Alexander Bublik vs Frances TiafoePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexander Bublik and Frances Tiafoe have met 5 times since 2019; Alexander Bublik leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at Washington in 2019 on hard. On grass courts Bublik leads 2–1. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Bublik has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Bublik has taken 8 sets to Tiafoe's 8. Their most recent meeting: Alexander Bublik won at Wimbledon - London (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bublik | Tiafoe | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexander Bublik | Frances Tiafoe | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 20/29 | 57% | 17/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 6/19 | 38% | 6/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 15/48 | 41% | 19/46 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 18/42 | 50% | 13/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 3/6 | 65% | 13/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 52% | 14/27 | 58% | 11/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 89% | 24/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 20/27 | 63% | 17/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bublik 1, Tiafoe 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bublik
🤖 Servebot
Tiafoe
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Jul 4, 2026
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 3rd Round
Oct 30, 2023
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard · 1st Round
Jul 1, 2022
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 3rd Round
Jun 20, 2022
Viking International - Eastbourne
G Grass · 1st Round
Jul 30, 2019
Washington
H Hard · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bublik | Tiafoe | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexander Bublik | Frances Tiafoe | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 100% | 20/20 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 95% | 19/20 |
| 5 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 60% | 12/20 |
| 10 or more | 62% | 8/13 | 10% | 2/20 |
| 15 or more | 31% | 4/13 | 0% | 0/20 |
| 20 or more | 23% | 3/13 | 0% | 0/20 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bublik | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–5 | 15–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.61 | 1.92 |
| ROI % | -6.8% | +31.0% |
| Units P/L | -0.88u | +6.20u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bublik | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 6 |
| Distance | — | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | — | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Tiafoe has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Bublik's 50%).
| Opponent | Bublik | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Lorenzo Musetti | W 76 63 | W 76 75 |
| Hugo Nys | W 60 63 | W 63 64 |
| Learner Tien | L 16 64 67 | W 64 46 64 |
| Taylor Fritz | L 67 46 46 | W 64 64 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 16 26 | W 36 63 76 |
| Mattia Bellucci | L 67 16 | W 63 64 |
| Jiri Lehecka | W 62 75 | L 46 67 |
| Rinky Hijikata | L 76 67 36 | W 64 64 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | W 67 76 75 | W 67 76 64 67 64 |
| Tommy Paul | W 76 67 63 67 61 | L 57 64 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Quentin Halys
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · Final
Jul 25
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · Semifinals
Jul 24
Alex Molcan
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · Quarterfinals
Jul 23
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Quentin Halys
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 2nd Round
Jul 17
Taylor Fritz
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Frances Tiafoe
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Kyrian Jacquet
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Arthur Fils
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final
Aug 23
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 23
Lorenzo Musetti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Felix Auger Aliassime
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Learner Tien
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 19
Lorenzo Sonego
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Marin Cilic
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Terence Atmane
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 56–59 matches
| Metric | Bublik | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 66% |
| Sets won | 57% | 59% |
| Games won | 51% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bublik | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bublik | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Grass | 2 | 1 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.