Botic van de Zandschulp vs Carlos AlcarazPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ณ๐ฑBotic van de Zandschulp
#41 ยท 31 yrs ยท R
4 meetings ยท sets 4โ7

๐ช๐ธCarlos Alcaraz
#3 ยท 23 yrs ยท R
7TitleBotic van de Zandschulp and Carlos Alcaraz have met 4 times since 2021; Carlos Alcaraz leads 3โ1. Their first meeting came at Australian Open - Melbourne in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Alcaraz leads 3โ1. Across all meetings Zandschulp has taken 4 sets to Alcaraz's 7. Their most recent meeting: Carlos Alcaraz won at ABN AMRO Open - Rotterdam (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | van de Zandschulp | Alcaraz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Botic van de Zandschulp | Carlos Alcaraz | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 21/29 | 72% | 18/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 44% | 11/25 | 40% | 2/5 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 19/54 | 30% | 9/30 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 13/25 | 64% | 18/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 71% | 17/24 | 0% | 0/2 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 14/24 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 79% | 23/29 | 95% | 21/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 72% | 21/29 | 82% | 18/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (van de Zandschulp 0, Alcaraz 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Zandschulp
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Alcaraz
๐ The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The ๐ฅ Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs ๐ The Complete Package across 1,618 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Botic van de Zandschulp.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the complete package's elite serve & return.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Feb 4, 2025
ABN AMRO Open - Rotterdam
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Aug 29, 2024
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Oct 26, 2022
Swiss Indoors Basel - Basel
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Feb 9, 2021
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Zandschulp | Alcaraz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Botic van de Zandschulp | Carlos Alcaraz | ||
| 1 or more | 91% | 20/22 | 92% | 11/12 |
| 3 or more | 77% | 17/22 | 75% | 9/12 |
| 5 or more | 55% | 12/22 | 25% | 3/12 |
| 10 or more | 27% | 6/22 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 15 or more | 14% | 3/22 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/22 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Zandschulp | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15โ8 | 11โ1 |
| Avg odds | 2.22 | 1.15 |
| ROI % | +24.8% | +4.3% |
| Units P/L | +5.70u | +0.51u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Zandschulp | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 3 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 6 | 7 |
| Distance | 1,611 mi ยท 2,592 km | 7,032 mi ยท 11,317 km |
| Route | CHN | GBR โ JPN โ CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Alcaraz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Zandschulp's 50%).
| Opponent | Zandschulp | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Michelsen | W 64 64 | W 76 46 61 |
| Juan Manuel Cerundolo | L 67 76 36 | W 63 63 |
| Jiri Lehecka | W 62 62 | W 76 64 |
| Denis Shapovalov | W 75 63 | W |
| Valentin Royer | W 46 62 64 | W 62 75 |
| Taylor Fritz | L 36 76 36 | W 63 46 1311 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 26 57 16 | W 64 76 67 67 75 |
| Tommy Paul | L 67 36 | W 64 63 64 |
| Alex de Minaur | W 64 75 62 | W 75 62 61 |
| Jaime Faria | L 36 46 | W 46 60 63 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alex Michelsen
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 2nd Round
Oct 10
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 1st Round
Oct 8
Francisco Cerundolo
China Open - Beijing ยท 1st Round
Oct 1
Jie Cui
China Open - Beijing ยท 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Valentin Royer
China Open - Beijing ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Chengdu Open - Chengdu ยท 2nd Round
Sep 25
Johan Alexander Rodriguez
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NED-COL 4-0 ยท Rubber 1
Sep 18
Alexander Zverev
U.S. Open - New York ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 10
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 2nd Round
Oct 10
Jiri Lehecka
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo ยท Final
Oct 6
Jaume Munar
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo ยท Semifinals
Oct 5
Denis Shapovalov
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo ยท Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Matteo Arnaldi
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo ยท 2nd Round
Oct 3
Alex Michelsen
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo ยท 1st Round
Oct 1
Taylor Fritz
Laver Cup - London ยท Round Robin
Sep 26
Ben Shelton
U.S. Open - New York ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 42โ65 matches
| Metric | Zandschulp | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 55% | 86% |
| Sets won | 55% | 78% |
| Games won | 51% | 59% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Zandschulp | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Zandschulp | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 3 |
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