Brandon Nakashima vs Mariano NavonePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Brandon Nakashima and Mariano Navone have met 2 times since 2024; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Turin Challenger in 2024 on clay. On clay courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Nakashima has taken 3 sets to Navone's 4. Their most recent meeting: Mariano Navone won at French Open - Paris (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Nakashima | Navone | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Brandon Nakashima | Mariano Navone | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 25/34 | 68% | 23/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 7/21 | 38% | 9/24 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 29% | 16/55 | 34% | 20/58 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 54% | 20/37 | 52% | 17/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 69% | 11/16 | 73% | 16/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 15/30 | 57% | 8/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 30/34 | 81% | 26/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 25/34 | 72% | 23/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Nakashima 0, Navone 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nakashima
🤖 Servebot
Navone
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 57% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 2,280 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Brandon Nakashima.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
May 25, 2025
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
May 17, 2024
Turin Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Nakashima | Navone | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Brandon Nakashima | Mariano Navone | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 21/21 | 91% | 10/11 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 21/21 | 27% | 3/11 |
| 5 or more | 91% | 19/21 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 10 or more | 43% | 9/21 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 15 or more | 14% | 3/21 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 10% | 2/21 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nakashima | Navone |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 16–5 | 5–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.87 | 2.18 |
| ROI % | +38.6% | -17.8% |
| Units P/L | +8.10u | -2.13u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Nakashima | Navone |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 13 | 6 |
| Distance | 1,200 mi · 1,932 km | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km |
| Route | USA → CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Nakashima has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Navone's 50%).
| Opponent | Nakashima | Navone |
|---|---|---|
| Nuno Borges | W 63 67 63 | W 63 64 |
| Alexander Blockx | L 63 36 46 | L 36 46 |
| Raphael Collignon | W 63 63 | W 63 76 |
| Luciano Darderi | W 62 63 | L 36 63 46 |
| Arthur Fils | L 26 36 | L 36 26 |
| Valentin Vacherot | W 26 62 63 | W 16 63 63 |
| Jakub Mensik | W 76 36 64 | L 36 62 46 61 67 |
| Quentin Halys | W 62 64 | L 57 36 |
| Jan-Lennard Struff | L 64 67 67 76 67 | W 60 63 |
| Alexandre Muller | L 26 57 | W 64 60 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 23
Taylor Fritz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Nuno Borges
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Daniil Medvedev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Ben Shelton
National Bank Open - Montreal · Final
Aug 14
Rafael Jodar
National Bank Open - Montreal · Semifinals
Aug 13
Luciano Darderi
National Bank Open - Montreal · Quarterfinals
Aug 11
James Duckworth
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Alexander Blockx
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Raphael Collignon
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Arthur Fils
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Valentin Vacherot
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Matteo Berrettini
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 3
Quentin Halys
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · Quarterfinals
Jul 23
Jan-Lennard Struff
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 61–62 matches
| Metric | Nakashima | Navone |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 56% |
| Sets won | 59% | 55% |
| Games won | 53% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Nakashima | Navone |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Nakashima | Navone |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
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