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Head-to-Head

Aryna Sabalenka vs Cristina BucsaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Aryna Sabalenka

🇧🇾Aryna Sabalenka

#2 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed

2–0

2 meetings · sets 4–0

Cristina Bucsa

🇪🇸Cristina Bucsa

#38 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed

3

Aryna Sabalenka and Cristina Bucsa have met 2 times since 2025; Aryna Sabalenka leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at U.S. Open - New York in 2025 on hard. On hard courts Sabalenka leads 2–0. Sabalenka has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Sabalenka has taken 4 sets to Bucsa's 0. Their most recent meeting: Aryna Sabalenka won at Brisbane International - Brisbane (2026).

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

IndicatorSabalenkaBucsa
Wins in straight sets86%75%
Wins a set when losing64%33%
Goes to a deciding set23%29%
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite70%42%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog—57%
Tiebreak sets won68%46%
Wins after taking set 194%86%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 186%68%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sabalenka 2, Bucsa 0).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Sabalenka

💥 Big Hitter

Power groundstrokesHigh winner countAggressive shotsShort rallies
vs

Bucsa

🏹 Frontrunner

Fast startsAggressive openersMomentum-drivenStrong holds

Matchup analysis

💥 Big Hitter vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 1,247 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.

Previous meetings

2 career meetings, newest first

Jan 6, 2026

Brisbane International - Brisbane

H Hard · 2nd Round

60
61
Sabalenka

Aug 31, 2025

U.S. Open - New York

H Hard · 4th Round

61
64
Sabalenka

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

OutcomeSabalenkaBucsa
1 or more93%71%
3 or more87%14%
5 or more67%7%
10 or more27%0%
15 or more0%0%
20 or more0%0%

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

MetricSabalenkaBucsa
W-L10–47–7
Avg odds1.172.88
ROI %-18.6%+8.1%
Units P/L-2.61u+1.14u

Travel

Last 30 days

MetricSabalenkaBucsa
Countries12
Events12
Matches25
Distance0 mi · 0 km7,530 mi · 12,118 km
RouteROUUKR → ROU

Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Sabalenka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Bucsa's 40%).

OpponentSabalenkaBucsa
Iva Jovic
W
63
60
L
46
16
Sara Bejlek
L
67
46
W
60
64
Coco Gauff
W
62
46
63
L
36
46
Himeno Sakatsume
W
64
62
W
76
67
76
Xinyu Wang
W
61
63
W
62
62
Shuai Zhang
W
63
64
L
62
67
57
Moyuka Uchijima
W
63
63
L
36
46
Mccartney Kessler
W
61
76
L
63
57
36
Teodora Kostovic
W
62
63
W
64
60
Qinwen Zheng
W
63
64
L
67
26

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Sabalenka
LWLWWWWW
L

Nikola Bartunkova

China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round

46
36

Oct 4

W

Renata Zarazua

China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round

61
63

Oct 2

L

Elena Rybakina

U.S. Open - New York · Final

46
75
26

Sep 12

W

Jessica Pegula

U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals

75
62

Sep 10

W

Linda Noskova

U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals

761
36
76

Sep 8

W

Taylor Townsend

U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round

64
63

Sep 6

W

Kamilla Rakhimova

U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round

63
64

Sep 4

W

Polina Iatcenko

U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round

61
61

Sep 3

Bucsa
LLWWWLWW
L

Xinran Sun

China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round

46
57

Oct 3

L

Iva Jovic

Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · Semifinals

46
16

Sep 18

W

Sara Bejlek

Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · Quarterfinals

60
64

Sep 17

W

Panna Udvardy

Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · 2nd Round

64
64

Sep 15

W

Bianca Andreescu

Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · 1st Round

64
63

Sep 13

L

Coco Gauff

U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round

36
46

Sep 5

W

Himeno Sakatsume

U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round

766
607
766

Sep 3

W

Sara Bejlek

U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round

75
46
61

Aug 31

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

↑ SabalenkaSabalenka ahead↓ Bucsa

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 41–62 matches

MetricSabalenkaBucsa
Matches won82%49%
Sets won79%50%
Games won59%51%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

StageSabalenkaBucsa
Grand Slam10
WTA 50010

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

SurfaceSabalenkaBucsa
Hard20

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Aryna Sabalenka vs Cristina Bucsa FAQ

Aryna Sabalenka leads the head-to-head 2–0 over 2 meetings.