Botic van de Zandschulp vs Carlos AlcarazPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ณ๐ฑBotic van de Zandschulp
#71 ยท 30 yrs ยท R
4 meetings ยท sets 4โ7

๐ช๐ธCarlos Alcaraz
#3 ยท 23 yrs ยท R
20wBotic van de Zandschulp and Carlos Alcaraz have met 4 times since 2021; Carlos Alcaraz leads 3โ1. Their first meeting came at Australian Open - Melbourne in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Alcaraz leads 3โ1. Across all meetings Zandschulp has taken 4 sets to Alcaraz's 7. Their most recent meeting: Carlos Alcaraz won at ABN AMRO Open - Rotterdam (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | van de Zandschulp | Alcaraz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Botic van de Zandschulp | Carlos Alcaraz | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 80% | 20/25 | 80% | 20/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 41% | 11/27 | 33% | 2/6 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 16/52 | 23% | 7/31 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 57% | 13/23 | 69% | 20/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 61% | 14/23 | 0% | 0/2 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 48% | 14/29 | 40% | 4/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 22/27 | 95% | 21/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 20/27 | 91% | 20/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (van de Zandschulp 0, Alcaraz 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Zandschulp
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Alcaraz
๐ The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
๐ฅ Big Hitter vs ๐ The Complete Package is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 532 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Feb 4, 2025
ABN AMRO Open - Rotterdam
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Aug 29, 2024
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Oct 26, 2022
Swiss Indoors Basel - Basel
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Feb 9, 2021
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Zandschulp | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9โ7 | - |
| Avg odds | 2.29 | - |
| ROI % | +7.8% | - |
| Units P/L | +1.25u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Zandschulp | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | โ |
| Events | 3 | โ |
| Matches | 9 | โ |
| Distance | 1,024 mi ยท 1,648 km | โ |
| Route | CAN โ USA | โ |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Alcaraz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Zandschulp's 20%).
| Opponent | Zandschulp | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Joao Fonseca | L 46 67 | W 64 64 |
| Daniil Medvedev | W 63 76 | L 36 67 |
| Tommy Paul | L 67 36 | W 76 64 75 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | L 36 46 76 46 | W 62 61 |
| Karen Khachanov | L 75 46 46 | W 67 64 63 |
| Alexander Bublik | L 36 36 | W 63 60 |
| Taylor Fritz | L 36 76 36 | W 67 75 63 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 63 67 57 | W 75 62 61 |
| Novak Djokovic | L 36 46 67 | W 26 62 63 75 |
| Brandon Nakashima | W 63 46 76 76 | W 62 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Benjamin Bonzi
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 27
Luciano Darderi
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 3rd Round
Aug 26
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 2nd Round
Aug 25
Joao Fonseca
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Aleksandr Shevchenko
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 14
Jakub Mensik
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 4th Round
Aug 10
Hubert Hurkacz
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 3rd Round
Aug 7
Daniil Medvedev
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 2nd Round
Aug 6
Otto Virtanen
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona ยท 1st Round
Apr 14
Jannik Sinner
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo ยท Final
Apr 12
Valentin Vacherot
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo ยท Semifinals
Apr 11
Alexander Bublik
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo ยท Quarterfinals
Apr 10
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo ยท 3rd Round
Apr 9
Sebastian Baez
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo ยท 2nd Round
Apr 7
Sebastian Korda
Miami Open - Miami ยท 3rd Round
Mar 22
Joao Fonseca
Miami Open - Miami ยท 2nd Round
Mar 20
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 42โ58 matches
| Metric | Zandschulp | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 48% | 86% |
| Sets won | 51% | 80% |
| Games won | 51% | 59% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Zandschulp | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Zandschulp | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 3 |
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