Beatriz Haddad Maia vs Jasmine PaoliniPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇷Beatriz Haddad Maia
#154 · 30 yrs · Left-Handed
9w3 meetings · sets 2–6
🇮🇹Jasmine Paolini
#20 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
8wBeatriz Haddad Maia and Jasmine Paolini have met 3 times since 2023; Jasmine Paolini leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at China Open - Beijing in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Paolini leads 2–0. Paolini has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Maia has taken 2 sets to Paolini's 6. Their most recent meeting: Jasmine Paolini won at Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Haddad Maia | Paolini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Beatriz Haddad Maia | Jasmine Paolini | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 86% | 6/7 | 54% | 14/26 |
| Wins a set when losing | 30% | 6/20 | 26% | 5/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 26% | 7/27 | 38% | 17/45 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 40% | 4/10 | 36% | 12/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 8/17 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 5/10 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 60% | 6/10 | 81% | 17/21 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 60% | 6/10 | 67% | 14/21 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Haddad Maia 0, Paolini 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Maia
💥 Big Hitter
Paolini
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 1,181 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jun 26, 2025
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Feb 18, 2024
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai
H Hard · 1st Round
Oct 1, 2023
China Open - Beijing
H Hard · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Maia | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 0–3 | 4–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.91 | 2.18 |
| ROI % | -100.0% | +35.3% |
| Units P/L | -3.00u | +2.12u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Paolini has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Maia's 17%).
| Opponent | Maia | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Maria Sakkari | W 61 62 | W 61 62 |
| Dayana Yastremska | L 26 57 | W 75 63 |
| Leolia Jeanjean | L 67 46 | W 67 62 64 |
| Zeynep Sonmez | L 36 26 | L 26 26 |
| Katie Boulter | L 46 46 | W 06 63 63 |
| Amanda Anisimova | L 06 36 | L 76 36 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Maria Timofeeva
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Sachia Vickery
Ladies Open - Figueira da Foz · 1st Round
Jun 15
Heather Watson
Queen's Club
Jun 7
Francesca Jones
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 24
Diane Parry
Trophee Clarins - Paris · 1st Round
May 12
Leolia Jeanjean
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome · 1st Round
May 6
Marina Bassols Ribera
Catalonia Open Solgirones - La Bisbal D'Emporda · Quarterfinals
May 1
Ashlyn Krueger
Catalonia Open Solgirones - La Bisbal D'Emporda · 2nd Round
Apr 29
Marta Kostyuk
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Alexandra Eala
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Maria Sakkari
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Viktorija Golubic
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Robin Montgomery
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Tatjana Maria
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 23
Solana Sierra
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 27
Dayana Yastremska
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 25
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 27–45 matches
| Metric | Maia | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 26% | 58% |
| Sets won | 33% | 53% |
| Games won | 43% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Maia | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Maia | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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