Alexei Popyrin vs Frances TiafoePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexei Popyrin and Frances Tiafoe have met 3 times since 2024; Frances Tiafoe leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at U.S. Open - New York in 2024 on hard. On clay courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Popyrin has taken 4 sets to Tiafoe's 6. Their most recent meeting: Frances Tiafoe won at US Men's Clay Court Championship - Houston (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Popyrin | Tiafoe | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexei Popyrin | Frances Tiafoe | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 45% | 5/11 | 61% | 20/33 |
| Wins a set when losing | 24% | 5/21 | 36% | 5/14 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 34% | 11/32 | 38% | 18/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 14% | 2/14 | 54% | 15/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 39% | 7/18 | 68% | 13/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 22% | 2/9 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 67% | 8/12 | 96% | 27/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 42% | 5/12 | 71% | 20/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Popyrin 0, Tiafoe 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Popyrin
🤖 Servebot
Tiafoe
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Apr 3, 2026
US Men's Clay Court Championship - Houston
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Apr 9, 2025
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo
C Clay · 2nd Round
Sep 1, 2024
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 4th Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Popyrin | Tiafoe | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexei Popyrin | Frances Tiafoe | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 100% | 18/18 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 89% | 16/18 |
| 5 or more | 86% | 6/7 | 56% | 10/18 |
| 10 or more | 57% | 4/7 | 17% | 3/18 |
| 15 or more | 29% | 2/7 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 20 or more | 14% | 1/7 | 0% | 0/18 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Popyrin | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–4 | 13–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.87 | 2.04 |
| ROI % | -0.9% | +23.4% |
| Units P/L | -0.07u | +4.21u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Popyrin | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 4 |
| Distance | — | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km |
| Route | — | JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Tiafoe has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Popyrin's 20%).
| Opponent | Popyrin | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Michelsen | W 60 46 61 | W 57 36 75 63 76 |
| Martin Damm | L 67 46 | W 64 46 36 63 64 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 57 36 | W 63 64 |
| Marin Cilic | L 46 46 | W 57 62 62 |
| Alexander Bublik | L 46 36 | L 64 67 67 64 36 |
| Jan Choinski | L 61 26 26 | W 46 62 75 62 |
| Jiri Lehecka | L 46 26 46 | L 46 67 |
| Taylor Fritz | W 64 64 | W 64 64 |
| Zachary Svajda | L 63 36 67 57 | W 64 36 75 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 26 06 | L 26 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alejandro Tabilo
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Grigor Dimitrov
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Hugo Gaston
Quebec City Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Francesco Maestrelli
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Titouan Droguet
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Thiago Agustin Tirante
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Raphael Collignon
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Roman Andres Burruchaga
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Yannick Hanfmann
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Arthur Fils
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Kei Nishikori
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Ben Shelton
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 11
Alex Michelsen
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 8
Daniil Medvedev
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 6
Valentin Vacherot
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 37–63 matches
| Metric | Popyrin | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 32% | 71% |
| Sets won | 36% | 63% |
| Games won | 47% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Popyrin | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Popyrin | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
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