Alexander Bublik vs Francisco CerundoloPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexander Bublik and Francisco Cerundolo have met 2 times since 2025; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Australian Open - Melbourne in 2025 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Bublik has taken 2 sets to Cerundolo's 3. Their most recent meeting: Alexander Bublik won at Erste Bank Open - Vienna (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bublik | Cerundolo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexander Bublik | Francisco Cerundolo | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 20/29 | 75% | 21/28 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 6/19 | 28% | 5/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 15/48 | 26% | 12/46 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 18/42 | 61% | 17/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 3/6 | 50% | 9/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 52% | 14/27 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 84% | 26/31 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 20/27 | 68% | 21/31 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bublik 1, Cerundolo 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bublik
🤖 Servebot
Cerundolo
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 57% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 2,280 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Alexander Bublik.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Oct 23, 2025
Erste Bank Open - Vienna
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jan 14, 2025
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bublik | Cerundolo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexander Bublik | Francisco Cerundolo | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 56% | 5/9 |
| 5 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 33% | 3/9 |
| 10 or more | 62% | 8/13 | 11% | 1/9 |
| 15 or more | 31% | 4/13 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 23% | 3/13 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bublik | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–5 | 5–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.61 | 1.89 |
| ROI % | -6.8% | +9.4% |
| Units P/L | -0.88u | +0.85u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bublik | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 3 |
| Events | — | 3 |
| Matches | — | 3 |
| Distance | — | 3,258 mi · 5,243 km |
| Route | — | MEX → CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Bublik has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Cerundolo's 60%).
| Opponent | Bublik | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 63 64 | W 63 75 |
| Jaume Munar | W 64 67 76 | L 16 46 36 |
| Tommy Paul | W 76 67 63 67 61 | W 67 64 63 |
| Jenson Brooksby | W 64 64 64 | W 60 64 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | W 63 63 | W 63 64 67 64 |
| Learner Tien | L 16 64 67 | L 64 36 46 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 46 16 16 | L 63 46 36 |
| Lorenzo Musetti | W 76 63 | L 67 46 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | W 64 64 | W 60 62 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | L 26 57 | W 75 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Quentin Halys
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · Final
Jul 25
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · Semifinals
Jul 24
Alex Molcan
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · Quarterfinals
Jul 23
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Quentin Halys
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 2nd Round
Jul 17
Taylor Fritz
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Frances Tiafoe
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Kyrian Jacquet
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Nuno Borges
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Alex Michelsen
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Arthur Gea
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Jaume Munar
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Tommy Paul
HSBC Championships - London · Final
Jun 21
Brandon Nakashima
HSBC Championships - London · Semifinals
Jun 20
Arthur Fery
HSBC Championships - London · Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Jenson Brooksby
HSBC Championships - London · 2nd Round
Jun 17
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 54–59 matches
| Metric | Bublik | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 61% |
| Sets won | 57% | 59% |
| Games won | 51% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bublik | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bublik | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
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