Aryna Sabalenka vs Emma RaducanuPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇾Aryna Sabalenka
#1 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 6–1
🇬🇧Emma Raducanu
#68 · 23 yrs · Right-Handed
11wAryna Sabalenka and Emma Raducanu have met 3 times since 2024; Aryna Sabalenka leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Sabalenka leads 2–0. Sabalenka has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Sabalenka has taken 6 sets to Raducanu's 1. Their most recent meeting: Aryna Sabalenka won at Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sabalenka | Raducanu | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Aryna Sabalenka | Emma Raducanu | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 84% | 42/50 | 93% | 13/14 |
| Wins a set when losing | 70% | 7/10 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 25% | 15/60 | 23% | 6/26 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 69% | 41/59 | 55% | 11/20 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 40% | 2/5 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 12/19 | 25% | 2/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 45/49 | 82% | 14/17 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 86% | 42/49 | 76% | 13/17 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sabalenka 2, Raducanu 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sabalenka
💥 Big Hitter
Raducanu
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 3,896 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Aug 11, 2025
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 3rd Round
Jul 4, 2025
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 3rd Round
Mar 11, 2024
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 3rd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sabalenka | Raducanu | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Aryna Sabalenka | Emma Raducanu | ||
| 1 or more | 93% | 14/15 | 80% | 4/5 |
| 3 or more | 87% | 13/15 | 20% | 1/5 |
| 5 or more | 73% | 11/15 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 10 or more | 20% | 3/15 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Raducanu |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–5 | 4–1 |
| Avg odds | 1.16 | 1.96 |
| ROI % | -23.4% | +63.2% |
| Units P/L | -3.75u | +3.16u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Raducanu |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 5 | — |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | — |
| Route | CAN → POL | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sabalenka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Raducanu's 50%).
| Opponent | Sabalenka | Raducanu |
|---|---|---|
| Jessica Pegula | L 46 76 06 | L 63 67 06 |
| Iva Jovic | W 63 60 | W 62 62 |
| Sorana Cirstea | L 62 36 57 | W 64 62 |
| Barbora Krejcikova | W 62 63 | L 64 67 16 |
| Jaqueline Cristian | W 61 64 | W 63 64 |
| Amanda Anisimova | W 63 36 63 | L 16 16 |
| Anastasia Potapova | W 76 76 | L 67 26 |
| Cristina Bucsa | W 60 61 | W 63 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Xinyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 19
Talia Gibson
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Ekaterina Alexandrova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 9
Shuai Zhang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Moyuka Uchijima
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Naomi Osaka
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Jelena Ostapenko
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Donna Vekic
The HSBC Championships - London · Final
Jun 14
Iva Jovic
The HSBC Championships - London · Semifinals
Jun 13
Kamilla Rakhimova
The HSBC Championships - London · Quarterfinals
Jun 13
Sorana Cirstea
The HSBC Championships - London · 2nd Round
Jun 12
Anna Blinkova
The HSBC Championships - London · 1st Round
Jun 9
Solana Sierra
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 24
Diane Parry
Internationaux de Strasbourg - Strasbourg · 1st Round
May 19
Amanda Anisimova
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 3rd Round
Mar 8
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 26–60 matches
| Metric | Sabalenka | Raducanu |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 83% | 54% |
| Sets won | 79% | 57% |
| Games won | 59% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sabalenka | Raducanu |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sabalenka | Raducanu |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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