Andrey Rublev vs Tomas MachacPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Andrey Rublev and Tomas Machac have met 2 times since 2024; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Miami Open - Miami in 2024 on hard. Across all meetings Rublev has taken 2 sets to Machac's 2. Their most recent meeting: Andrey Rublev won at Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rublev | Machac | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andrey Rublev | Tomas Machac | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 17/24 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 7/18 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 14/42 | 46% | 11/24 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 17/36 | 29% | 4/14 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 17% | 1/6 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 44% | 8/18 | 55% | 6/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 21/26 | 100% | 8/8 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 17/26 | 75% | 6/8 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rublev 1, Machac 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rublev
🤖 Servebot
Machac
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Apr 17, 2026
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Mar 22, 2024
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rublev | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–5 | 0–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.44 | 1.68 |
| ROI % | -22.6% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | -2.48u | -2.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rublev | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 2 |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | 313 mi · 503 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Machac has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Rublev's 40%).
| Opponent | Rublev | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Pablo Carreno Busta | W 76 61 | L 36 26 |
| Sebastian Baez | W 61 62 | W 26 64 61 |
| Zizou Bergs | L 46 16 | W 64 64 63 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 26 46 | L 16 76 36 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | W 63 76 | W 64 76 |
| Cameron Norrie | L 26 76 26 | L 26 76 67 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | L 36 67 36 | W 76 63 |
| Ugo Humbert | W 64 67 63 | W 64 67 62 |
| Lorenzo Musetti | L 76 57 46 | L 75 46 26 75 26 |
| Flavio Cobolli | L 67 36 | L 16 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nuno Borges
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Pablo Carreno Busta
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Juncheng Shang
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Luca Van Assche
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Timofey Skatov
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Luciano Darderi
Nordea Open - Bastad · Final
Jul 19
Alejandro Tabilo
Nordea Open - Bastad · Semifinals
Jul 18
Sebastian Baez
Nordea Open - Bastad · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Mees Rottgering
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Pablo Carreno Busta
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Alexander Zverev
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 27
Zizou Bergs
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 24
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome · 1st Round
May 7
Cameron Norrie
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid · 2nd Round
Apr 24
Francisco Comesana
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid · 1st Round
Apr 22
Andrey Rublev
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona · Quarterfinals
Apr 17
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 30–51 matches
| Metric | Rublev | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 50% |
| Sets won | 56% | 50% |
| Games won | 52% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rublev | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rublev | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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