Andrey Rublev vs Karen KhachanovPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Andrey Rublev and Karen Khachanov have met 6 times since 2016; they are level 3–3. Their first meeting came at Quimper in 2016 on hard. On clay courts they are level 1–1. On grass courts they are level 1–1. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Rublev has taken 7 sets to Khachanov's 6. Their most recent meeting: Karen Khachanov won at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rublev | Khachanov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andrey Rublev | Karen Khachanov | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 19/29 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 7/18 | 47% | 9/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 17/47 | 49% | 17/35 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 49% | 19/39 | 21% | 6/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 25% | 2/8 | 71% | 5/7 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 55% | 11/20 | 26% | 5/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 25/30 | 71% | 12/17 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 63% | 19/30 | 47% | 8/17 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 5 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rublev 3, Khachanov 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rublev
💥 Big Hitter
Khachanov
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
May 2, 2023
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 4th Round
Apr 13, 2023
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo
C Clay · 3rd Round
Jun 15, 2021
Noventi Open - Halle
G Grass · 1st Round
Mar 11, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells
H Hard · Round of 32
Jun 17, 2017
Halle
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Mar 3, 2016
Quimper
H Hard · Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rublev | Khachanov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Andrey Rublev | Karen Khachanov | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 5 or more | 83% | 15/18 | 80% | 12/15 |
| 10 or more | 44% | 8/18 | 33% | 5/15 |
| 15 or more | 11% | 2/18 | 7% | 1/15 |
| 20 or more | 6% | 1/18 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rublev | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–7 | 8–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.50 | 1.94 |
| ROI % | -14.8% | +12.5% |
| Units P/L | -2.67u | +1.62u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rublev | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 8 | 5 |
| Distance | 1,361 mi · 2,191 km | 663 mi · 1,067 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Rublev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Khachanov's 20%).
| Opponent | Rublev | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Alex de Minaur | L 61 26 36 | L 26 26 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | L 36 26 | L 67 26 |
| Tallon Griekspoor | W 64 57 76 | L 36 75 46 |
| Hugo Gaston | W 67 76 61 | W 36 63 76 |
| Learner Tien | W 64 64 | W 75 46 67 61 64 |
| Luciano Darderi | W 64 63 | L 67 63 36 46 |
| Jakub Mensik | L 36 67 64 62 36 | L 46 67 |
| Jesper de Jong | W 64 63 | L 57 75 26 76 26 |
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | W 61 16 63 76 | L 36 46 |
| Ugo Humbert | W 64 67 63 | L 36 63 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rei Sakamoto
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Alex de Minaur
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Roman Safiullin
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Tallon Griekspoor
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Daniil Medvedev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Final
Sep 29
Kyrian Jacquet
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Semifinals
Sep 28
Hugo Gaston
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Rinky Hijikata
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Adrian Mannarino
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Arthur Fery
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Hubert Hurkacz
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Alex Molcan
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Felix Auger-Aliassime
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Alexander Zverev
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 11
Alexander Blockx
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 10
Alexander Blockx
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 49–57 matches
| Metric | Rublev | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 53% |
| Sets won | 58% | 54% |
| Games won | 53% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rublev | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 2 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rublev | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 1 |
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