Ben Shelton vs Tommy PaulPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

πΊπΈBen Shelton
#9 Β· 23 yrs Β· L
Title4 meetings Β· sets 6β6

πΊπΈTommy Paul
#21 Β· 29 yrs Β· R
Ben Shelton and Tommy Paul have met 4 times since 2023; they are level 2β2. Their first meeting came at Australian Open - Melbourne in 2023 on hard. On hard courts they are level 2β2. Across all meetings Shelton has taken 6 sets to Paul's 6. Their most recent meeting: Tommy Paul won at Dallas Open - Dallas (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Shelton | Paul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ben Shelton | Tommy Paul | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 48% | 15/31 | 55% | 16/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 56% | 9/16 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 53% | 25/47 | 49% | 20/41 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 35% | 13/37 | 39% | 14/36 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 70% | 7/10 | 100% | 4/4 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 21/36 | 62% | 13/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 79% | 22/28 | 81% | 21/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 54% | 15/28 | 62% | 16/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Shelton 1, Paul 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shelton
π€ Servebot
Paul
π₯ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
π€ Servebot vs π₯ Big Hitter is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Feb 10, 2024
Dallas Open - Dallas
H Hard Β· Semifinals
Oct 20, 2023
Rakuten Japan Open - Tokyo
H Hard Β· Quarterfinals
Sep 3, 2023
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard Β· 4th Round
Jan 25, 2023
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard Β· Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Shelton | Paul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ben Shelton | Tommy Paul | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 94% | 17/18 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 5 or more | 83% | 15/18 | 80% | 12/15 |
| 10 or more | 33% | 6/18 | 33% | 5/15 |
| 15 or more | 22% | 4/18 | 13% | 2/15 |
| 20 or more | 6% | 1/18 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Shelton | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14β4 | 10β4 |
| Avg odds | 1.47 | 1.54 |
| ROI % | +14.8% | +12.2% |
| Units P/L | +2.67u | +1.71u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Shelton | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 9 | 5 |
| Distance | 1,200 mi Β· 1,932 km | 712 mi Β· 1,146 km |
| Route | USA β CAN β USA | CAN β USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Shelton has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Paul's 70%).
| Opponent | Shelton | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Alexander Zverev | L 36 67 | W 46 76 64 |
| Learner Tien | W 62 63 | L 36 26 |
| Joao Fonseca | W 63 76 | L 26 36 |
| Zizou Bergs | W 63 62 | W 61 62 |
| Jenson Brooksby | W 63 75 | W 46 64 76 |
| Ugo Humbert | W 67 63 64 | W 63 63 |
| Kamil Majchrzak | W 67 63 76 | L 57 67 |
| Taylor Fritz | L 76 67 67 | W 64 63 |
| Ethan Quinn | W 64 57 64 | W 61 63 |
| Lorenzo Sonego | W 75 63 | W 63 62 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jaime Faria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 17
Brandon Nakashima
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· Final
Aug 14
Learner Tien
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· Semifinals
Aug 13
Jakub Mensik
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· Quarterfinals
Aug 12
Joao Fonseca
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· 4th Round
Aug 10
Zizou Bergs
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· 3rd Round
Aug 7
Jenson Brooksby
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· 2nd Round
Aug 5
Alejandro Tabilo
Citi Open - Washington Β· Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Alexander Zverev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 4th Round
Aug 19
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 3rd Round
Aug 18
Hubert Hurkacz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 16
Learner Tien
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· 3rd Round
Aug 8
Valentin Royer
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· 2nd Round
Aug 6
Kamil Majchrzak
Citi Open - Washington Β· 1st Round
Jul 28
Hubert Hurkacz
Wimbledon - London Β· 3rd Round
Jul 3
Soonwoo Kwon
Wimbledon - London Β· 2nd Round
Jul 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 51β55 matches
| Metric | Shelton | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 65% | 69% |
| Sets won | 60% | 64% |
| Games won | 52% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Shelton | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Shelton | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 2 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.