Andrey Rublev vs Luca Van AsschePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Andrey Rublev and Luca Van Assche have met 2 times since 2024; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Citi Open - Washington in 2024 on hard. Across all meetings Rublev has taken 3 sets to Assche's 3. Their most recent meeting: Luca Van Assche won at Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rublev | Van Assche | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andrey Rublev | Luca Van Assche | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 17/24 | 57% | 25/44 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 7/18 | 39% | 9/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 14/42 | 42% | 28/67 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 17/36 | 48% | 21/44 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 17% | 1/6 | 69% | 11/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 44% | 8/18 | 40% | 8/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 21/26 | 92% | 34/37 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 17/26 | 68% | 25/37 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rublev 0, Van Assche 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rublev
🤖 Servebot
Assche
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 58% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 927 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Andrey Rublev.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jul 24, 2026
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Jul 31, 2024
Citi Open - Washington
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rublev | Assche | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Andrey Rublev | Luca Van Assche | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 11/11 | 91% | 19/21 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 11/11 | 62% | 13/21 |
| 5 or more | 82% | 9/11 | 19% | 4/21 |
| 10 or more | 36% | 4/11 | 0% | 0/21 |
| 15 or more | 18% | 2/11 | 0% | 0/21 |
| 20 or more | 9% | 1/11 | 0% | 0/21 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rublev | Assche |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–5 | 14–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.44 | 1.88 |
| ROI % | -22.6% | +38.5% |
| Units P/L | -2.48u | +7.31u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rublev | Assche |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 4 |
| Matches | 3 | 7 |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | 2,443 mi · 3,931 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | CAN → USA → CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Rublev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (63% vs Assche's 38%).
| Opponent | Rublev | Assche |
|---|---|---|
| Pablo Carreno Busta | W 76 61 | W 63 46 62 |
| Timofey Skatov | W 61 61 | W 61 64 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | W 64 46 64 | L 67 63 36 |
| Tallon Griekspoor | L 57 67 | L 67 46 |
| Roman Safiullin | L 46 76 63 36 67 | L 57 63 26 |
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | W 61 16 63 76 | L 60 36 26 |
| Vit Kopriva | L 36 46 | W 63 62 |
| Jacob Fearnley | W 61 64 | L 63 26 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nuno Borges
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Pablo Carreno Busta
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Juncheng Shang
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Luca Van Assche
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Timofey Skatov
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Luciano Darderi
Nordea Open - Bastad · Final
Jul 19
Alejandro Tabilo
Nordea Open - Bastad · Semifinals
Jul 18
Sebastian Baez
Nordea Open - Bastad · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 25
Stefanos Sakellaridis
Quebec City Challenger · Final
Aug 23
Hugo Gaston
Quebec City Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 22
Benjamin Bonzi
Quebec City Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Rei Sakamoto
Quebec City Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Yannick Hanfmann
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Titouan Droguet
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 3
Alexander Blockx
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · Final
Jul 26
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 51–69 matches
| Metric | Rublev | Assche |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 65% |
| Sets won | 56% | 60% |
| Games won | 52% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rublev | Assche |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rublev | Assche |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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