Anna Kalinskaya vs Elise MertensPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇷🇺Anna Kalinskaya
#21 · 27 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 6–3
🇧🇪Elise Mertens
#14 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
Anna Kalinskaya and Elise Mertens have met 3 times since 2022; Anna Kalinskaya leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Kalinskaya leads 2–0. Kalinskaya has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Kalinskaya has taken 6 sets to Mertens's 3. Their most recent meeting: Anna Kalinskaya won at Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kalinskaya | Mertens | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Anna Kalinskaya | Elise Mertens | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 63% | 20/32 | 71% | 24/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 31% | 5/16 | 33% | 7/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 17/48 | 31% | 17/55 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 57% | 16/28 | 55% | 21/38 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 12/19 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 71% | 10/14 | 63% | 5/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 97% | 29/30 | 90% | 28/31 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 20/30 | 77% | 24/31 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kalinskaya 0, Mertens 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kalinskaya
💥 Big Hitter
Mertens
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Anna Kalinskaya and Elise Mertens are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,594 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jul 30, 2025
Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal
H Hard · 2nd Round
May 12, 2023
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 2nd Round
Oct 19, 2022
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kalinskaya | Mertens | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Anna Kalinskaya | Elise Mertens | ||
| 1 or more | 83% | 10/12 | 88% | 14/16 |
| 3 or more | 67% | 8/12 | 75% | 12/16 |
| 5 or more | 25% | 3/12 | 56% | 9/16 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kalinskaya | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–4 | 10–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.98 | 2.05 |
| ROI % | +9.6% | +23.4% |
| Units P/L | +1.06u | +3.74u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kalinskaya | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 1 | 6 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 2,779 mi · 4,472 km |
| Route | ROU | SGP → ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Mertens has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Kalinskaya's 30%).
| Opponent | Kalinskaya | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Qinwen Zheng | L | L 57 26 |
| Iga Swiatek | L 16 61 16 | W 76 63 |
| Coco Gauff | L 46 46 | W 63 63 |
| Jelena Ostapenko | L 16 26 | W 62 36 63 |
| Maja Chwalinska | L 67 36 | L 26 26 |
| Emma Navarro | L 46 26 | W 62 62 |
| Diane Parry | W 64 36 76 | L 46 60 36 |
| Sorana Cirstea | L | L 36 26 |
| Mccartney Kessler | W 62 67 64 | W |
| Daria Kasatkina | W 64 61 | L 46 06 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Qinwen Zheng
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Emma Navarro
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Elina Svitolina
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Xinyu Wang
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Xin Yu Wang
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Anna Blinkova
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Sorana Cirstea
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Caty Mcnally
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Qinwen Zheng
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 10
Iga Swiatek
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Coco Gauff
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 7
Jelena Ostapenko
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Katie Volynets
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Maja Chwalinska
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Naomi Osaka
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 6
Maria Timofeeva
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 48–55 matches
| Metric | Kalinskaya | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 67% | 62% |
| Sets won | 61% | 59% |
| Games won | 53% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kalinskaya | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 1000 | 3 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kalinskaya | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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