Botic van de Zandschulp vs Tommy PaulPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Botic van de Zandschulp and Tommy Paul have met 3 times since 2023; Botic van de Zandschulp leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Davis Cup, Group D, Split in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Zandschulp leads 2–0. Across all meetings Zandschulp has taken 4 sets to Paul's 3. Their most recent meeting: Tommy Paul won at HSBC Championships - London (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | van de Zandschulp | Paul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Botic van de Zandschulp | Tommy Paul | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 21/29 | 57% | 17/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 44% | 11/25 | 57% | 8/14 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 19/54 | 48% | 21/44 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 13/25 | 38% | 15/39 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 71% | 17/24 | 100% | 4/4 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 14/24 | 62% | 13/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 79% | 23/29 | 79% | 22/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 72% | 21/29 | 61% | 17/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (van de Zandschulp 1, Paul 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Zandschulp
💥 Big Hitter
Paul
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Botic van de Zandschulp and Tommy Paul are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 4,120 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jun 18, 2026
HSBC Championships - London
G Grass · 2nd Round
Nov 1, 2023
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard · 2nd Round
Sep 14, 2023
Davis Cup, Group D, Split
H Hard · Rubber 1
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Zandschulp | Paul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Botic van de Zandschulp | Tommy Paul | ||
| 1 or more | 91% | 20/22 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 77% | 17/22 | 92% | 11/12 |
| 5 or more | 55% | 12/22 | 75% | 9/12 |
| 10 or more | 27% | 6/22 | 17% | 2/12 |
| 15 or more | 14% | 3/22 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/22 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Zandschulp | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15–8 | 8–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.22 | 1.81 |
| ROI % | +24.8% | +1.3% |
| Units P/L | +5.70u | +0.17u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Zandschulp | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 6 | 2 |
| Distance | 1,611 mi · 2,592 km | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km |
| Route | CHN | JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Paul has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Zandschulp's 60%).
| Opponent | Zandschulp | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | W 62 60 | W 62 62 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | L 75 46 36 | L 76 46 36 |
| Valentin Royer | W 46 62 64 | W 64 76 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 26 57 16 | W 46 76 64 |
| Zizou Bergs | W 36 76 46 76 63 | W 61 62 |
| Alex de Minaur | W 64 75 62 | W 26 63 63 |
| Alexander Bublik | L 36 36 | W 64 36 67 61 63 |
| Luciano Darderi | W 61 60 | L 63 36 26 |
| Joao Fonseca | L 46 67 | L 26 36 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | W 36 76 75 | W 64 67 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alex Michelsen
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Francisco Cerundolo
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Jie Cui
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Valentin Royer
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Johan Alexander Rodriguez
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NED-COL 4-0 · Rubber 1
Sep 18
Alexander Zverev
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 10
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Alejandro Tabilo
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Sep 30
Carlos Alcaraz
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 6
Alexander Bublik
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Dino Prizmic
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Chak Pong Marco Lam
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Flavio Cobolli
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Alexander Zverev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 58–65 matches
| Metric | Zandschulp | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 55% | 69% |
| Sets won | 55% | 64% |
| Games won | 51% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Zandschulp | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Zandschulp | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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