Jessica Pegula vs Victoria AzarenkaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

πΊπΈJessica Pegula
#3 Β· 32 yrs Β· Right-Handed
7 meetings Β· sets 9β7
π§πΎVictoria Azarenka
#452 Β· 36 yrs Β· Right-Handed
52wJessica Pegula and Victoria Azarenka have met 7 times since 2021; Jessica Pegula leads 4β3. Their first meeting came at Australian Open - Melbourne in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Pegula leads 3β2. Pegula has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Pegula has taken 9 sets to Azarenka's 7. Their most recent meeting: Jessica Pegula won at U.S. Open - New York (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Pegula | Azarenka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jessica Pegula | Victoria Azarenka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 54% | 31/57 | β | |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 9/19 | β | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 46% | 35/76 | β | |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 30/60 | β | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 10/16 | β | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 12/19 | β | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 42/48 | β | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 31/48 | β | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample β read with care. Head-to-head: 5 of 7 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Pegula 3, Azarenka 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Pegula
π₯ Big Hitter
Azarenka
π The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
π₯ Big Hitter vs π The Complete Package is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 3,896 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
7 career meetings, newest first
Aug 29, 2025
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard Β· 3rd Round
Apr 5, 2024
Credit One Charleston Open - Charleston
C Clay Β· Quarterfinals
Jan 24, 2023
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard Β· Quarterfinals
Oct 22, 2022
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara
H Hard Β· Semifinals
Oct 13, 2021
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard Β· Quarterfinals
Jun 18, 2021
Betti Open - Berlin
G Grass Β· Quarterfinals
Feb 9, 2021
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard Β· 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Pegula | Azarenka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 17β5 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.48 | - |
| ROI % | +10.4% | - |
| Units P/L | +2.29u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Pegula | Azarenka |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | β |
| Events | 3 | β |
| Matches | 12 | β |
| Distance | 761 mi Β· 1,225 km | β |
| Route | AUT β CAN β POL | β |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· Final
Aug 24
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· Semifinals
Aug 22
Amanda Anisimova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Sorana Cirstea
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 4th Round
Aug 19
Emma Navarro
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 3rd Round
Aug 18
Simona Waltert
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 15
Diana Shnaider
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 4th Round
Aug 8
Kamilla Rakhimova
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 3rd Round
Aug 6
Jessica Pegula
U.S. Open - New York Β· 3rd Round
Aug 29
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
U.S. Open - New York Β· 2nd Round
Aug 27
Hina Inoue
U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round
Aug 24
Anastasia Zakharova
Wimbledon - London Β· 1st Round
Jul 1
Iga Swiatek
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg Β· 2nd Round
Jun 24
Laura Siegemund
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg Β· 1st Round
Jun 23
Sofia Kenin
French Open - Paris Β· 2nd Round
May 29
Yanina Wickmayer
French Open - Paris Β· 1st Round
May 27
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 76β76 matches
| Metric | Pegula | Azarenka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 75% | - |
| Sets won | 66% | - |
| Games won | 56% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Pegula | Azarenka |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 2 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Pegula | Azarenka |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 2 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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