Aryna Sabalenka vs Victoria MbokoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇾Aryna Sabalenka
#2 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 4–0
🇨🇦Victoria Mboko
#15 · 19 yrs · Right-Handed
18wAryna Sabalenka and Victoria Mboko have met 2 times since 2026; Aryna Sabalenka leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Australian Open - Melbourne in 2026 on hard. On hard courts Sabalenka leads 2–0. Sabalenka has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Sabalenka has taken 4 sets to Mboko's 0. Their most recent meeting: Aryna Sabalenka won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sabalenka | Mboko | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Aryna Sabalenka | Victoria Mboko | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 86% | 44/51 | 56% | 18/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 64% | 7/11 | 27% | 3/11 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 23% | 14/62 | 40% | 17/43 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 70% | 42/60 | 50% | 16/32 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 60% | 6/10 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 68% | 13/19 | 46% | 6/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 48/51 | 100% | 26/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 86% | 44/51 | 69% | 18/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sabalenka 2, Mboko 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sabalenka
💥 Big Hitter
Mboko
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Aryna Sabalenka and Victoria Mboko are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,594 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Mar 12, 2026
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jan 25, 2026
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 4th Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Mboko |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–4 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.17 | - |
| ROI % | -18.6% | - |
| Units P/L | -2.61u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Mboko |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 2 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | ROU | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sabalenka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Mboko's 70%).
| Opponent | Sabalenka | Mboko |
|---|---|---|
| Nikola Bartunkova | L 46 36 | W 61 62 |
| Renata Zarazua | W 61 63 | W 61 61 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 46 75 26 | W 75 46 64 |
| Talia Gibson | W 62 76 | W 67 61 64 |
| Jelena Ostapenko | W 64 64 | W 63 62 |
| Madison Keys | W 63 63 | L 36 75 57 |
| Jaqueline Cristian | W 61 64 | W 76 36 62 |
| Caty Mcnally | W 64 62 | L 46 16 |
| Karolina Muchova | W 63 64 | L 57 67 |
| Amanda Anisimova | W 63 36 63 | W 64 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nikola Bartunkova
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Renata Zarazua
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Elena Rybakina
U.S. Open - New York · Final
Sep 12
Jessica Pegula
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 10
Linda Noskova
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 8
Taylor Townsend
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 6
Kamilla Rakhimova
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Polina Iatcenko
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Karolina Pliskova
The HSBC Championships - London · 2nd Round
Jun 10
Madison Keys
French Open - Paris · 3rd Round
May 30
Katerina Siniakova
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 28
Nikola Bartunkova
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 26
Emma Navarro
Internationaux de Strasbourg - Strasbourg · Final
May 23
Jaqueline Cristian
Internationaux de Strasbourg - Strasbourg · Semifinals
May 22
Leylah Fernandez
Internationaux de Strasbourg - Strasbourg · Quarterfinals
May 21
Lois Boisson
Internationaux de Strasbourg - Strasbourg · 2nd Round
May 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 43–62 matches
| Metric | Sabalenka | Mboko |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 82% | 74% |
| Sets won | 79% | 65% |
| Games won | 59% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sabalenka | Mboko |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sabalenka | Mboko |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
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