Aryna Sabalenka vs Shuai ZhangPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇾Aryna Sabalenka
#1 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
5 meetings · sets 10–0
🇨🇳Shuai Zhang
#53 · 37 yrs · Right-Handed
4Aryna Sabalenka and Shuai Zhang have met 5 times since 2018; Aryna Sabalenka leads 5–0. Their first meeting came at Hobart in 2018 on hard. On hard courts Sabalenka leads 3–0. On clay courts Sabalenka leads 2–0. Sabalenka has won the last 5 meetings. Across all meetings Sabalenka has taken 10 sets to Zhang's 0. Their most recent meeting: Aryna Sabalenka won at National Bank Open - Toronto (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sabalenka | Zhang | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Aryna Sabalenka | Shuai Zhang | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 84% | 42/50 | 67% | 22/33 |
| Wins a set when losing | 70% | 7/10 | 27% | 7/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 25% | 15/60 | 31% | 18/59 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 69% | 41/59 | 50% | 14/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 45% | 13/29 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 12/19 | 67% | 6/9 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 45/49 | 90% | 28/31 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 86% | 42/49 | 71% | 22/31 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 5 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sabalenka 5, Zhang 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sabalenka
💥 Big Hitter
Zhang
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 54% vs 🎯 Baseliner across 330 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Aryna Sabalenka.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the baseliner's precise groundstrokes.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Aug 7, 2026
National Bank Open - Toronto
H Hard · 3rd Round
Aug 19, 2022
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · Quarterfinals
May 11, 2022
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 2nd Round
Apr 20, 2021
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix - Stuttgart
C Clay · 1st Round
Jan 11, 2018
Hobart
H Hard · Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sabalenka | Zhang | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Aryna Sabalenka | Shuai Zhang | ||
| 1 or more | 93% | 14/15 | 56% | 5/9 |
| 3 or more | 87% | 13/15 | 11% | 1/9 |
| 5 or more | 73% | 11/15 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 10 or more | 20% | 3/15 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–5 | 6–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.16 | 3.16 |
| ROI % | -23.4% | -9.2% |
| Units P/L | -3.75u | -1.19u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 5 | 5 |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | 1,715 mi · 2,760 km |
| Route | CAN → POL | CAN → POL → AUT |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sabalenka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Zhang's 20%).
| Opponent | Sabalenka | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| Ann Li | W 76 64 | L 57 36 |
| Karolina Muchova | W 63 64 | L 36 26 |
| Cristina Bucsa | W 60 61 | W 26 76 75 |
| Himeno Sakatsume | W 64 62 | W 46 62 61 |
| Sorana Cirstea | L 62 36 57 | L 36 46 |
| Anastasia Potapova | W 76 76 | L 36 16 |
| Linda Noskova | W 63 64 | L 75 16 46 |
| Coco Gauff | W 62 46 63 | L 36 26 |
| Elena Rybakina | W 64 63 | L 36 57 |
| Amanda Anisimova | W 63 36 63 | L 67 06 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Xinyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 19
Talia Gibson
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Ekaterina Alexandrova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 9
Shuai Zhang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Moyuka Uchijima
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Naomi Osaka
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Jelena Ostapenko
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Maria Timofeeva
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 1st Round
Aug 26
Ann Li
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Kayla Day
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 15
Aryna Sabalenka
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Yulia Putintseva
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Karolina Muchova
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Bianca Andreescu
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Elena Gabriela Ruse
Bad Homburg WTA
Jun 20
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 59–60 matches
| Metric | Sabalenka | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 83% | 56% |
| Sets won | 79% | 54% |
| Games won | 59% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sabalenka | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 3 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sabalenka | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 0 |
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
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