Anna Kalinskaya vs Elise MertensPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇷🇺Anna Kalinskaya
#22 · 27 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 6–3
🇧🇪Elise Mertens
#24 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
Anna Kalinskaya and Elise Mertens have met 3 times since 2022; Anna Kalinskaya leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Kalinskaya leads 2–0. Kalinskaya has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Kalinskaya has taken 6 sets to Mertens's 3. Their most recent meeting: Anna Kalinskaya won at Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kalinskaya | Mertens | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Anna Kalinskaya | Elise Mertens | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 19/29 | 72% | 21/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 42% | 8/19 | 35% | 7/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 18/48 | 31% | 15/49 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 54% | 15/28 | 58% | 19/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 58% | 11/19 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 10/15 | 57% | 4/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 96% | 26/27 | 85% | 23/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 19/27 | 78% | 21/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kalinskaya 0, Mertens 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kalinskaya
💥 Big Hitter
Mertens
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Anna Kalinskaya and Elise Mertens are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,096 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jul 30, 2025
Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal
H Hard · 2nd Round
May 12, 2023
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 2nd Round
Oct 19, 2022
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kalinskaya | Mertens | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Anna Kalinskaya | Elise Mertens | ||
| 1 or more | 85% | 11/13 | 100% | 14/14 |
| 3 or more | 69% | 9/13 | 64% | 9/14 |
| 5 or more | 39% | 5/13 | 43% | 6/14 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 7% | 1/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kalinskaya | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–5 | 9–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.24 | 1.84 |
| ROI % | -0.8% | +12.4% |
| Units P/L | -0.11u | +1.73u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kalinskaya | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 3 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 4 | 7 |
| Distance | 761 mi · 1,225 km | 1,715 mi · 2,760 km |
| Route | AUT → CAN → POL | CAN → POL → AUT |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kalinskaya has a higher win rate against shared opponents (40% vs Mertens's 20%).
| Opponent | Kalinskaya | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Diane Parry | W 64 36 76 | L 46 60 36 |
| Mccartney Kessler | W 62 67 64 | L 26 46 |
| Daria Kasatkina | W 64 61 | L 46 06 |
| Belinda Bencic | L 46 64 67 | L 26 36 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | L 57 26 | L 36 36 |
| Maja Chwalinska | L 67 36 | L 46 06 |
| Karolina Muchova | L 36 46 | L 61 36 06 |
| Victoria Mboko | L 46 16 | W 63 36 63 |
| Coco Gauff | L 46 46 | L 62 67 36 |
| Emma Navarro | W 75 26 62 | W 62 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Caty Mcnally
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Diana Shnaider
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Mccartney Kessler
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Jessica Pegula
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Janice Tjen
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Daria Kasatkina
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Belinda Bencic
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Diane Parry
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Diane Parry
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Final
Aug 30
Nikola Bartunkova
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Semifinals
Aug 29
Yuliia Starodubtseva
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Panna Udvardy
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Diane Parry
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Naomi Osaka
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Anna Bondar
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 48–49 matches
| Metric | Kalinskaya | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 59% |
| Sets won | 58% | 58% |
| Games won | 52% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kalinskaya | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 1000 | 3 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kalinskaya | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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