Arthur Rinderknech vs Sebastian BaezPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Arthur Rinderknech and Sebastian Baez have met 1 time since 2026; Sebastian Baez leads 1–0. Across all meetings Rinderknech has taken 1 sets to Baez's 2. Their most recent meeting: Sebastian Baez won at Generali Open - Kitzbuhel (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rinderknech | Baez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Arthur Rinderknech | Sebastian Baez | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 13/22 | 76% | 26/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 57% | 13/23 | 19% | 5/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 49% | 22/45 | 22% | 13/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 32% | 6/19 | 63% | 17/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 83% | 19/23 | 52% | 15/29 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 39% | 12/31 | 64% | 7/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 71% | 15/21 | 85% | 29/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 62% | 13/21 | 76% | 26/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rinderknech 0, Baez 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rinderknech
🤖 Servebot
Baez
🎾 All-Court
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🎾 All-Court across 752 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Arthur Rinderknech.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the all-court's tactical versatility.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 22, 2026
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rinderknech | Baez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Arthur Rinderknech | Sebastian Baez | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 11/11 | 76% | 16/21 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 11/11 | 29% | 6/21 |
| 5 or more | 100% | 11/11 | 10% | 2/21 |
| 10 or more | 82% | 9/11 | 0% | 0/21 |
| 15 or more | 82% | 9/11 | 0% | 0/21 |
| 20 or more | 46% | 5/11 | 0% | 0/21 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rinderknech | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–7 | 14–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.31 | 1.90 |
| ROI % | -37.5% | +8.8% |
| Units P/L | -4.13u | +1.76u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rinderknech | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 2 | 4 |
| Matches | 3 | 9 |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | 3,066 mi · 4,934 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | CAN → USA → MEX → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Rinderknech has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Baez's 40%).
| Opponent | Rinderknech | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Miomir Kecmanovic | W 67 64 64 | W 63 36 64 |
| Zizou Bergs | L 36 67 | L 63 36 26 |
| Andrey Rublev | L 26 46 | L 16 26 |
| Alex Molcan | W 75 76 | W 64 62 |
| Alexander Bublik | L 75 46 26 | L 16 26 |
| Alex Michelsen | W 63 63 | L 57 36 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | L 76 36 26 | L 16 36 |
| Stan Wawrinka | L 75 67 67 | W 75 75 |
| Daniil Medvedev | W 46 62 64 | L 46 06 |
| Jiri Lehecka | W 63 76 | W 64 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Brandon Nakashima
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 8
Miomir Kecmanovic
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Sebastian Baez
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Stefanos Tsitsipas
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Clement Tabur
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Bundesliga - men
Jul 12
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Bundesliga - men
Jul 10
Hugo Grenier
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Hubert Hurkacz
Cancun Challenger · Final
Aug 24
Lloyd Harris
Cancun Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 23
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Cancun Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Cancun Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 21
Learner Tien
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Grigor Dimitrov
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Zizou Bergs
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 52–64 matches
| Metric | Rinderknech | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 48% | 55% |
| Sets won | 50% | 53% |
| Games won | 50% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rinderknech | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rinderknech | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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