Andrey Rublev vs Marin CilicPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Andrey Rublev and Marin Cilic have met 7 times since 2015; Andrey Rublev leads 4–3. Their first meeting came at Geneva in 2015 on clay. On hard courts Rublev leads 4–1. On clay courts Cilic leads 2–0. Cilic has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Rublev has taken 12 sets to Cilic's 9. Their most recent meeting: Marin Cilic won at French Open - Paris (2022).
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- U.S. Open - New York
- Level
- Grand Slam
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- August 31 · 11:00 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
Priced around 3.44 or longer, Marin Cilic has won 6 of 22 matches, 27% against a fair-price expectation of 20%.
Priced around 1.30 or shorter, Andrey Rublev has won 173 of 223 matches, 78% against a fair-price expectation of 79%.
Book prices only, with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Sample sizes below ten are not shown.
Andrey Rublev and Marin Cilic meet next at the U.S. Open - New York on August 31 on hard.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rublev | Cilic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andrey Rublev | Marin Cilic | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 17/24 | 74% | 14/19 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 7/18 | 25% | 5/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 14/42 | 26% | 10/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 17/36 | 65% | 11/17 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 17% | 1/6 | 48% | 10/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 44% | 8/18 | 42% | 8/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 21/26 | 83% | 15/18 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 17/26 | 78% | 14/18 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rublev 3, Cilic 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rublev
🤖 Servebot
Cilic
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Andrey Rublev and Marin Cilic are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,568 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
7 career meetings, newest first
Jun 1, 2022
French Open - Paris
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Jan 22, 2022
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 3rd Round
Aug 18, 2021
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 2nd Round
Mar 30, 2021
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 4th Round
Oct 17, 2019
Moscow
H Hard · Semifinals
Mar 9, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Miami
H Hard · Round of 64
May 13, 2015
Geneva
C Clay · Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rublev | Cilic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Andrey Rublev | Marin Cilic | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 11/11 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 11/11 | 75% | 6/8 |
| 5 or more | 82% | 9/11 | 75% | 6/8 |
| 10 or more | 36% | 4/11 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 15 or more | 18% | 2/11 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 20 or more | 9% | 1/11 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rublev | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–5 | 3–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.44 | 2.30 |
| ROI % | -22.6% | -34.5% |
| Units P/L | -2.48u | -2.76u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rublev | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 3 |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 8 shared opponents, both Rublev and Cilic posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Rublev | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Nuno Borges | L 36 46 | W 36 76 63 |
| Ugo Humbert | W 64 67 63 | L 57 36 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 26 46 | L 26 26 |
| Nikoloz Basilashvili | W 36 76 62 | W 63 76 |
| Zizou Bergs | L 46 16 | W 46 63 64 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 57 36 46 | L 67 36 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | W 62 64 | L 26 46 |
| Learner Tien | W 64 64 | W 75 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nuno Borges
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Pablo Carreno Busta
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Juncheng Shang
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Luca Van Assche
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Timofey Skatov
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Luciano Darderi
Nordea Open - Bastad · Final
Jul 19
Alejandro Tabilo
Nordea Open - Bastad · Semifinals
Jul 18
Sebastian Baez
Nordea Open - Bastad · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 15
Frances Tiafoe
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Sho Shimabukuro
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Daniil Medvedev
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Ugo Humbert
HSBC Championships - London · 1st Round
Jun 16
Daniil Medvedev
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · Quarterfinals
Jun 13
Nuno Borges
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · 2nd Round
Jun 12
Denis Shapovalov
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · 1st Round
Jun 8
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 44–52 matches
| Metric | Rublev | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 48% |
| Sets won | 56% | 48% |
| Games won | 52% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rublev | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 2 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 2 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rublev | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 4 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 2 |