Botic van de Zandschulp vs Daniil MedvedevPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇳🇱Botic van de Zandschulp
#41 · 31 yrs · R
5 meetings · sets 3–10
🇷🇺Daniil Medvedev
#6 · 30 yrs · R
TitleBotic van de Zandschulp and Daniil Medvedev have met 5 times since 2021; Daniil Medvedev leads 4–1. Their first meeting came at U.S. Open - New York in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Medvedev leads 4–1. Across all meetings Zandschulp has taken 3 sets to Medvedev's 10. Their most recent meeting: Botic van de Zandschulp won at National Bank Open - Montreal (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | van de Zandschulp | Medvedev | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Botic van de Zandschulp | Daniil Medvedev | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 20/28 | 68% | 28/41 |
| Wins a set when losing | 44% | 11/25 | 47% | 7/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 19/53 | 36% | 20/56 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 13/25 | 51% | 25/49 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 70% | 16/23 | 50% | 2/4 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 13/23 | 39% | 9/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 79% | 22/28 | 94% | 34/36 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 71% | 20/28 | 78% | 28/36 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (van de Zandschulp 1, Medvedev 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Zandschulp
💥 Big Hitter
Medvedev
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 👑 The Complete Package across 1,618 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Botic van de Zandschulp.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the complete package's elite serve & return.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Aug 6, 2026
National Bank Open - Montreal
H Hard · 2nd Round
Feb 16, 2023
ABN AMRO World Tennis Tournament - Rotterdam
H Hard · 2nd Round
Aug 16, 2022
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jan 22, 2022
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 3rd Round
Sep 7, 2021
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Zandschulp | Medvedev | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Botic van de Zandschulp | Daniil Medvedev | ||
| 1 or more | 91% | 19/21 | 100% | 17/17 |
| 3 or more | 76% | 16/21 | 100% | 17/17 |
| 5 or more | 57% | 12/21 | 88% | 15/17 |
| 10 or more | 29% | 6/21 | 82% | 14/17 |
| 15 or more | 14% | 3/21 | 24% | 4/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/21 | 12% | 2/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Zandschulp | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15–7 | 11–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.23 | 1.32 |
| ROI % | +30.4% | -15.1% |
| Units P/L | +6.70u | -2.42u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Zandschulp | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 6 | 9 |
| Distance | 1,611 mi · 2,592 km | 1,361 mi · 2,191 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Medvedev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Zandschulp's 50%).
| Opponent | Zandschulp | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Michelsen | W 64 64 | W 62 64 |
| Jan-Lennard Struff | W 63 16 61 | W 46 64 63 |
| Daniel Merida Aguilar | W 16 63 64 | W 36 63 75 62 |
| Novak Djokovic | L 36 46 67 | L |
| Francisco Cerundolo | L 75 46 36 | W 76 63 |
| Pablo Carreno Busta | L 36 26 | W 64 62 |
| Valentin Royer | W 46 62 64 | W 76 63 |
| Roman Safiullin | L 06 64 36 63 67 | W 75 64 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 26 57 16 | L 62 36 67 |
| Brandon Nakashima | W 63 46 76 76 | L 76 67 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alex Michelsen
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Francisco Cerundolo
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Jie Cui
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Valentin Royer
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Johan Alexander Rodriguez
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NED-COL 4-0 · Rubber 1
Sep 18
Alexander Zverev
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 10
Jan-Lennard Struff
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Novak Djokovic
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 5
Francisco Cerundolo
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Jan-Lennard Struff
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Pablo Carreno Busta
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 2
Andrey Rublev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Final
Sep 29
Roman Safiullin
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Semifinals
Sep 28
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 64–68 matches
| Metric | Zandschulp | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 55% | 72% |
| Sets won | 54% | 66% |
| Games won | 51% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Zandschulp | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 2 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Zandschulp | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 4 |
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