Beatriz Haddad Maia vs Karolina MuchovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ง๐ทBeatriz Haddad Maia
#428 ยท 30 yrs ยท Left-Handed
15w3 meetings ยท sets 1โ6

๐จ๐ฟKarolina Muchova
#7 ยท 29 yrs ยท Right-Handed
Beatriz Haddad Maia and Karolina Muchova have met 3 times since 2022; Karolina Muchova leads 3โ0. Their first meeting came at Ostrava Open - Ostrava in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Muchova leads 3โ0. Muchova has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Maia has taken 1 sets to Muchova's 6. Their most recent meeting: Karolina Muchova won at U.S. Open - New York (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Haddad Maia | Muchova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Beatriz Haddad Maia | Karolina Muchova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 3/4 | 66% | 27/41 |
| Wins a set when losing | 26% | 5/19 | 31% | 4/13 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 26% | 6/23 | 33% | 18/54 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 25% | 2/8 | 53% | 20/38 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 7/15 | 69% | 9/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 4/7 | 100% | 8/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 50% | 3/6 | 94% | 33/35 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 50% | 3/6 | 77% | 27/35 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Haddad Maia 0, Muchova 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Maia
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Muchova
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
๐ฅ Big Hitter vs ๐ค Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 3,072 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Sep 4, 2024
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 15, 2023
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Oct 5, 2022
Ostrava Open - Ostrava
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Maia | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 5โ2 |
| Avg odds | - | 1.27 |
| ROI % | - | -10.1% |
| Units P/L | - | -0.71u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Maia | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | โ | 1 |
| Events | โ | 1 |
| Matches | โ | 4 |
| Distance | โ | 0 mi ยท 0 km |
| Route | โ | ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Muchova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Maia's 0%).
| Opponent | Maia | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Katie Boulter | L 46 46 | W 76 61 |
| Shuai Zhang | L 46 26 | W 63 62 |
| Anastasia Zakharova | L 46 46 | W 63 62 |
| Victoria Mboko | L 75 36 26 | W 75 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Maria Timofeeva
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 30
Sachia Vickery
Ladies Open - Figueira da Foz ยท 1st Round
Jun 15
Heather Watson
The HSBC Championships - London ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 7
Francesca Jones
French Open - Paris ยท 1st Round
May 24
Shuai Zhang
Internationaux de Strasbourg - Strasbourg ยท 1st Round Qualifying
May 16
Diane Parry
Trophee Clarins - Paris ยท 1st Round
May 12
Leolia Jeanjean
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome ยท 1st Round
May 6
Marina Bassols Ribera
Catalonia Open Solgirones - La Bisbal D'Emporda ยท Quarterfinals
May 1
Nikola Bartunkova
China Open - Beijing ยท Quarterfinals
Oct 8
Naomi Osaka
China Open - Beijing ยท 4th Round
Oct 6
Liudmila Samsonova
China Open - Beijing ยท 3rd Round
Oct 4
Katie Boulter
China Open - Beijing ยท 2nd Round
Oct 2
Emma Navarro
U.S. Open - New York ยท 3rd Round
Sep 4
Katie Boulter
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round
Sep 2
Sinja Kraus
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Aug 31
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London ยท Final
Jul 11
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 23โ54 matches
| Metric | Maia | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 17% | 76% |
| Sets won | 25% | 68% |
| Games won | 41% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Maia | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Maia | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 3 |
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