Andrey Rublev vs Novak DjokovicPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Andrey Rublev and Novak Djokovic have met 6 times since 2021; Novak Djokovic leads 5–1. Their first meeting came at Nitto ATP Finals - Turin in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Djokovic leads 4–0. Djokovic has won the last 4 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Rublev leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Rublev has taken 4 sets to Djokovic's 13. Their most recent meeting: Novak Djokovic won at Rolex Paris Masters - Paris (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rublev | Djokovic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andrey Rublev | Novak Djokovic | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 19/29 | 44% | 4/9 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 7/18 | 75% | 3/4 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 17/47 | 62% | 8/13 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 49% | 19/39 | 33% | 4/12 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 25% | 2/8 | 100% | 1/1 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 55% | 11/20 | 80% | 4/5 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 25/30 | 63% | 5/8 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 63% | 19/30 | 50% | 4/8 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rublev 0, Djokovic 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rublev
💥 Big Hitter
Djokovic
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Nov 4, 2023
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard · Semifinals
Jul 11, 2023
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Jan 25, 2023
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Nov 16, 2022
Nitto ATP Finals - Turin
H Hard · Round Robin
Apr 24, 2022
Serbia Open - Belgrade
C Clay · Final
Nov 17, 2021
Nitto ATP Finals - Turin
H Hard · Round Robin
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rublev | Djokovic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Andrey Rublev | Novak Djokovic | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 88% | 7/8 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 75% | 6/8 |
| 5 or more | 83% | 15/18 | 50% | 4/8 |
| 10 or more | 44% | 8/18 | 25% | 2/8 |
| 15 or more | 11% | 2/18 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 20 or more | 6% | 1/18 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rublev | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–7 | 5–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.50 | 1.67 |
| ROI % | -14.8% | +17.7% |
| Units P/L | -2.67u | +1.42u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rublev | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 8 | 6 |
| Distance | 1,361 mi · 2,191 km | 663 mi · 1,067 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Djokovic has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Rublev's 50%).
| Opponent | Rublev | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Hubert Hurkacz | L 36 26 | L 46 36 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 61 26 36 | W |
| Daniil Medvedev | L 57 46 | W |
| Roman Safiullin | W 62 36 64 | W 76 63 36 63 |
| Nuno Borges | L 36 46 | W 63 76 |
| Mariano Navone | W 64 75 | L 67 75 64 26 16 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | W 64 46 64 | W 76 61 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 26 46 | L 46 46 46 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | W 62 64 | W 75 64 16 76 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | W 63 76 | W 63 64 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rei Sakamoto
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Alex de Minaur
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Roman Safiullin
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Tallon Griekspoor
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Daniil Medvedev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Final
Sep 29
Kyrian Jacquet
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Semifinals
Sep 28
Hugo Gaston
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Rinky Hijikata
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Hubert Hurkacz
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Alex de Minaur
China Open - Beijing · Final
Oct 6
Daniil Medvedev
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 5
Alexander Zverev
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Bu Yunchaokete
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Nuno Borges
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Mariano Navone
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 28–57 matches
| Metric | Rublev | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 71% |
| Sets won | 58% | 63% |
| Games won | 53% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rublev | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| Grand Slam | 0 | 2 |
| ATP Finals | 0 | 2 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rublev | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 4 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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