Brandon Nakashima vs Marcos GironPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Brandon Nakashima and Marcos Giron have met 4 times since 2020; Brandon Nakashima leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Indian Wells Challenger in 2020 on hard. On hard courts Nakashima leads 3–1. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Nakashima leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Nakashima has taken 6 sets to Giron's 4. Their most recent meeting: Marcos Giron won at Hellenic Championship - Athens (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Nakashima | Giron | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Brandon Nakashima | Marcos Giron | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 25/34 | 67% | 14/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 7/21 | 62% | 16/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 29% | 16/55 | 49% | 23/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 54% | 20/37 | 41% | 11/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 69% | 11/16 | 79% | 15/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 15/30 | 41% | 11/27 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 30/34 | 69% | 18/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 25/34 | 54% | 14/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Nakashima 1, Giron 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nakashima
🤖 Servebot
Giron
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 🎯 Baseliner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 1,749 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Nov 5, 2025
Hellenic Championship - Athens
H Hard · 2nd Round
Sep 21, 2025
Chengdu Open - Chengdu
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Sep 25, 2022
San Diego Open - San Diego
H Hard · Final
Mar 6, 2020
Indian Wells Challenger
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Nakashima | Giron | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Brandon Nakashima | Marcos Giron | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 21/21 | 100% | 14/14 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 21/21 | 79% | 11/14 |
| 5 or more | 91% | 19/21 | 57% | 8/14 |
| 10 or more | 43% | 9/21 | 29% | 4/14 |
| 15 or more | 14% | 3/21 | 14% | 2/14 |
| 20 or more | 10% | 2/21 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nakashima | Giron |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 16–5 | 4–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.87 | 2.52 |
| ROI % | +38.6% | -46.1% |
| Units P/L | +8.10u | -5.53u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Nakashima | Giron |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 13 | 2 |
| Distance | 1,200 mi · 1,932 km | 737 mi · 1,186 km |
| Route | USA → CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Nakashima has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Giron's 40%).
| Opponent | Nakashima | Giron |
|---|---|---|
| Taylor Fritz | W 76 46 63 | L 46 75 67 |
| Nuno Borges | W 63 67 63 | W 76 62 |
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | W 62 75 | W 62 36 64 |
| Ben Shelton | L 36 67 | L 76 46 67 |
| Luciano Darderi | W 62 63 | W 16 75 64 |
| Daniel Altmaier | W 62 61 | L 26 67 |
| Jakub Mensik | W 76 36 64 | L 57 67 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 67 75 46 | L 26 67 46 |
| Quentin Halys | W 62 64 | W 76 63 64 |
| Ignacio Buse | W 62 62 | L 63 57 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 23
Taylor Fritz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Nuno Borges
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Daniil Medvedev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Ben Shelton
National Bank Open - Montreal · Final
Aug 14
Rafael Jodar
National Bank Open - Montreal · Semifinals
Aug 13
Luciano Darderi
National Bank Open - Montreal · Quarterfinals
Aug 11
Dhakshineswar Suresh
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Hubert Hurkacz
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Cruz Hewitt
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Alexander Zverev
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Quentin Halys
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Corentin Moutet
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Jack Draper
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Ignacio Buse
HSBC Championships - London · 1st Round
Jun 16
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 52–61 matches
| Metric | Nakashima | Giron |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 44% |
| Sets won | 59% | 49% |
| Games won | 53% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Nakashima | Giron |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Nakashima | Giron |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 1 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.