Alexander Bublik vs Denis ShapovalovPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexander Bublik and Denis Shapovalov have met 3 times since 2020; Alexander Bublik leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Open 13 Provence - Marseille in 2020 on hard. On hard courts Bublik leads 2–0. Bublik has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Bublik has taken 6 sets to Shapovalov's 3. Their most recent meeting: Alexander Bublik won at Open Sud de France - Montpellier (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bublik | Shapovalov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexander Bublik | Denis Shapovalov | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 19/28 | 45% | 10/22 |
| Wins a set when losing | 26% | 5/19 | 35% | 6/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 14/47 | 46% | 18/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 45% | 17/38 | 35% | 9/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 44% | 4/9 | 69% | 9/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 14/28 | 62% | 8/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 22/25 | 82% | 18/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 19/25 | 45% | 10/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bublik 0, Shapovalov 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bublik
🤖 Servebot
Shapovalov
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jan 31, 2024
Open Sud de France - Montpellier
H Hard · 2nd Round
May 4, 2021
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 2nd Round
Feb 21, 2020
Open 13 Provence - Marseille
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bublik | Shapovalov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexander Bublik | Denis Shapovalov | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 100% | 17/17 |
| 3 or more | 92% | 11/12 | 82% | 14/17 |
| 5 or more | 92% | 11/12 | 71% | 12/17 |
| 10 or more | 58% | 7/12 | 41% | 7/17 |
| 15 or more | 42% | 5/12 | 6% | 1/17 |
| 20 or more | 8% | 1/12 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bublik | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–5 | 12–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.75 | 2.15 |
| ROI % | -9.9% | +12.3% |
| Units P/L | -1.19u | +2.09u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bublik | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 7 |
| Distance | 5,722 mi · 9,208 km | 2,080 mi · 3,347 km |
| Route | GBR → CHN | CHN → JPN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Bublik and Shapovalov posted a 60% win rate.
| Opponent | Bublik | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Carlos Alcaraz | L 36 06 | L |
| Alejandro Tabilo | W 64 64 | W 75 36 64 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | W 67 76 75 | L 76 36 36 |
| Adrian Mannarino | W 63 61 61 | W 67 63 62 |
| Rafael Jodar | L 26 36 | L 57 64 57 |
| Vit Kopriva | W 36 76 62 | W 62 63 |
| Tallon Griekspoor | L 36 67 | W 64 76 |
| Rinky Hijikata | L 76 67 36 | W 26 63 62 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 63 64 | W 63 26 76 |
| Alex Molcan | W 63 62 | L 46 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Brandon Nakashima
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Tomas Machac
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Jakub Mensik
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Rafael Jodar
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 25
Tommy Paul
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Adrian Mannarino
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
J.J. Wolf
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Quentin Halys
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · Final
Jul 25
Carlos Alcaraz
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Alejandro Tabilo
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Sho Shimabukuro
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Hubert Hurkacz
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Semifinals
Sep 28
Adrian Mannarino
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Vit Kopriva
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Tallon Griekspoor
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Ben Shelton
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–59 matches
| Metric | Bublik | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 56% |
| Sets won | 58% | 52% |
| Games won | 52% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bublik | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 2 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bublik | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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