Brandon Nakashima vs Mariano NavonePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Brandon Nakashima and Mariano Navone have met 2 times since 2024; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Turin Challenger in 2024 on clay. On clay courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Nakashima has taken 3 sets to Navone's 4. Their most recent meeting: Mariano Navone won at French Open - Paris (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Nakashima | Navone | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Brandon Nakashima | Mariano Navone | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 23/31 | 68% | 23/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 8/20 | 35% | 8/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 16/51 | 33% | 19/57 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 18/33 | 52% | 17/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 75% | 12/16 | 67% | 14/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 14/28 | 53% | 8/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 28/33 | 84% | 26/31 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 23/33 | 74% | 23/31 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Nakashima 0, Navone 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nakashima
🤖 Servebot
Navone
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 3,438 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Brandon Nakashima.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
May 25, 2025
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
May 17, 2024
Turin Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Nakashima | Navone | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Brandon Nakashima | Mariano Navone | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 21/21 | 93% | 13/14 |
| 3 or more | 95% | 20/21 | 36% | 5/14 |
| 5 or more | 91% | 19/21 | 21% | 3/14 |
| 10 or more | 52% | 11/21 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 15 or more | 10% | 2/21 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 5% | 1/21 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nakashima | Navone |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15–6 | 7–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.84 | 2.46 |
| ROI % | +27.8% | +25.6% |
| Units P/L | +5.84u | +3.59u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Nakashima | Navone |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 2 |
| Distance | 7,032 mi · 11,317 km | 663 mi · 1,067 km |
| Route | GBR → JPN → CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Nakashima has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Navone's 30%).
| Opponent | Nakashima | Navone |
|---|---|---|
| Matteo Berrettini | W 76 75 | W 36 63 64 76 |
| Alex de Minaur | W 76 64 | L 67 26 |
| Jakub Mensik | W 61 36 107 | L 36 62 46 61 67 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 63 64 | L 46 46 36 |
| Alex Michelsen | L 36 46 46 | L 62 26 57 |
| Nuno Borges | W 63 67 63 | W 63 64 |
| Alexander Blockx | L 63 36 46 | L 36 46 |
| Raphael Collignon | W 63 63 | W 63 76 |
| Luciano Darderi | W 62 63 | L 36 63 46 |
| Arthur Fils | L 26 36 | L 36 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alexander Bublik
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Matteo Berrettini
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Ugo Humbert
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Jakub Mensik
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 25
Alex Michelsen
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Sebastian Baez
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 23
Taylor Fritz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Pablo Carreno Busta
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Alex de Minaur
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Matteo Berrettini
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Novak Djokovic
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
James Duckworth
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Alexander Blockx
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Raphael Collignon
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 59–64 matches
| Metric | Nakashima | Navone |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 58% |
| Sets won | 58% | 55% |
| Games won | 53% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Nakashima | Navone |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Nakashima | Navone |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
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