Alexander Bublik vs Francisco CerundoloPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexander Bublik and Francisco Cerundolo have met 2 times since 2025; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Australian Open - Melbourne in 2025 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Bublik has taken 2 sets to Cerundolo's 3. Their most recent meeting: Alexander Bublik won at Erste Bank Open - Vienna (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bublik | Cerundolo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexander Bublik | Francisco Cerundolo | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 19/28 | 73% | 22/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 26% | 5/19 | 33% | 6/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 14/47 | 29% | 14/48 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 45% | 17/38 | 63% | 17/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 44% | 4/9 | 55% | 11/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 14/28 | 47% | 7/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 22/25 | 84% | 27/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 19/25 | 69% | 22/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bublik 1, Cerundolo 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bublik
🤖 Servebot
Cerundolo
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 3,438 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Alexander Bublik.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Oct 23, 2025
Erste Bank Open - Vienna
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jan 14, 2025
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bublik | Cerundolo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexander Bublik | Francisco Cerundolo | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 85% | 11/13 |
| 3 or more | 92% | 11/12 | 77% | 10/13 |
| 5 or more | 92% | 11/12 | 62% | 8/13 |
| 10 or more | 58% | 7/12 | 15% | 2/13 |
| 15 or more | 42% | 5/12 | 8% | 1/13 |
| 20 or more | 8% | 1/12 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bublik | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–5 | 8–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.75 | 2.17 |
| ROI % | -9.9% | +14.1% |
| Units P/L | -1.19u | +2.12u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bublik | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 4 | 6 |
| Distance | 5,722 mi · 9,208 km | 5,722 mi · 9,208 km |
| Route | GBR → CHN | GBR → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Bublik and Cerundolo posted a 70% win rate.
| Opponent | Bublik | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nakashima | W 67 63 76 | W 67 63 64 |
| Jakub Mensik | L 46 67 | L 36 63 26 |
| Tomas Machac | W 64 76 | L 67 36 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | W 63 63 | W 57 64 63 |
| Taylor Fritz | L 67 46 46 | W 36 46 63 64 64 |
| Tommy Paul | L 46 63 76 16 36 | W 67 64 63 |
| Jan-Lennard Struff | W 76 36 62 | W 57 75 46 62 63 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 63 64 | W 63 75 |
| Jaume Munar | W 64 67 76 | L 16 46 36 |
| Jenson Brooksby | W 64 64 64 | W 60 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Brandon Nakashima
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Tomas Machac
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Jakub Mensik
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Rafael Jodar
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 25
Tommy Paul
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Adrian Mannarino
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
J.J. Wolf
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Quentin Halys
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · Final
Jul 25
Jakub Mensik
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Roman Safiullin
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Daniil Medvedev
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Jakub Mensik
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Botic van de Zandschulp
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Casper Ruud
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 25
Mert Alkaya
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, ARG-TUR 3-1 · Rubber 4
Sep 20
Yanki Erel
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, ARG-TUR 3-1 · Rubber 1
Sep 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 59–60 matches
| Metric | Bublik | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 63% |
| Sets won | 58% | 60% |
| Games won | 52% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bublik | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bublik | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
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