Alexander Zverev vs Tommy PaulPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

π©πͺAlexander Zverev
#2 Β· 29 yrs Β· R
4 meetings Β· sets 5β7

πΊπΈTommy Paul
#21 Β· 29 yrs Β· R
Alexander Zverev and Tommy Paul have met 4 times since 2020; Tommy Paul leads 3β1. Their first meeting came at Abierto Mexicano Telcel - Acapulco in 2020 on hard. On hard courts Paul leads 3β1. Across all meetings Zverev has taken 5 sets to Paul's 7. Their most recent meeting: Tommy Paul won at Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Zverev | Paul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexander Zverev | Tommy Paul | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 27/41 | 55% | 16/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 37% | 7/19 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 21/60 | 49% | 20/41 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 25/48 | 39% | 14/36 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 27% | 3/11 | 100% | 4/4 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 68% | 19/28 | 62% | 13/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 36/42 | 81% | 21/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 64% | 27/42 | 62% | 16/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Zverev 0, Paul 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Zverev
π€ Servebot
Paul
π₯ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
π€ Servebot vs π₯ Big Hitter is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Aug 19, 2026
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard Β· 4th Round
Jan 21, 2025
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard Β· Quarterfinals
Mar 13, 2022
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard Β· 2nd Round
Feb 26, 2020
Abierto Mexicano Telcel - Acapulco
H Hard Β· 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Zverev | Paul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexander Zverev | Tommy Paul | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 5 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 80% | 12/15 |
| 10 or more | 67% | 12/18 | 33% | 5/15 |
| 15 or more | 28% | 5/18 | 13% | 2/15 |
| 20 or more | 6% | 1/18 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Zverev | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14β4 | 10β4 |
| Avg odds | 1.43 | 1.54 |
| ROI % | -5.0% | +12.2% |
| Units P/L | -0.90u | +1.71u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Zverev | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 5 |
| Distance | 712 mi Β· 1,146 km | 712 mi Β· 1,146 km |
| Route | CAN β USA | CAN β USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Zverev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Paul's 70%).
| Opponent | Zverev | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Hubert Hurkacz | L 36 46 | W 64 67 63 |
| Learner Tien | W 63 67 61 76 | L 36 26 |
| Valentin Royer | W 61 63 76 | W 64 76 |
| Taylor Fritz | W 64 64 62 | W 64 63 |
| Alexandre Muller | W 63 46 63 64 | W 61 62 61 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | W 57 60 62 | L 76 46 36 |
| Raphael Collignon | W 76 76 | W 62 36 76 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | W 62 64 | W 63 76 |
| Tomas Machac | W 64 62 62 | L 62 36 36 |
| Lorenzo Sonego | W 64 63 | W 63 62 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Tommy Paul
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 4th Round
Aug 19
Terence Atmane
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 3rd Round
Aug 18
Cameron Norrie
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 16
Tallon Griekspoor
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· 2nd Round
Aug 5
Jannik Sinner
Wimbledon - London Β· Final
Jul 12
Arthur Fery
Wimbledon - London Β· Semifinals
Jul 10
Taylor Fritz
Wimbledon - London Β· Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Jiri Lehecka
Wimbledon - London Β· 4th Round
Jul 7
Alexander Zverev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 4th Round
Aug 19
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 3rd Round
Aug 18
Hubert Hurkacz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 16
Learner Tien
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· 3rd Round
Aug 8
Valentin Royer
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· 2nd Round
Aug 6
Kamil Majchrzak
Citi Open - Washington Β· 1st Round
Jul 28
Hubert Hurkacz
Wimbledon - London Β· 3rd Round
Jul 3
Soonwoo Kwon
Wimbledon - London Β· 2nd Round
Jul 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 50β80 matches
| Metric | Zverev | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 74% | 70% |
| Sets won | 68% | 65% |
| Games won | 55% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Zverev | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Zverev | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 3 |
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