Andrey Rublev vs Taylor FritzPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

π·πΊAndrey Rublev
#23 Β· 28 yrs Β· R
10 meetings Β· sets 10β15

πΊπΈTaylor Fritz
#12 Β· 28 yrs Β· R
Andrey Rublev and Taylor Fritz have met 10 times since 2018; Taylor Fritz leads 6β4. Their first meeting came at ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells in 2018 on hard. On hard courts Fritz leads 6β2. On clay courts Rublev leads 2β0. Across all meetings Rublev has taken 10 sets to Fritz's 15. Their most recent meeting: Taylor Fritz won at National Bank Open - Toronto (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rublev | Fritz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andrey Rublev | Taylor Fritz | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 19/29 | 55% | 16/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 7/18 | 42% | 8/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 17/47 | 44% | 21/48 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 49% | 19/39 | 35% | 15/43 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 25% | 2/8 | 80% | 4/5 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 55% | 11/20 | 60% | 18/30 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 25/30 | 85% | 23/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 63% | 19/30 | 59% | 16/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 7 of 9 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rublev 2, Fritz 5).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rublev
π₯ Big Hitter
Fritz
π€ Servebot
Matchup analysis
π₯ Big Hitter vs π€ Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
10 career meetings, newest first
Aug 5, 2025
National Bank Open - Toronto
H Hard Β· Quarterfinals
May 3, 2024
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay Β· Semifinals
Sep 23, 2023
Laver Cup
H Hard Β· Round Robin
Apr 15, 2023
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo
C Clay Β· Semifinals
Aug 18, 2022
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard Β· 3rd Round
Mar 19, 2022
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard Β· Semifinals
Nov 3, 2021
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard Β· 2nd Round
Mar 17, 2021
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships - Dubai
H Hard Β· 3rd Round
Nov 7, 2018
Next Gen ATP Finals
H Hard Β· Round Robin
Mar 10, 2018
ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells
H Hard Β· Round of 64
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rublev | Fritz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Andrey Rublev | Taylor Fritz | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 100% | 16/16 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 100% | 16/16 |
| 5 or more | 83% | 15/18 | 88% | 14/16 |
| 10 or more | 44% | 8/18 | 50% | 8/16 |
| 15 or more | 11% | 2/18 | 13% | 2/16 |
| 20 or more | 6% | 1/18 | 6% | 1/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Rublev | Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11β7 | 11β5 |
| Avg odds | 1.50 | 1.44 |
| ROI % | -14.8% | -11.1% |
| Units P/L | -2.67u | -1.78u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rublev | Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 3 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 8 | 3 |
| Distance | 1,361 mi Β· 2,191 km | 7,032 mi Β· 11,317 km |
| Route | CHN | GBR β JPN β CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Fritz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Rublev's 40%).
| Opponent | Rublev | Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| Matteo Arnaldi | W 64 62 63 | W 75 64 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 61 26 36 | L 67 36 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | L 67 46 | L 36 64 1113 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | L 36 67 36 | L 63 64 36 46 46 |
| Zizou Bergs | L 46 16 | W 63 64 |
| Sebastian Baez | W 61 62 | L 64 57 46 |
| Lorenzo Sonego | W 62 63 | W 46 63 64 76 |
| Ben Shelton | L 67 36 | W 67 76 76 |
| Fabian Marozsan | W 62 64 | W 62 64 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | L 36 26 | L 67 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rei Sakamoto
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai Β· 2nd Round
Oct 9
Alex de Minaur
China Open - Beijing Β· Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Roman Safiullin
China Open - Beijing Β· 2nd Round
Oct 3
Tallon Griekspoor
China Open - Beijing Β· 1st Round
Oct 1
Daniil Medvedev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou Β· Final
Sep 29
Kyrian Jacquet
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou Β· Semifinals
Sep 28
Hugo Gaston
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou Β· Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Rinky Hijikata
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou Β· 2nd Round
Sep 25
Matteo Arnaldi
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai Β· 2nd Round
Oct 10
Jaume Munar
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo Β· 1st Round
Oct 1
Carlos Alcaraz
Laver Cup - London Β· Round Robin
Sep 26
Francisco Cerundolo
U.S. Open - New York Β· 3rd Round
Sep 5
Mattia Bellucci
U.S. Open - New York Β· 2nd Round
Sep 3
Darwin Blanch
U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round
Sep 1
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Christopher O'Connell
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 4th Round
Aug 20
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 57β61 matches
| Metric | Rublev | Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 62% |
| Sets won | 58% | 59% |
| Games won | 53% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rublev | Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 2 | 5 |
| Other | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rublev | Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 6 |
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
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