Alexandre Muller vs Daniil MedvedevPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexandre Muller and Daniil Medvedev have met 3 times since 2016; Daniil Medvedev leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at St. Remy in 2016 on hard. Medvedev has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Muller has taken 2 sets to Medvedev's 7. Their most recent meeting: Daniil Medvedev won at Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Muller | Medvedev | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexandre Muller | Daniil Medvedev | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 65% | 13/20 | 68% | 28/41 |
| Wins a set when losing | 15% | 4/27 | 47% | 7/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 23% | 11/47 | 36% | 20/56 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 38% | 8/21 | 51% | 25/49 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 35% | 8/23 | 50% | 2/4 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 8/16 | 39% | 9/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 17/19 | 94% | 34/36 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 68% | 13/19 | 78% | 28/36 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Muller 0, Medvedev 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Muller
🎯 Baseliner
Medvedev
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 53% vs 👑 The Complete Package across 380 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Alexandre Muller.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the the complete package's elite serve & return.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Apr 9, 2025
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo
C Clay · 2nd Round
Jul 3, 2024
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 2nd Round
Sep 9, 2016
St. Remy
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Muller | Medvedev | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexandre Muller | Daniil Medvedev | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 17/18 | 100% | 17/17 |
| 3 or more | 72% | 13/18 | 100% | 17/17 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 9/18 | 88% | 15/17 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/18 | 82% | 14/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 24% | 4/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 12% | 2/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Muller | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–9 | 11–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.10 | 1.32 |
| ROI % | -16.4% | -15.1% |
| Units P/L | -2.96u | -2.42u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Muller | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 8 | 9 |
| Distance | 1,033 mi · 1,662 km | 1,361 mi · 2,191 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Medvedev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Muller's 30%).
| Opponent | Muller | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Jan-Lennard Struff | L 67 06 | W 46 64 63 |
| Chak Pong Marco Lam | L 26 26 | W 63 67 63 |
| Rei Sakamoto | L 36 36 | W 67 63 61 |
| Brandon Nakashima | W 62 75 | L 76 67 16 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 57 36 | L 36 67 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 67 76 76 | W 63 64 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | W 26 03 | L 36 46 |
| Matteo Berrettini | L 46 26 | L 06 06 |
| Corentin Moutet | L 46 16 | L 67 46 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 75 67 67 | W 64 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Mattia Bellucci
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Rio Noguchi
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Mattia Bellucci
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Federico Cina
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 26
Moise Kouame
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Petr Bar Biryukov
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 23
Luka Pavlovic
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Jan-Lennard Struff
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Novak Djokovic
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 5
Francisco Cerundolo
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Jan-Lennard Struff
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Pablo Carreno Busta
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 2
Andrey Rublev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Final
Sep 29
Roman Safiullin
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Semifinals
Sep 28
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 50–68 matches
| Metric | Muller | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 44% | 72% |
| Sets won | 41% | 66% |
| Games won | 47% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Muller | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Muller | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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