Arthur Rinderknech vs Sebastian BaezPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Arthur Rinderknech and Sebastian Baez have met 1 time since 2026; Sebastian Baez leads 1–0. Across all meetings Rinderknech has taken 1 sets to Baez's 2. Their most recent meeting: Sebastian Baez won at Generali Open - Kitzbuhel (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rinderknech | Baez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Arthur Rinderknech | Sebastian Baez | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 8/14 | 76% | 26/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 55% | 12/22 | 23% | 6/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 50% | 18/36 | 23% | 14/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 31% | 5/16 | 61% | 17/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 76% | 13/17 | 54% | 15/28 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 37% | 11/30 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 60% | 9/15 | 83% | 29/35 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 53% | 8/15 | 74% | 26/35 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rinderknech 0, Baez 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rinderknech
🤖 Servebot
Baez
🎾 All-Court
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 54% vs 🎾 All-Court across 703 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Arthur Rinderknech.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the all-court's tactical versatility.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 22, 2026
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rinderknech | Baez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Arthur Rinderknech | Sebastian Baez | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 68% | 13/19 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 32% | 6/19 |
| 5 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 16% | 3/19 |
| 10 or more | 63% | 5/8 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 15 or more | 63% | 5/8 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 20 or more | 38% | 3/8 | 0% | 0/19 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rinderknech | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–7 | 8–9 |
| Avg odds | 2.14 | 2.43 |
| ROI % | -51.2% | -17.4% |
| Units P/L | -5.12u | -2.95u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rinderknech | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 3 |
| Matches | — | 4 |
| Distance | — | 1,611 mi · 2,592 km |
| Route | — | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Rinderknech and Baez posted a 30% win rate.
| Opponent | Rinderknech | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Valentin Vacherot | L 76 36 46 | L 46 67 |
| Daniil Medvedev | L 46 46 46 | L 46 06 |
| Jaume Munar | W 76 62 75 | W 64 64 |
| Brandon Nakashima | L 67 75 57 | L 26 16 06 |
| Juan Manuel Cerundolo | L 64 67 67 | L |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | W 67 64 64 | W 63 36 64 |
| Zizou Bergs | L 36 67 | L 63 36 26 |
| Andrey Rublev | L 26 46 | L 16 26 |
| Alex Molcan | W 75 76 | W 64 62 |
| Alexander Bublik | L 75 46 26 | L 16 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CAN-FRA · Rubber 4
Sep 19
Liam Draxl
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CAN-FRA · Rubber 1
Sep 18
Daniil Medvedev
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Jaume Munar
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Sho Shimabukuro
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Brandon Nakashima
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 8
Frances Tiafoe
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Valentin Vacherot
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Marcos Giron
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Juncheng Shang
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Jenson Brooksby
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 23
Brandon Nakashima
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Hugo Grenier
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 26
Hubert Hurkacz
Cancun Challenger · Final
Aug 24
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–65 matches
| Metric | Rinderknech | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 42% | 54% |
| Sets won | 47% | 52% |
| Games won | 50% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rinderknech | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rinderknech | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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