Andrey Rublev vs Novak DjokovicPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Andrey Rublev and Novak Djokovic have met 6 times since 2021; Novak Djokovic leads 5–1. Their first meeting came at Nitto ATP Finals - Turin in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Djokovic leads 4–0. Djokovic has won the last 4 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Rublev leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Rublev has taken 4 sets to Djokovic's 13. Their most recent meeting: Novak Djokovic won at Rolex Paris Masters - Paris (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rublev | Djokovic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andrey Rublev | Novak Djokovic | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 17/24 | 50% | 5/10 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 7/18 | 75% | 3/4 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 14/42 | 57% | 8/14 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 17/36 | 36% | 5/14 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 17% | 1/6 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 44% | 8/18 | 75% | 3/4 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 21/26 | 70% | 7/10 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 17/26 | 50% | 5/10 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rublev 0, Djokovic 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rublev
🤖 Servebot
Djokovic
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Nov 4, 2023
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard · Semifinals
Jul 11, 2023
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Jan 25, 2023
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Nov 16, 2022
Nitto ATP Finals - Turin
H Hard · Round Robin
Apr 24, 2022
Serbia Open - Belgrade
C Clay · Final
Nov 17, 2021
Nitto ATP Finals - Turin
H Hard · Round Robin
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rublev | Djokovic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Andrey Rublev | Novak Djokovic | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 11/11 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 11/11 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 5 or more | 82% | 9/11 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 10 or more | 36% | 4/11 | 71% | 5/7 |
| 15 or more | 18% | 2/11 | 29% | 2/7 |
| 20 or more | 9% | 1/11 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rublev | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–5 | 5–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.44 | 1.71 |
| ROI % | -22.6% | -12.4% |
| Units P/L | -2.48u | -0.87u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rublev | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 3 | 1 |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Djokovic has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Rublev's 50%).
| Opponent | Rublev | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Nuno Borges | L 36 46 | W 76 64 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | W 64 46 64 | W 76 61 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 26 46 | L 46 46 46 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 57 36 46 | W 76 36 63 67 76 |
| Roman Safiullin | L 46 76 63 36 67 | W 76 63 36 63 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | W 62 64 | W 75 64 16 76 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | W 63 76 | W 63 64 62 |
| Yibing Wu | W 36 62 61 | W 64 57 64 64 |
| Valentin Royer | W 63 64 | W 63 62 67 63 |
| Zizou Bergs | L 46 16 | W 63 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nuno Borges
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Pablo Carreno Busta
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Juncheng Shang
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Luca Van Assche
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Timofey Skatov
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Luciano Darderi
Nordea Open - Bastad · Final
Jul 19
Alejandro Tabilo
Nordea Open - Bastad · Semifinals
Jul 18
Sebastian Baez
Nordea Open - Bastad · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Jannik Sinner
Wimbledon - London · Semifinals
Jul 10
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Roman Safiullin
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Arthur Rinderknech
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Yibing Wu
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Joao Fonseca
French Open - Paris · 3rd Round
May 29
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 31–52 matches
| Metric | Rublev | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 74% |
| Sets won | 56% | 65% |
| Games won | 52% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rublev | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| Grand Slam | 0 | 2 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Finals | 0 | 2 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rublev | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 4 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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