Brandon Nakashima vs Stan WawrinkaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Brandon Nakashima and Stan Wawrinka have met 3 times since 2022; Stan Wawrinka leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Swiss Indoors Basel - Basel in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Wawrinka leads 3–0. Wawrinka has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Nakashima has taken 2 sets to Wawrinka's 6. Their most recent meeting: Stan Wawrinka won at BNP Paribas Nordic Open - Stockholm (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Nakashima | Wawrinka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Brandon Nakashima | Stan Wawrinka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 24/32 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 8/20 | 47% | 9/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 16/52 | 45% | 13/29 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 56% | 19/34 | 43% | 3/7 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 75% | 12/16 | 59% | 13/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 52% | 15/29 | 62% | 13/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 29/34 | 64% | 7/11 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 71% | 24/34 | 55% | 6/11 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Nakashima 0, Wawrinka 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nakashima
🤖 Servebot
Wawrinka
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Brandon Nakashima and Stan Wawrinka are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 6,464 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Oct 16, 2024
BNP Paribas Nordic Open - Stockholm
H Hard · 1st Round
Aug 15, 2023
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 1st Round
Oct 27, 2022
Swiss Indoors Basel - Basel
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Nakashima | Wawrinka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Brandon Nakashima | Stan Wawrinka | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 21/21 | 100% | 4/4 |
| 3 or more | 95% | 20/21 | 100% | 4/4 |
| 5 or more | 91% | 19/21 | 25% | 1/4 |
| 10 or more | 52% | 11/21 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 15 or more | 10% | 2/21 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 20 or more | 5% | 1/21 | 0% | 0/4 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nakashima | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15–6 | 1–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.84 | 2.74 |
| ROI % | +27.8% | -48.8% |
| Units P/L | +5.84u | -2.44u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Nakashima | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 4 | — |
| Distance | 7,032 mi · 11,317 km | — |
| Route | GBR → JPN → CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Nakashima has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Wawrinka's 20%).
| Opponent | Nakashima | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| Matteo Berrettini | W 76 75 | L 67 67 06 |
| Alex Michelsen | L 36 46 46 | L 67 67 |
| Sebastian Baez | W 62 61 60 | L 57 57 |
| Taylor Fritz | W 76 46 63 | L 67 62 46 46 |
| Daniil Medvedev | W 67 76 61 | L 26 36 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | W 76 57 75 | W 57 76 76 |
| Alex de Minaur | W 76 64 | L 46 26 |
| Roman Andres Burruchaga | L 46 62 46 | L 46 64 36 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 75 16 67 67 | L 46 67 |
| Hamad Medjedovic | W 76 62 | W 76 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alexander Bublik
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Matteo Berrettini
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Ugo Humbert
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Jakub Mensik
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 25
Alex Michelsen
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Sebastian Baez
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 23
Taylor Fritz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Gustavo Heide
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, BRA-SUI 3-1 · Rubber 2
Sep 18
Matteo Berrettini
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Roman Safiullin
Cancun Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 21
Dalibor Svrcina
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Roman Andres Burruchaga
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 1st Round
Jul 21
Jaime Faria
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 1st Round
Jul 14
Matteo Berrettini
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Jesper de Jong
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 25
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 35–60 matches
| Metric | Nakashima | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 34% |
| Sets won | 59% | 40% |
| Games won | 53% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Nakashima | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Nakashima | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 3 |
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