Aryna Sabalenka vs Victoria AzarenkaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇾Aryna Sabalenka
#1 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
6 meetings · sets 10–3
🇧🇾Victoria Azarenka
#452 · 36 yrs · Right-Handed
52wAryna Sabalenka and Victoria Azarenka have met 6 times since 2019; Aryna Sabalenka leads 5–1. Their first meeting came at Us Open in 2019 on hard. On hard courts Sabalenka leads 5–1. Sabalenka has won the last 4 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Sabalenka leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Sabalenka has taken 10 sets to Azarenka's 3. Their most recent meeting: Aryna Sabalenka won at Mubadala Citi DC Open - Washington (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sabalenka | Azarenka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Aryna Sabalenka | Victoria Azarenka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 84% | 42/50 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 70% | 7/10 | — | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 25% | 15/60 | — | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 69% | 41/59 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | — | ||
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 12/19 | — | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 45/49 | — | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 86% | 42/49 | — | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 5 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sabalenka 4, Azarenka 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sabalenka
💥 Big Hitter
Azarenka
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 3,896 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Aug 2, 2024
Mubadala Citi DC Open - Washington
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jan 6, 2024
Brisbane International - Brisbane
H Hard · Semifinals
Aug 13, 2021
Rogers Cup - Montreal
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Oct 25, 2020
J&T Banka Ostrava Open - Ostrava
H Hard · Final
Sep 3, 2020
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 2nd Round
Aug 27, 2019
Us Open
H Hard · Round of 128
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Azarenka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–5 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.16 | - |
| ROI % | -23.4% | - |
| Units P/L | -3.75u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Azarenka |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 5 | — |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | — |
| Route | CAN → POL | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Xinyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 19
Talia Gibson
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Ekaterina Alexandrova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 9
Shuai Zhang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Moyuka Uchijima
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Naomi Osaka
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Jelena Ostapenko
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Jessica Pegula
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Aug 29
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Hina Inoue
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 24
Anastasia Zakharova
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jul 1
Iga Swiatek
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg · 2nd Round
Jun 24
Laura Siegemund
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg · 1st Round
Jun 23
Sofia Kenin
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 29
Yanina Wickmayer
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 27
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 60–60 matches
| Metric | Sabalenka | Azarenka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 83% | - |
| Sets won | 79% | - |
| Games won | 59% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sabalenka | Azarenka |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| Grand Slam | 1 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 2 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sabalenka | Azarenka |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 5 | 1 |
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