Aryna Sabalenka vs Victoria MbokoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇾Aryna Sabalenka
#1 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 4–0
🇨🇦Victoria Mboko
#15 · 19 yrs · Right-Handed
13wAryna Sabalenka and Victoria Mboko have met 2 times since 2026; Aryna Sabalenka leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Australian Open - Melbourne in 2026 on hard. On hard courts Sabalenka leads 2–0. Sabalenka has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Sabalenka has taken 4 sets to Mboko's 0. Their most recent meeting: Aryna Sabalenka won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sabalenka | Mboko | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Aryna Sabalenka | Victoria Mboko | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 84% | 42/50 | 56% | 18/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 70% | 7/10 | 23% | 3/13 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 25% | 15/60 | 38% | 17/45 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 69% | 41/59 | 48% | 16/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 55% | 6/11 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 12/19 | 43% | 6/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 45/49 | 100% | 26/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 86% | 42/49 | 69% | 18/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sabalenka 2, Mboko 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sabalenka
💥 Big Hitter
Mboko
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Aryna Sabalenka and Victoria Mboko are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,096 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Mar 12, 2026
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jan 25, 2026
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 4th Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Mboko |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–5 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.16 | - |
| ROI % | -23.4% | - |
| Units P/L | -3.75u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Mboko |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 5 | — |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | — |
| Route | CAN → POL | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sabalenka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Mboko's 60%).
| Opponent | Sabalenka | Mboko |
|---|---|---|
| Talia Gibson | W 62 76 | W 67 61 64 |
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | L 67 64 46 | L 36 26 |
| Jelena Ostapenko | W 64 64 | W 63 62 |
| Nikola Bartunkova | W 26 76 64 | W 61 62 |
| Madison Keys | W 63 63 | L 36 75 57 |
| Jaqueline Cristian | W 61 64 | W 76 36 62 |
| Caty Mcnally | W 64 62 | L 46 16 |
| Elena Rybakina | W 64 63 | W 75 46 64 |
| Karolina Muchova | W 63 64 | L 57 67 |
| Amanda Anisimova | W 63 36 63 | W 64 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Xinyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 19
Talia Gibson
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Ekaterina Alexandrova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 9
Shuai Zhang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Moyuka Uchijima
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Naomi Osaka
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Jelena Ostapenko
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Madison Keys
French Open - Paris · 3rd Round
May 30
Katerina Siniakova
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 28
Nikola Bartunkova
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 26
Emma Navarro
Internationaux de Strasbourg - Strasbourg · Final
May 23
Jaqueline Cristian
Internationaux de Strasbourg - Strasbourg · Semifinals
May 22
Leylah Fernandez
Internationaux de Strasbourg - Strasbourg · Quarterfinals
May 21
Lois Boisson
Internationaux de Strasbourg - Strasbourg · 2nd Round
May 19
Caty Mcnally
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid · 2nd Round
Apr 24
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–60 matches
| Metric | Sabalenka | Mboko |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 83% | 71% |
| Sets won | 79% | 63% |
| Games won | 59% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sabalenka | Mboko |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sabalenka | Mboko |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
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