Ben Shelton vs Sebastian BaezPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

πΊπΈBen Shelton
#4 Β· 23 yrs Β· L
2 meetings Β· sets 2β2

π¦π·Sebastian Baez
#53 Β· 25 yrs Β· R
Ben Shelton and Sebastian Baez have met 2 times since 2023; they are level 1β1. Their first meeting came at ASB Classic - Auckland in 2023 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1β1. Across all meetings Shelton has taken 2 sets to Baez's 2. Their most recent meeting: Sebastian Baez won at ASB Classic - Auckland (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Shelton | Baez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ben Shelton | Sebastian Baez | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 16/32 | 76% | 26/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 56% | 10/18 | 23% | 6/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 52% | 26/50 | 23% | 14/60 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 35% | 14/40 | 61% | 17/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 70% | 7/10 | 54% | 15/28 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 56% | 22/39 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 77% | 23/30 | 83% | 29/35 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 53% | 16/30 | 74% | 26/35 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Shelton 1, Baez 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shelton
π€ Servebot
Baez
πΎ All-Court
Matchup analysis
The π€ Servebot archetype wins about 54% vs πΎ All-Court across 703 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Ben Shelton.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the all-court's tactical versatility.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jan 16, 2026
ASB Classic - Auckland
H Hard Β· Quarterfinals
Jan 10, 2023
ASB Classic - Auckland
H Hard Β· 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Shelton | Baez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ben Shelton | Sebastian Baez | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 19/19 | 68% | 13/19 |
| 3 or more | 95% | 18/19 | 32% | 6/19 |
| 5 or more | 84% | 16/19 | 16% | 3/19 |
| 10 or more | 26% | 5/19 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 15 or more | 5% | 1/19 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 20 or more | 5% | 1/19 | 0% | 0/19 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Shelton | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15β6 | 8β9 |
| Avg odds | 1.54 | 2.43 |
| ROI % | +9.9% | -17.4% |
| Units P/L | +2.08u | -2.95u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Shelton | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 2 | 4 |
| Distance | 0 mi Β· 0 km | 1,611 mi Β· 2,592 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Shelton has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Baez's 20%).
| Opponent | Shelton | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Valentin Vacherot | W 64 64 76 | L 46 67 |
| Marcos Giron | W 67 64 76 | W 16 63 64 |
| Jenson Brooksby | W 63 75 | L 57 57 |
| Jakub Mensik | L 75 46 36 | L 36 67 |
| Jiri Lehecka | L 46 46 | W 64 61 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | W 67 61 63 16 76 | L 16 36 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | W 63 57 76 75 | L 64 06 36 |
| Brandon Nakashima | W 63 76 | L 26 16 06 |
| Jaime Faria | L 46 46 | L 57 16 |
| Learner Tien | W 62 63 | L 36 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Arthur Gea
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai Β· 3rd Round
Oct 11
Daniel Altmaier
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai Β· 2nd Round
Oct 9
Jakub Mensik
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CZE-USA Β· Rubber 4
Sep 19
Jiri Lehecka
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CZE-USA Β· Rubber 2
Sep 18
Alexander Zverev
U.S. Open - New York Β· Final
Sep 13
Frances Tiafoe
U.S. Open - New York Β· Semifinals
Sep 11
Carlos Alcaraz
U.S. Open - New York Β· Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Stefanos Tsitsipas
U.S. Open - New York Β· 4th Round
Sep 7
Valentin Vacherot
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai Β· 2nd Round
Oct 10
Marcos Giron
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai Β· 1st Round
Oct 8
Juncheng Shang
China Open - Beijing Β· 1st Round
Oct 1
Jenson Brooksby
Chengdu Open - Chengdu Β· 1st Round
Sep 23
Brandon Nakashima
U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round
Aug 31
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem Β· 3rd Round
Aug 26
Hugo Grenier
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem Β· 2nd Round
Aug 26
Hubert Hurkacz
Cancun Challenger Β· Final
Aug 24
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 65β65 matches
| Metric | Shelton | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 66% | 54% |
| Sets won | 61% | 52% |
| Games won | 53% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Shelton | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Shelton | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
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