Andrea Pellegrino vs Andrey RublevPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฎ๐นAndrea Pellegrino
#129 ยท 29 yrs ยท R
1 meeting ยท sets 1โ2

๐ท๐บAndrey Rublev
#24 ยท 28 yrs ยท R
Andrea Pellegrino and Andrey Rublev have met 1 time since 2026; Andrey Rublev leads 1โ0. Across all meetings Pellegrino has taken 1 sets to Rublev's 2. Their most recent meeting: Andrey Rublev won at Nordea Open - Bastad (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Pellegrino | Rublev | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andrea Pellegrino | Andrey Rublev | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 55% | 18/33 | 71% | 17/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 43% | 10/23 | 39% | 7/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 45% | 25/56 | 33% | 14/42 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 44% | 14/32 | 47% | 17/36 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 13/20 | 17% | 1/6 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 73% | 11/15 | 44% | 8/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 81% | 21/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 18/27 | 65% | 17/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Pellegrino 0, Rublev 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Pellegrino
๐น Frontrunner
Rublev
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
๐น Frontrunner vs ๐ค Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 767 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 16, 2026
Nordea Open - Bastad
C Clay ยท 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Pellegrino | Rublev | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Andrea Pellegrino | Andrey Rublev | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 100% | 11/11 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 6/12 | 100% | 11/11 |
| 5 or more | 17% | 2/12 | 82% | 9/11 |
| 10 or more | 17% | 2/12 | 36% | 4/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 18% | 2/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 9% | 1/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Pellegrino | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8โ6 | 6โ5 |
| Avg odds | 2.21 | 1.44 |
| ROI % | +11.5% | -22.6% |
| Units P/L | +1.61u | -2.48u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Pellegrino | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 3 |
| Distance | 0 mi ยท 0 km | 712 mi ยท 1,146 km |
| Route | CAN | CAN โ USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Rublev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (33% vs Pellegrino's 17%).
| Opponent | Pellegrino | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Zizou Bergs | L 36 26 | L 46 16 |
| Pablo Carreno Busta | L 36 46 | W 76 61 |
| Luciano Darderi | L 36 63 810 | W 64 63 |
| Flavio Cobolli | L 46 67 36 | L 67 36 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 26 36 | L 26 46 |
| Arthur Fils | W 40 | L 26 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Zizou Bergs
Quebec City Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Aug 21
Nishesh Basavareddy
Quebec City Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 18
Thiago Monteiro
San Marino Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jul 30
Carlo Alberto Caniato
San Marino Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 28
Andrey Rublev
Nordea Open - Bastad ยท 2nd Round
Jul 16
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Nordea Open - Bastad ยท 1st Round
Jul 14
Luciano Darderi
Bundesliga - men
Jul 10
Raul Brancaccio
Trieste Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jul 8
Nuno Borges
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 3rd Round
Aug 18
Pablo Carreno Busta
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Juncheng Shang
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 2nd Round
Aug 4
Luca Van Assche
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Timofey Skatov
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril ยท 2nd Round
Jul 23
Luciano Darderi
Nordea Open - Bastad ยท Final
Jul 19
Alejandro Tabilo
Nordea Open - Bastad ยท Semifinals
Jul 18
Sebastian Baez
Nordea Open - Bastad ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 51โ58 matches
| Metric | Pellegrino | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 57% |
| Sets won | 55% | 56% |
| Games won | 51% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Pellegrino | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Pellegrino | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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