Alexei Popyrin vs Yoshihito NishiokaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexei Popyrin and Yoshihito Nishioka have met 2 times since 2023; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Adelaide International 1 - Adelaide in 2023 on hard. Across all meetings Popyrin has taken 3 sets to Nishioka's 3. Their most recent meeting: Alexei Popyrin won at Roland Garros (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Popyrin | Nishioka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexei Popyrin | Yoshihito Nishioka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 45% | 5/11 | 79% | 11/14 |
| Wins a set when losing | 24% | 5/21 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 34% | 11/32 | 30% | 6/20 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 14% | 2/14 | 60% | 9/15 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 39% | 7/18 | 33% | 1/3 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 22% | 2/9 | 75% | 3/4 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 67% | 8/12 | 87% | 13/15 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 42% | 5/12 | 73% | 11/15 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Popyrin 0, Nishioka 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Popyrin
🤖 Servebot
Nishioka
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 53% vs 🎯 Baseliner across 1,590 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Alexei Popyrin.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the baseliner's precise groundstrokes.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
May 26, 2025
Roland Garros
C Clay · Round of 128
Jan 6, 2023
Adelaide International 1 - Adelaide
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Popyrin | Nishioka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–4 | 1–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.87 | 4.47 |
| ROI % | -0.9% | -10.3% |
| Units P/L | -0.07u | -0.31u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Popyrin | Nishioka |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 3 |
| Distance | — | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km |
| Route | — | JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alejandro Tabilo
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Grigor Dimitrov
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Hugo Gaston
Quebec City Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Francesco Maestrelli
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Titouan Droguet
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Thiago Agustin Tirante
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Raphael Collignon
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Roman Andres Burruchaga
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Dalibor Svrcina
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Aleksandr Shevchenko
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach · 1st Round Qualifying
Feb 14
Coleman Wong
Delray Beach Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Feb 14
Jurij Rodionov
Davis Cup, World Group, Q, JPN-AUT 2-3 · Rubber 5
Feb 7
George Loffhagen
Australian Open - Melbourne · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jan 14
Nerman Fatic
Australian Open - Melbourne · 1st Round Qualifying
Jan 12
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 20–37 matches
| Metric | Popyrin | Nishioka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 32% | 70% |
| Sets won | 36% | 67% |
| Games won | 47% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Popyrin | Nishioka |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Popyrin | Nishioka |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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