Andrey Rublev vs Karen KhachanovPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Andrey Rublev and Karen Khachanov have met 6 times since 2016; they are level 3–3. Their first meeting came at Quimper in 2016 on hard. On clay courts they are level 1–1. On grass courts they are level 1–1. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Rublev has taken 7 sets to Khachanov's 6. Their most recent meeting: Karen Khachanov won at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rublev | Khachanov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andrey Rublev | Karen Khachanov | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 17/24 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 7/18 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 14/42 | 53% | 17/32 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 17/36 | 15% | 4/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 17% | 1/6 | 67% | 4/6 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 44% | 8/18 | 18% | 3/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 21/26 | 57% | 8/14 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 17/26 | 36% | 5/14 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 5 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rublev 3, Khachanov 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rublev
🤖 Servebot
Khachanov
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Andrey Rublev and Karen Khachanov are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,568 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
May 2, 2023
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 4th Round
Apr 13, 2023
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo
C Clay · 3rd Round
Jun 15, 2021
Noventi Open - Halle
G Grass · 1st Round
Mar 11, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells
H Hard · Round of 32
Jun 17, 2017
Halle
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Mar 3, 2016
Quimper
H Hard · Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rublev | Khachanov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Andrey Rublev | Karen Khachanov | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 11/11 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 11/11 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 5 or more | 82% | 9/11 | 86% | 6/7 |
| 10 or more | 36% | 4/11 | 43% | 3/7 |
| 15 or more | 18% | 2/11 | 14% | 1/7 |
| 20 or more | 9% | 1/11 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rublev | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–5 | 2–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.44 | 1.47 |
| ROI % | -22.6% | -59.0% |
| Units P/L | -2.48u | -4.13u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rublev | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 2 |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Rublev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Khachanov's 0%).
| Opponent | Rublev | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Juncheng Shang | L 57 64 67 | L 67 36 |
| Luciano Darderi | W 64 63 | L 67 63 36 46 |
| Flavio Cobolli | L 67 36 | L 60 67 76 26 26 |
| Jakub Mensik | L 36 67 64 62 36 | L 46 67 |
| Jesper de Jong | W 64 63 | L 57 75 26 76 26 |
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | W 61 16 63 76 | L 36 46 |
| Ugo Humbert | W 64 67 63 | L 36 63 67 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | W 62 64 | L 57 26 |
| Tallon Griekspoor | L 57 67 | L 36 75 46 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | L 67 46 | L 76 46 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nuno Borges
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Pablo Carreno Busta
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Juncheng Shang
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Luca Van Assche
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Timofey Skatov
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Luciano Darderi
Nordea Open - Bastad · Final
Jul 19
Alejandro Tabilo
Nordea Open - Bastad · Semifinals
Jul 18
Sebastian Baez
Nordea Open - Bastad · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 15
Terence Atmane
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Bernard Tomic
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Flavio Cobolli
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Yannick Hanfmann
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Billy Harris
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Ethan Quinn
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · 1st Round
Jun 16
Jesper de Jong
French Open - Paris · 3rd Round
May 29
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 41–52 matches
| Metric | Rublev | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 44% |
| Sets won | 56% | 49% |
| Games won | 52% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rublev | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rublev | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 1 |
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