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Head-to-Head

Brandon Nakashima vs Marcos GironPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Brandon Nakashima

🇺🇸Brandon Nakashima

#19 · 25 yrs · R

3
3–1

4 meetings · sets 6–4

Marcos Giron

🇺🇸Marcos Giron

#88 · 33 yrs · R

6

Brandon Nakashima and Marcos Giron have met 4 times since 2020; Brandon Nakashima leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Indian Wells Challenger in 2020 on hard. On hard courts Nakashima leads 3–1. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Nakashima leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Nakashima has taken 6 sets to Giron's 4. Their most recent meeting: Marcos Giron won at Hellenic Championship - Athens (2025).

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

IndicatorNakashimaGiron
Wins in straight sets74%59%
Wins a set when losing40%63%
Goes to a deciding set31%53%
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite55%34%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog75%82%
Tiebreak sets won50%47%
Wins after taking set 185%65%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 170%50%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Nakashima 1, Giron 1).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Nakashima

🤖 Servebot

High ace rateDominant serviceWeaker returnBig first serve
vs

Giron

🎯 Baseliner

Precise groundstrokesCourt controlPatient constructionConsistent depth

Matchup analysis

The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 53% vs 🎯 Baseliner across 1,590 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Brandon Nakashima.

Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the baseliner's precise groundstrokes.

Previous meetings

4 career meetings, newest first

Nov 5, 2025

Hellenic Championship - Athens

H Hard · 2nd Round

677
16
Giron

Sep 21, 2025

Chengdu Open - Chengdu

H Hard · Quarterfinals

63
26
763
Nakashima

Sep 25, 2022

San Diego Open - San Diego

H Hard · Final

64
64
Nakashima

Mar 6, 2020

Indian Wells Challenger

H Hard · Quarterfinals

762
36
62
Nakashima

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

OutcomeNakashimaGiron
1 or more100%100%
3 or more95%83%
5 or more91%67%
10 or more52%0%
15 or more10%0%
20 or more5%0%

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

MetricNakashimaGiron
W-L15–63–7
Avg odds1.841.70
ROI %+27.8%-63.9%
Units P/L+5.84u-6.39u

Travel

Last 30 days

MetricNakashimaGiron
Countries32
Events32
Matches42
Distance7,032 mi · 11,317 km1,092 mi · 1,758 km
RouteGBR → JPN → CHNJPN → CHN

Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Nakashima has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Giron's 40%).

OpponentNakashimaGiron
Alexander Bublik
L
76
36
67
L
63
46
26
Sebastian Baez
W
62
61
60
L
61
36
46
Jakub Mensik
W
61
36
107
L
57
67
Alex Michelsen
L
36
46
46
W
64
64
Ignacio Buse
W
62
62
L
63
36
36
76
16
Taylor Fritz
W
76
46
63
L
46
75
67
Nuno Borges
W
63
67
63
W
76
62
Aleksandar Kovacevic
W
62
75
W
62
36
64
Ben Shelton
L
36
67
L
76
46
67
Luciano Darderi
W
62
63
W
16
75
64

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Nakashima
LWLWLWLW
L

Alexander Bublik

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round

767
36
657

Oct 11

W

Matteo Berrettini

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round

764
75

Oct 9

L

Ugo Humbert

Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round

36
26

Oct 1

W

Jakub Mensik

Laver Cup - London · Round Robin

61
36
107

Sep 25

L

Alex Michelsen

U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round

36
46
46

Sep 2

W

Sebastian Baez

U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round

62
61
60

Aug 31

L

Frances Tiafoe

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals

57
36

Aug 23

W

Taylor Fritz

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals

769
46
63

Aug 21

Giron
LLLLLLWL
L

Sebastian Baez

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round

61
36
46

Oct 8

L

Jaume Munar

Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying

75
16
46

Sep 28

L

Ignacio Buse

U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round

63
36
36
766
16

Sep 2

L

Dhakshineswar Suresh

Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round

36
57

Aug 24

L

Henrique Rocha

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying

46
667

Aug 12

L

Hubert Hurkacz

National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round

57
64
26

Aug 4

W

Pablo Llamas Ruiz

National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round Qualifying

26
63
61

Aug 1

L

Cruz Hewitt

Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round

36
46

Jul 28

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

↑ NakashimaNakashima ahead↓ Giron

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 55–59 matches

MetricNakashimaGiron
Matches won59%44%
Sets won58%48%
Games won53%50%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

StageNakashimaGiron
Finals10
ATP 25021
ATP Challenger Tour10

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

SurfaceNakashimaGiron
Hard31

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Brandon Nakashima vs Marcos Giron FAQ

Brandon Nakashima leads the head-to-head 3–1 over 4 meetings.