Aryna Sabalenka vs Emma RaducanuPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇾Aryna Sabalenka
#2 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 6–1
🇬🇧Emma Raducanu
#107 · 23 yrs · Right-Handed
18wAryna Sabalenka and Emma Raducanu have met 3 times since 2024; Aryna Sabalenka leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Sabalenka leads 2–0. Sabalenka has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Sabalenka has taken 6 sets to Raducanu's 1. Their most recent meeting: Aryna Sabalenka won at Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sabalenka | Raducanu | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Aryna Sabalenka | Emma Raducanu | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 86% | 44/51 | 92% | 11/12 |
| Wins a set when losing | 64% | 7/11 | 30% | 3/10 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 23% | 14/62 | 18% | 4/22 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 70% | 42/60 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 25% | 1/4 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 68% | 13/19 | 33% | 2/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 48/51 | 92% | 12/13 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 86% | 44/51 | 85% | 11/13 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sabalenka 2, Raducanu 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sabalenka
💥 Big Hitter
Raducanu
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 4,271 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Aug 11, 2025
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 3rd Round
Jul 4, 2025
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 3rd Round
Mar 11, 2024
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 3rd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Raducanu |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–4 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.17 | - |
| ROI % | -18.6% | - |
| Units P/L | -2.61u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Raducanu |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 2 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | ROU | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sabalenka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (83% vs Raducanu's 50%).
| Opponent | Sabalenka | Raducanu |
|---|---|---|
| Kamilla Rakhimova | W 63 64 | W 63 75 |
| Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano | W 62 64 | L |
| Iva Jovic | W 63 60 | W 62 62 |
| Sorana Cirstea | L 62 36 57 | W 64 62 |
| Amanda Anisimova | W 63 36 63 | L 16 16 |
| Anastasia Potapova | W 76 76 | L 67 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nikola Bartunkova
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Renata Zarazua
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Elena Rybakina
U.S. Open - New York · Final
Sep 12
Jessica Pegula
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 10
Linda Noskova
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 8
Taylor Townsend
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 6
Kamilla Rakhimova
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Polina Iatcenko
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Donna Vekic
The HSBC Championships - London · Final
Jun 14
Kamilla Rakhimova
The HSBC Championships - London · Quarterfinals
Jun 13
Iva Jovic
The HSBC Championships - London · Semifinals
Jun 13
Sorana Cirstea
The HSBC Championships - London · 2nd Round
Jun 12
Anna Blinkova
The HSBC Championships - London · 1st Round
Jun 9
Solana Sierra
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 24
Diane Parry
Internationaux de Strasbourg - Strasbourg · 1st Round
May 19
Amanda Anisimova
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 3rd Round
Mar 8
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 22–62 matches
| Metric | Sabalenka | Raducanu |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 82% | 55% |
| Sets won | 79% | 56% |
| Games won | 59% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sabalenka | Raducanu |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sabalenka | Raducanu |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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