Alexander Bublik vs Frances TiafoePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexander Bublik and Frances Tiafoe have met 5 times since 2019; Alexander Bublik leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at Washington in 2019 on hard. On grass courts Bublik leads 2–1. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Bublik has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Bublik has taken 8 sets to Tiafoe's 8. Their most recent meeting: Alexander Bublik won at Wimbledon - London (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bublik | Tiafoe | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexander Bublik | Frances Tiafoe | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 19/28 | 61% | 20/33 |
| Wins a set when losing | 26% | 5/19 | 36% | 5/14 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 14/47 | 38% | 18/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 45% | 17/38 | 54% | 15/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 44% | 4/9 | 68% | 13/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 14/28 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 22/25 | 96% | 27/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 19/25 | 71% | 20/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bublik 1, Tiafoe 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bublik
🤖 Servebot
Tiafoe
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Jul 4, 2026
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 3rd Round
Oct 30, 2023
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard · 1st Round
Jul 1, 2022
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 3rd Round
Jun 20, 2022
Viking International - Eastbourne
G Grass · 1st Round
Jul 30, 2019
Washington
H Hard · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bublik | Tiafoe | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexander Bublik | Frances Tiafoe | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 100% | 18/18 |
| 3 or more | 92% | 11/12 | 89% | 16/18 |
| 5 or more | 92% | 11/12 | 56% | 10/18 |
| 10 or more | 58% | 7/12 | 17% | 3/18 |
| 15 or more | 42% | 5/12 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 20 or more | 8% | 1/12 | 0% | 0/18 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bublik | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–5 | 13–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.75 | 2.04 |
| ROI % | -9.9% | +23.4% |
| Units P/L | -1.19u | +4.21u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bublik | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| Distance | 5,722 mi · 9,208 km | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km |
| Route | GBR → CHN | JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Tiafoe has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Bublik's 30%).
| Opponent | Bublik | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nakashima | W 67 63 76 | W 75 63 |
| Jakub Mensik | L 46 67 | W 76 46 76 |
| Valentin Vacherot | L 67 67 | W 64 62 64 |
| Tommy Paul | L 46 63 76 16 36 | L 57 64 67 |
| Lorenzo Musetti | W 76 63 | W 76 75 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 16 26 | W 63 64 |
| Learner Tien | L 16 64 67 | W 64 46 64 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | W 57 64 62 | L |
| Taylor Fritz | L 67 46 46 | W 64 64 |
| Mattia Bellucci | L 67 16 | W 63 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Brandon Nakashima
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Tomas Machac
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Jakub Mensik
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Rafael Jodar
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 25
Tommy Paul
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Adrian Mannarino
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
J.J. Wolf
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Quentin Halys
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · Final
Jul 25
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Yannick Hanfmann
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Arthur Fils
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Kei Nishikori
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Ben Shelton
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 11
Alex Michelsen
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 8
Daniil Medvedev
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 6
Valentin Vacherot
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 59–63 matches
| Metric | Bublik | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 71% |
| Sets won | 58% | 63% |
| Games won | 52% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bublik | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bublik | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Grass | 2 | 1 |
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