Ben Shelton vs Sebastian BaezPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Ben Shelton and Sebastian Baez have met 2 times since 2023; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at ASB Classic - Auckland in 2023 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Shelton has taken 2 sets to Baez's 2. Their most recent meeting: Sebastian Baez won at ASB Classic - Auckland (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Shelton | Baez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ben Shelton | Sebastian Baez | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 48% | 15/31 | 76% | 26/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 56% | 9/16 | 19% | 5/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 53% | 25/47 | 22% | 13/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 35% | 13/37 | 63% | 17/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 70% | 7/10 | 52% | 15/29 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 21/36 | 64% | 7/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 79% | 22/28 | 85% | 29/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 54% | 15/28 | 76% | 26/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Shelton 1, Baez 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shelton
🤖 Servebot
Baez
🎾 All-Court
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🎾 All-Court across 752 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Ben Shelton.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the all-court's tactical versatility.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jan 16, 2026
ASB Classic - Auckland
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jan 10, 2023
ASB Classic - Auckland
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Shelton | Baez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ben Shelton | Sebastian Baez | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 76% | 16/21 |
| 3 or more | 94% | 17/18 | 29% | 6/21 |
| 5 or more | 83% | 15/18 | 10% | 2/21 |
| 10 or more | 33% | 6/18 | 0% | 0/21 |
| 15 or more | 22% | 4/18 | 0% | 0/21 |
| 20 or more | 6% | 1/18 | 0% | 0/21 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Shelton | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14–4 | 14–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.47 | 1.90 |
| ROI % | +14.8% | +8.8% |
| Units P/L | +2.67u | +1.76u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Shelton | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 3 | 4 |
| Matches | 9 | 9 |
| Distance | 1,200 mi · 1,932 km | 3,066 mi · 4,934 km |
| Route | USA → CAN → USA | CAN → USA → MEX → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Shelton has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Baez's 50%).
| Opponent | Shelton | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Jaime Faria | L 46 46 | L 57 16 |
| Learner Tien | W 62 63 | L 36 67 |
| Jakub Mensik | W 63 61 | L 36 67 |
| Zizou Bergs | W 63 62 | L 63 36 26 |
| Jenson Brooksby | W 63 75 | W 63 76 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | L 64 57 46 | W 76 61 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | W 57 63 64 | W 63 36 64 |
| Andrey Rublev | W 76 63 | L 16 26 |
| Taylor Fritz | L 76 67 67 | W 46 75 64 |
| Jiri Lehecka | W 67 76 76 | W 64 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jaime Faria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Brandon Nakashima
National Bank Open - Montreal · Final
Aug 14
Learner Tien
National Bank Open - Montreal · Semifinals
Aug 13
Jakub Mensik
National Bank Open - Montreal · Quarterfinals
Aug 12
Joao Fonseca
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 10
Zizou Bergs
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Jenson Brooksby
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Alejandro Tabilo
Citi Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Hugo Grenier
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Hubert Hurkacz
Cancun Challenger · Final
Aug 24
Lloyd Harris
Cancun Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 23
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Cancun Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Cancun Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 21
Learner Tien
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Grigor Dimitrov
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Zizou Bergs
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 55–64 matches
| Metric | Shelton | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 65% | 55% |
| Sets won | 60% | 53% |
| Games won | 52% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Shelton | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Shelton | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
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