Alexei Popyrin vs Frances TiafoePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexei Popyrin and Frances Tiafoe have met 3 times since 2024; Frances Tiafoe leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at U.S. Open - New York in 2024 on hard. On clay courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Popyrin has taken 4 sets to Tiafoe's 6. Their most recent meeting: Frances Tiafoe won at US Men's Clay Court Championship - Houston (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Popyrin | Tiafoe | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexei Popyrin | Frances Tiafoe | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 45% | 5/11 | 57% | 17/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 29% | 6/21 | 38% | 6/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 12/32 | 41% | 19/46 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 15% | 2/13 | 50% | 13/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 42% | 8/19 | 65% | 13/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 3/9 | 58% | 11/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 62% | 8/13 | 89% | 24/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 38% | 5/13 | 63% | 17/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Popyrin 0, Tiafoe 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Popyrin
🤖 Servebot
Tiafoe
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Apr 3, 2026
US Men's Clay Court Championship - Houston
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Apr 9, 2025
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo
C Clay · 2nd Round
Sep 1, 2024
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 4th Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Popyrin | Tiafoe | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexei Popyrin | Frances Tiafoe | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 100% | 20/20 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 95% | 19/20 |
| 5 or more | 88% | 7/8 | 60% | 12/20 |
| 10 or more | 38% | 3/8 | 10% | 2/20 |
| 15 or more | 13% | 1/8 | 0% | 0/20 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/20 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Popyrin | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–5 | 15–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.99 | 1.92 |
| ROI % | -33.8% | +31.0% |
| Units P/L | -2.70u | +6.20u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Popyrin | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 6 |
| Distance | 145 mi · 233 km | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | CAN | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Tiafoe has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Popyrin's 30%).
| Opponent | Popyrin | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Mubarak Shannan Zayid | W 60 62 | W 63 64 |
| Marin Cilic | L 46 46 | W 57 62 62 |
| Alexander Bublik | L 46 36 | L 64 67 67 64 36 |
| Jan Choinski | L 61 26 26 | W 46 62 75 62 |
| Jiri Lehecka | L 46 26 46 | L 46 67 |
| Taylor Fritz | W 64 64 | W 64 64 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 57 36 | W 36 63 76 |
| Zachary Svajda | L 63 36 67 57 | W 64 36 75 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 26 06 | L 26 26 |
| Jakub Mensik | W 63 26 64 | W 76 46 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Francesco Maestrelli
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Thiago Agustin Tirante
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Raphael Collignon
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Roman Andres Burruchaga
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Andy Andrade
Vancouver Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 29
Jiri Lehecka
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Jan Choinski
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Raphael Collignon
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · 1st Round
Jun 16
Arthur Fils
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final
Aug 23
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 23
Lorenzo Musetti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Felix Auger Aliassime
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Learner Tien
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 19
Lorenzo Sonego
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Marin Cilic
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Terence Atmane
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 35–56 matches
| Metric | Popyrin | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 31% | 66% |
| Sets won | 35% | 59% |
| Games won | 47% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Popyrin | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Popyrin | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
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