Alexander Zverev vs Tommy PaulPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexander Zverev and Tommy Paul have met 4 times since 2020; Tommy Paul leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Abierto Mexicano Telcel - Acapulco in 2020 on hard. On hard courts Paul leads 3–1. Across all meetings Zverev has taken 5 sets to Paul's 7. Their most recent meeting: Tommy Paul won at Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Zverev | Paul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexander Zverev | Tommy Paul | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 30/44 | 57% | 17/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 8/17 | 57% | 8/14 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 22/61 | 48% | 21/44 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 56% | 29/52 | 38% | 15/39 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 25% | 2/8 | 100% | 4/4 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 70% | 23/33 | 62% | 13/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 39/46 | 79% | 22/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 30/46 | 61% | 17/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Zverev 0, Paul 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Zverev
💥 Big Hitter
Paul
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Alexander Zverev and Tommy Paul are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 4,120 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Aug 19, 2026
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 4th Round
Jan 21, 2025
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Mar 13, 2022
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 2nd Round
Feb 26, 2020
Abierto Mexicano Telcel - Acapulco
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Zverev | Paul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexander Zverev | Tommy Paul | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 92% | 11/12 |
| 5 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 75% | 9/12 |
| 10 or more | 61% | 11/18 | 17% | 2/12 |
| 15 or more | 33% | 6/18 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 6% | 1/18 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Zverev | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 16–4 | 8–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.19 | 1.81 |
| ROI % | -6.8% | +1.3% |
| Units P/L | -1.35u | +0.17u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Zverev | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 7 | 2 |
| Distance | 5,722 mi · 9,208 km | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km |
| Route | GBR → CHN | JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Zverev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Paul's 50%).
| Opponent | Zverev | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Tabilo | W 62 76 62 | L 16 26 |
| Learner Tien | W 76 63 | L 36 26 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 62 67 911 | W 26 63 63 |
| Dino Prizmic | W 62 64 | W 62 63 57 64 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | W 62 75 61 | W 76 63 |
| Luciano Darderi | W 62 62 76 | L 63 36 26 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | L 46 67 76 76 57 | L 46 36 46 |
| Lorenzo Sonego | W 64 36 67 75 64 | W 63 62 64 |
| Flavio Cobolli | W 61 46 64 67 61 | L 62 36 46 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | L 36 46 | W 64 67 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Quentin Halys
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Yibing Wu
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Novak Djokovic
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Juncheng Shang
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Cameron Norrie
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Learner Tien
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 27
Alex de Minaur
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 26
Dino Prizmic
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, GER-CRO · Rubber 4
Sep 20
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Alejandro Tabilo
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Sep 30
Carlos Alcaraz
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 6
Alexander Bublik
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Dino Prizmic
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Chak Pong Marco Lam
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Flavio Cobolli
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Alexander Zverev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 58–88 matches
| Metric | Zverev | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 78% | 69% |
| Sets won | 72% | 64% |
| Games won | 56% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Zverev | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Zverev | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 3 |
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