Emma Raducanu vs Jessica PegulaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇬🇧Emma Raducanu
#68 · 23 yrs · Right-Handed
11w4 meetings · sets 4–7
🇺🇸Jessica Pegula
#3 · 32 yrs · Right-Handed
Emma Raducanu and Jessica Pegula have met 4 times since 2022; Jessica Pegula leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Pegula leads 3–0. Pegula has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Raducanu has taken 4 sets to Pegula's 7. Their most recent meeting: Jessica Pegula won at China Open - Beijing (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Raducanu | Pegula | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Emma Raducanu | Jessica Pegula | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 93% | 13/14 | 54% | 31/57 |
| Wins a set when losing | 42% | 5/12 | 47% | 9/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 23% | 6/26 | 46% | 35/76 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 11/20 | 50% | 30/60 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 40% | 2/5 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 25% | 2/8 | 63% | 12/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 14/17 | 88% | 42/48 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 13/17 | 65% | 31/48 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Raducanu 0, Pegula 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Raducanu
👑 The Complete Package
Pegula
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,896 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Sep 29, 2025
China Open - Beijing
H Hard · 3rd Round
Mar 26, 2025
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jun 26, 2024
Rothesay International - Eastbourne
G Grass · 2nd Round
Aug 18, 2022
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 3rd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Raducanu | Pegula | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Emma Raducanu | Jessica Pegula | ||
| 1 or more | 80% | 4/5 | 95% | 20/21 |
| 3 or more | 20% | 1/5 | 76% | 16/21 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 33% | 7/21 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 5% | 1/21 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/21 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/21 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Raducanu | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–1 | 17–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.96 | 1.48 |
| ROI % | +63.2% | +10.4% |
| Units P/L | +3.16u | +2.29u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Raducanu | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 3 |
| Events | — | 3 |
| Matches | — | 12 |
| Distance | — | 761 mi · 1,225 km |
| Route | — | AUT → CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Pegula has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Raducanu's 56%).
| Opponent | Raducanu | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Amanda Anisimova | L 16 16 | W 64 26 76 |
| Sorana Cirstea | W 64 62 | W 62 46 75 |
| Kamilla Rakhimova | W 63 75 | W 64 60 |
| Iva Jovic | W 62 62 | W 46 63 61 |
| Donna Vekic | L 06 67 | W 46 62 63 |
| Anastasia Potapova | L 67 26 | W 76 62 |
| Jaqueline Cristian | W 63 64 | W 64 61 |
| Anastasia Zakharova | W 61 63 | W 62 61 |
| Barbora Krejcikova | L 64 67 16 | W 63 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Donna Vekic
The HSBC Championships - London · Final
Jun 14
Iva Jovic
The HSBC Championships - London · Semifinals
Jun 13
Kamilla Rakhimova
The HSBC Championships - London · Quarterfinals
Jun 13
Sorana Cirstea
The HSBC Championships - London · 2nd Round
Jun 12
Anna Blinkova
The HSBC Championships - London · 1st Round
Jun 9
Solana Sierra
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 24
Diane Parry
Internationaux de Strasbourg - Strasbourg · 1st Round
May 19
Amanda Anisimova
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 3rd Round
Mar 8
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final
Aug 24
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 22
Amanda Anisimova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Sorana Cirstea
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Emma Navarro
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Simona Waltert
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Diana Shnaider
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 8
Kamilla Rakhimova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 26–76 matches
| Metric | Raducanu | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 54% | 75% |
| Sets won | 57% | 66% |
| Games won | 51% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Raducanu | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 3 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Raducanu | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 3 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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