Andrey Rublev vs Marin CilicPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Andrey Rublev and Marin Cilic have met 7 times since 2015; Andrey Rublev leads 4–3. Their first meeting came at Geneva in 2015 on clay. On hard courts Rublev leads 4–1. On clay courts Cilic leads 2–0. Cilic has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Rublev has taken 12 sets to Cilic's 9. Their most recent meeting: Marin Cilic won at French Open - Paris (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rublev | Cilic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andrey Rublev | Marin Cilic | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 19/29 | 71% | 12/17 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 7/18 | 29% | 5/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 17/47 | 29% | 10/34 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 49% | 19/39 | 65% | 11/17 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 25% | 2/8 | 47% | 7/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 55% | 11/20 | 39% | 7/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 25/30 | 81% | 13/16 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 63% | 19/30 | 75% | 12/16 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rublev 3, Cilic 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rublev
💥 Big Hitter
Cilic
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
7 career meetings, newest first
Jun 1, 2022
French Open - Paris
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Jan 22, 2022
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 3rd Round
Aug 18, 2021
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 2nd Round
Mar 30, 2021
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 4th Round
Oct 17, 2019
Moscow
H Hard · Semifinals
Mar 9, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Miami
H Hard · Round of 64
May 13, 2015
Geneva
C Clay · Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rublev | Cilic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Andrey Rublev | Marin Cilic | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 100% | 4/4 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 75% | 3/4 |
| 5 or more | 83% | 15/18 | 75% | 3/4 |
| 10 or more | 44% | 8/18 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 15 or more | 11% | 2/18 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 20 or more | 6% | 1/18 | 0% | 0/4 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rublev | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–7 | 1–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.50 | 2.27 |
| ROI % | -14.8% | -56.3% |
| Units P/L | -2.67u | -2.25u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rublev | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 8 | 1 |
| Distance | 1,361 mi · 2,191 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 7 shared opponents, both Rublev and Cilic posted a 43% win rate.
| Opponent | Rublev | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Daniil Medvedev | L 57 46 | L 16 26 46 |
| Daniel Merida Aguilar | L 76 26 46 46 | L 63 16 16 |
| Otto Virtanen | W 67 67 60 62 76 | L 57 46 |
| Nuno Borges | L 36 46 | W 36 76 63 |
| Ugo Humbert | W 64 67 63 | L 57 36 |
| Zizou Bergs | L 46 16 | W 46 63 64 |
| Learner Tien | W 64 64 | W 75 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rei Sakamoto
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Alex de Minaur
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Roman Safiullin
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Tallon Griekspoor
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Daniil Medvedev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Final
Sep 29
Kyrian Jacquet
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Semifinals
Sep 28
Hugo Gaston
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Rinky Hijikata
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Arthur Fery
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 15
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Frances Tiafoe
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Sho Shimabukuro
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Daniil Medvedev
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Ugo Humbert
HSBC Championships - London · 1st Round
Jun 16
Daniil Medvedev
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · Quarterfinals
Jun 13
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–57 matches
| Metric | Rublev | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 49% |
| Sets won | 58% | 49% |
| Games won | 53% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rublev | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 2 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 3 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rublev | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 4 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
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