorny |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 50% |
| Sets won | 53% | 51% |
| Games won | 51% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Fearnley | Pokorny |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 3 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Fearnley | Pokorny |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 4 | 0 |
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