Beatriz Haddad Maia vs Jasmine PaoliniPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇷Beatriz Haddad Maia
#428 · 30 yrs · Left-Handed
15w3 meetings · sets 2–6
🇮🇹Jasmine Paolini
#33 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
Beatriz Haddad Maia and Jasmine Paolini have met 3 times since 2023; Jasmine Paolini leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at China Open - Beijing in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Paolini leads 2–0. Paolini has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Maia has taken 2 sets to Paolini's 6. Their most recent meeting: Jasmine Paolini won at Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Haddad Maia | Paolini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Beatriz Haddad Maia | Jasmine Paolini | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 3/4 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 26% | 5/19 | 26% | 5/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 26% | 6/23 | 38% | 15/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 25% | 2/8 | 33% | 10/30 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 7/15 | 33% | 3/9 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 4/7 | 14% | 1/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 50% | 3/6 | 78% | 14/18 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 50% | 3/6 | 56% | 10/18 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Haddad Maia 0, Paolini 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Maia
💥 Big Hitter
Paolini
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 1,247 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jun 26, 2025
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Feb 18, 2024
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai
H Hard · 1st Round
Oct 1, 2023
China Open - Beijing
H Hard · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Maia | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 2–2 |
| Avg odds | - | 1.66 |
| ROI % | - | -36.5% |
| Units P/L | - | -1.46u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Maia | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 1 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Paolini has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Maia's 0%).
| Opponent | Maia | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Dayana Yastremska | L 26 57 | W 75 63 |
| Leolia Jeanjean | L 67 46 | W 67 62 64 |
| Zeynep Sonmez | L 36 26 | L 26 26 |
| Katie Boulter | L 46 46 | W 06 63 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Maria Timofeeva
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Sachia Vickery
Ladies Open - Figueira da Foz · 1st Round
Jun 15
Heather Watson
The HSBC Championships - London · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 7
Francesca Jones
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 24
Shuai Zhang
Internationaux de Strasbourg - Strasbourg · 1st Round Qualifying
May 16
Diane Parry
Trophee Clarins - Paris · 1st Round
May 12
Leolia Jeanjean
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome · 1st Round
May 6
Marina Bassols Ribera
Catalonia Open Solgirones - La Bisbal D'Emporda · Quarterfinals
May 1
Daria Snigur
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Sorana Cirstea
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Lucrezia Stefanini
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Veronika Erjavec
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Marta Kostyuk
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Alexandra Eala
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Maria Sakkari
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Viktorija Golubic
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 23–39 matches
| Metric | Maia | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 17% | 51% |
| Sets won | 25% | 48% |
| Games won | 41% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Maia | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Maia | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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