Alexander Bublik vs Denis ShapovalovPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexander Bublik and Denis Shapovalov have met 3 times since 2020; Alexander Bublik leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Open 13 Provence - Marseille in 2020 on hard. On hard courts Bublik leads 2–0. Bublik has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Bublik has taken 6 sets to Shapovalov's 3. Their most recent meeting: Alexander Bublik won at Open Sud de France - Montpellier (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bublik | Shapovalov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexander Bublik | Denis Shapovalov | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 20/29 | 44% | 8/18 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 6/19 | 28% | 5/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 15/48 | 42% | 15/36 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 18/42 | 30% | 7/23 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 3/6 | 62% | 8/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 52% | 14/27 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 83% | 15/18 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 20/27 | 44% | 8/18 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bublik 0, Shapovalov 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bublik
🤖 Servebot
Shapovalov
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jan 31, 2024
Open Sud de France - Montpellier
H Hard · 2nd Round
May 4, 2021
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 2nd Round
Feb 21, 2020
Open 13 Provence - Marseille
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bublik | Shapovalov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexander Bublik | Denis Shapovalov | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 100% | 10/10 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 80% | 8/10 |
| 5 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 70% | 7/10 |
| 10 or more | 62% | 8/13 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 15 or more | 31% | 4/13 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 23% | 3/13 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bublik | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–5 | 6–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.61 | 2.01 |
| ROI % | -6.8% | -7.8% |
| Units P/L | -0.88u | -0.86u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bublik | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 5 |
| Distance | — | 1,847 mi · 2,972 km |
| Route | — | MEX → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Shapovalov has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Bublik's 50%).
| Opponent | Bublik | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Adrian Mannarino | L 36 26 | W 61 64 |
| Dalibor Svrcina | W 61 61 | W 64 62 |
| Rinky Hijikata | L 76 67 36 | W 26 63 62 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 63 64 | W 63 26 76 |
| Alex Molcan | W 63 62 | L 46 46 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 46 16 16 | L 46 16 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | L 26 57 | W 62 36 64 |
| Tallon Griekspoor | L 36 67 | W 64 36 62 |
| Jiri Lehecka | W 62 75 | L 46 46 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | W 63 63 | L 57 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Quentin Halys
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · Final
Jul 25
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · Semifinals
Jul 24
Alex Molcan
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · Quarterfinals
Jul 23
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Quentin Halys
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 2nd Round
Jul 17
Taylor Fritz
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Frances Tiafoe
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Kyrian Jacquet
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Rafael Jodar
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Adrian Mannarino
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Arthur Gea
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Final
Aug 1
Cameron Norrie
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Semifinals
Jul 31
Dalibor Svrcina
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Rinky Hijikata
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 1st Round
Jul 29
Pablo Carreno Busta
Wimbledon · Round of 128
Jun 30
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–59 matches
| Metric | Bublik | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 46% |
| Sets won | 57% | 43% |
| Games won | 51% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bublik | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| ATP World Tour 250 | 2 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bublik | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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