Aryna Sabalenka vs Maria Victoria Quinde SerranoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇾Aryna Sabalenka
#1 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 4–0
🇪🇨Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano
#58 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
3Aryna Sabalenka and Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano have met 2 times since 2021; Aryna Sabalenka leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Wimbledon - London in 2021 on grass. Sabalenka has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Sabalenka has taken 4 sets to Serrano's 0. Their most recent meeting: Aryna Sabalenka won at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid (2023).
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- U.S. Open - New York
- Level
- Grand Slam
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- August 31 · 11:30 AM ET
Aryna Sabalenka and Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano meet next at the U.S. Open - New York on August 31 on hard.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sabalenka | Victoria Quinde Serrano | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Aryna Sabalenka | Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 84% | 42/50 | 63% | 17/27 |
| Wins a set when losing | 70% | 7/10 | 40% | 8/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 25% | 15/60 | 38% | 18/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 69% | 41/59 | 78% | 7/9 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 91% | 10/11 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 12/19 | 33% | 4/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 45/49 | 92% | 24/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 86% | 42/49 | 65% | 17/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sabalenka 2, Victoria Quinde Serrano 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sabalenka
💥 Big Hitter
Serrano
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 7,380 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Aryna Sabalenka.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Apr 29, 2023
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 3rd Round
Jul 2, 2021
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 3rd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sabalenka | Serrano | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Aryna Sabalenka | Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano | ||
| 1 or more | 93% | 13/14 | 88% | 7/8 |
| 3 or more | 86% | 12/14 | 38% | 3/8 |
| 5 or more | 71% | 10/14 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 10 or more | 14% | 2/14 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Serrano |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–5 | 1–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.16 | 2.58 |
| ROI % | -26.5% | -60.0% |
| Units P/L | -3.97u | -2.40u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Serrano |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 5 | 4 |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | 1,715 mi · 2,760 km |
| Route | CAN → POL | CAN → POL → AUT |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sabalenka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Serrano's 13%).
| Opponent | Sabalenka | Serrano |
|---|---|---|
| Ann Li | W 76 64 | L 16 26 |
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | L 67 64 46 | L 36 67 |
| Naomi Osaka | L 26 67 | L 26 57 |
| Jelena Ostapenko | W 64 64 | L 36 16 |
| Linda Noskova | W 63 64 | L 36 64 26 |
| Barbora Krejcikova | W 62 63 | L 26 61 57 |
| Karolina Muchova | W 63 64 | L 64 26 57 |
| Iva Jovic | W 63 60 | W 46 76 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Xinyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 19
Talia Gibson
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Ekaterina Alexandrova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 9
Shuai Zhang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Moyuka Uchijima
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Naomi Osaka
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Jelena Ostapenko
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Ann Li
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 1st Round
Aug 25
Taylor Townsend
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Ekaterina Alexandrova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Lucrezia Stefanini
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Anastasia Zakharova
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Storm Hunter
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 1st Round
Jul 28
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Simona Waltert
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 47–60 matches
| Metric | Sabalenka | Serrano |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 83% | 57% |
| Sets won | 79% | 55% |
| Games won | 59% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sabalenka | Serrano |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sabalenka | Serrano |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |