Andrey Rublev vs Grigor DimitrovPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Andrey Rublev and Grigor Dimitrov have met 8 times since 2017; they are level 4–4. Their first meeting came at US Open in 2017 on hard. On hard courts they are level 4–4. Across all meetings Rublev has taken 12 sets to Dimitrov's 10. Their most recent meeting: Grigor Dimitrov won at U.S. Open - New York (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rublev | Dimitrov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andrey Rublev | Grigor Dimitrov | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 19/29 | 73% | 8/11 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 7/18 | 38% | 6/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 17/47 | 33% | 9/27 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 49% | 19/39 | 37% | 7/19 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 25% | 2/8 | 57% | 4/7 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 55% | 11/20 | 29% | 4/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 25/30 | 71% | 10/14 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 63% | 19/30 | 57% | 8/14 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 5 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rublev 3, Dimitrov 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rublev
💥 Big Hitter
Dimitrov
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
8 career meetings, newest first
Sep 1, 2024
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 4th Round
Oct 14, 2023
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai
H Hard · Semifinals
Oct 27, 2022
Erste Bank Open - Vienna
H Hard · 2nd Round
Mar 18, 2022
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Oct 2, 2019
Beijing
H Hard · Round of 32
Feb 12, 2018
Rotterdam
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jan 11, 2018
Australian Open
H Hard · Round of 32
Aug 31, 2017
US Open
H Hard · Round of 64
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rublev | Dimitrov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Andrey Rublev | Grigor Dimitrov | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 5 or more | 83% | 15/18 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 10 or more | 44% | 8/18 | 20% | 1/5 |
| 15 or more | 11% | 2/18 | 20% | 1/5 |
| 20 or more | 6% | 1/18 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rublev | Dimitrov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–7 | 3–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.50 | 1.39 |
| ROI % | -14.8% | -50.6% |
| Units P/L | -2.67u | -3.54u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rublev | Dimitrov |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 8 | 1 |
| Distance | 1,361 mi · 2,191 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CHN | FRA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Rublev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Dimitrov's 30%).
| Opponent | Rublev | Dimitrov |
|---|---|---|
| Kyrian Jacquet | W 76 61 | L 36 67 |
| Timofey Skatov | W 61 61 | W 76 64 |
| Nuno Borges | L 36 46 | L 46 26 |
| Pablo Carreno Busta | W 76 61 | W 63 62 |
| Sebastian Baez | W 61 62 | L 61 36 46 |
| Jakub Mensik | L 36 67 64 62 36 | W 76 46 75 63 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | W 64 64 | L 36 36 |
| Jaime Faria | W 64 63 46 75 | L 63 57 67 |
| Tomas Machac | W 64 63 | L 46 46 36 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | L 67 46 | L 26 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rei Sakamoto
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Alex de Minaur
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Roman Safiullin
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Tallon Griekspoor
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Daniil Medvedev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Final
Sep 29
Kyrian Jacquet
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Semifinals
Sep 28
Hugo Gaston
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Rinky Hijikata
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Edas Butvilas
St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Holger Rune
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, DEN-BUL 3-2 · Rubber 4
Sep 19
Elmer Moller
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, DEN-BUL 3-2 · Rubber 1
Sep 18
Alexei Popyrin
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Timofey Skatov
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Lorenzo Giustino
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Sebastian Baez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Nuno Borges
Nordea Open - Bastad · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 33–57 matches
| Metric | Rublev | Dimitrov |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 42% |
| Sets won | 58% | 46% |
| Games won | 53% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rublev | Dimitrov |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 2 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 2 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rublev | Dimitrov |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 4 | 4 |
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