Brandon Nakashima vs Daniel EvansPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Brandon Nakashima and Daniel Evans have met 4 times since 2021; Brandon Nakashima leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Citi Open - Washington in 2021 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Nakashima has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Nakashima has taken 7 sets to Evans's 2. Their most recent meeting: Brandon Nakashima won at cinch Championships - London (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Nakashima | Evans | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Brandon Nakashima | Daniel Evans | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 25/34 | 80% | 4/5 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 7/21 | 40% | 2/5 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 29% | 16/55 | 30% | 3/10 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 54% | 20/37 | 67% | 2/3 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 69% | 11/16 | 67% | 4/6 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 15/30 | 67% | 2/3 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 30/34 | 80% | 4/5 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 25/34 | 80% | 4/5 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Nakashima 3, Evans 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nakashima
🤖 Servebot
Evans
🎾 All-Court
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🎾 All-Court across 752 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Brandon Nakashima.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the all-court's tactical versatility.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jun 18, 2025
cinch Championships - London
G Grass · 2nd Round
Apr 15, 2024
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona
C Clay · 1st Round
Nov 1, 2022
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard · 1st Round
Aug 4, 2021
Citi Open - Washington
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Nakashima | Evans | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Brandon Nakashima | Daniel Evans | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 21/21 | 100% | 3/3 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 21/21 | 67% | 2/3 |
| 5 or more | 91% | 19/21 | 67% | 2/3 |
| 10 or more | 43% | 9/21 | 33% | 1/3 |
| 15 or more | 14% | 3/21 | 0% | 0/3 |
| 20 or more | 10% | 2/21 | 0% | 0/3 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nakashima | Evans |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 16–5 | 1–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.87 | 2.55 |
| ROI % | +38.6% | -47.5% |
| Units P/L | +8.10u | -1.90u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Nakashima | Evans |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 12 | — |
| Distance | 1,200 mi · 1,932 km | — |
| Route | USA → CAN → USA | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Nakashima and Evans posted a 0% win rate.
| Opponent | Nakashima | Evans |
|---|---|---|
| Marcos Giron | L 67 16 | L 57 62 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 23
Taylor Fritz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Nuno Borges
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Daniil Medvedev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Ben Shelton
National Bank Open - Montreal · Final
Aug 14
Rafael Jodar
National Bank Open - Montreal · Semifinals
Aug 13
Luciano Darderi
National Bank Open - Montreal · Quarterfinals
Aug 11
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Tristan Schoolkate
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 24
Marcos Giron
HSBC Championships · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 13
Charles Broom
Lexus Ilkley Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 8
James Watt
Lexus Ilkley Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 7
Bruno Kuzuhara
UAMS Health Little Rock Open · 1st Round Qualifying
May 24
Daniel Jade
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 18
Oliver Crawford
Guangzhou Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 11
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 10–61 matches
| Metric | Nakashima | Evans |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 50% |
| Sets won | 59% | 52% |
| Games won | 53% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Nakashima | Evans |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 2 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Nakashima | Evans |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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