Andrey Rublev vs Arthur RinderknechPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Andrey Rublev and Arthur Rinderknech have met 4 times since 2023; Andrey Rublev leads 4–0. Their first meeting came at U.S. Open - New York in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Rublev leads 4–0. Rublev has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Rublev has taken 10 sets to Rinderknech's 3. Their most recent meeting: Andrey Rublev won at Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships - Dubai (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rublev | Rinderknech | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andrey Rublev | Arthur Rinderknech | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 19/29 | 57% | 8/14 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 7/18 | 55% | 12/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 17/47 | 50% | 18/36 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 49% | 19/39 | 31% | 5/16 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 25% | 2/8 | 76% | 13/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 55% | 11/20 | 37% | 11/30 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 25/30 | 60% | 9/15 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 63% | 19/30 | 53% | 8/15 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rublev 2, Rinderknech 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rublev
💥 Big Hitter
Rinderknech
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Feb 26, 2026
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships - Dubai
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Aug 28, 2024
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 2nd Round
Aug 1, 2024
Citi Open - Washington
H Hard · 3rd Round
Sep 2, 2023
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 3rd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rublev | Rinderknech | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Andrey Rublev | Arthur Rinderknech | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 19/19 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 19/19 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 5 or more | 84% | 16/19 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 10 or more | 47% | 9/19 | 63% | 5/8 |
| 15 or more | 16% | 3/19 | 63% | 5/8 |
| 20 or more | 5% | 1/19 | 38% | 3/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rublev | Rinderknech |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–7 | 3–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.49 | 2.14 |
| ROI % | -12.3% | -51.2% |
| Units P/L | -2.33u | -5.12u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rublev | Rinderknech |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 8 | — |
| Distance | 1,361 mi · 2,191 km | — |
| Route | CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Rublev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Rinderknech's 30%).
| Opponent | Rublev | Rinderknech |
|---|---|---|
| Daniil Medvedev | L 57 46 | L 46 46 46 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | W 64 64 | W 67 64 64 |
| Sebastian Baez | W 61 62 | L 67 62 46 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | W 63 76 | L 36 63 36 |
| Nikoloz Basilashvili | W 36 76 62 | W 75 64 |
| Hamad Medjedovic | W 36 62 62 | L 67 67 |
| Vit Kopriva | L 36 46 | L |
| Zizou Bergs | L 46 16 | L 36 67 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | L 67 46 | L 76 36 26 |
| Fabian Marozsan | W 62 64 | W 36 63 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rei Sakamoto
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Alex de Minaur
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Roman Safiullin
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Tallon Griekspoor
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Daniil Medvedev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Final
Sep 29
Kyrian Jacquet
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Semifinals
Sep 28
Hugo Gaston
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Rinky Hijikata
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CAN-FRA · Rubber 4
Sep 19
Liam Draxl
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CAN-FRA · Rubber 1
Sep 18
Daniil Medvedev
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Jaume Munar
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Sho Shimabukuro
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Brandon Nakashima
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 8
Frances Tiafoe
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–57 matches
| Metric | Rublev | Rinderknech |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 42% |
| Sets won | 58% | 47% |
| Games won | 53% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rublev | Rinderknech |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 2 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rublev | Rinderknech |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 4 | 0 |
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