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Head-to-Head

Alex Michelsen vs Francisco CerundoloPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Alex Michelsen

🇺🇸Alex Michelsen

#35 · 22 yrs · R

3
2–1

3 meetings · sets 4–3

Francisco Cerundolo

🇦🇷Francisco Cerundolo

#20 · 28 yrs · R

Alex Michelsen and Francisco Cerundolo have met 3 times since 2025; Alex Michelsen leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Terra Wortmann Open - Halle in 2025 on grass. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Michelsen has taken 4 sets to Cerundolo's 3. Their most recent meeting: Alex Michelsen won at National Bank Open - Montreal (2026).

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

IndicatorMichelsenCerundolo
Wins in straight sets69%73%
Wins a set when losing33%33%
Goes to a deciding set32%29%
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite48%63%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog47%55%
Tiebreak sets won55%47%
Wins after taking set 1100%84%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 179%69%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Michelsen 1, Cerundolo 1).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Michelsen

💥 Big Hitter

Power groundstrokesHigh winner countAggressive shotsShort rallies
vs

Cerundolo

🪃 Counterpuncher

Elite BP conversionStrong return gameDefensive consistencyRally tolerance

Matchup analysis

💥 Big Hitter vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,969 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.

Previous meetings

3 career meetings, newest first

Aug 6, 2026

National Bank Open - Montreal

H Hard · 2nd Round

63
64
Michelsen

Oct 21, 2025

Erste Bank Open - Vienna

H Hard · 1st Round

36
16
Cerundolo

Jun 17, 2025

Terra Wortmann Open - Halle

G Grass · 1st Round

26
75
64
Michelsen

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

OutcomeMichelsenCerundolo
1 or more95%85%
3 or more85%77%
5 or more65%62%
10 or more20%15%
15 or more5%8%
20 or more5%0%

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

MetricMichelsenCerundolo
W-L13–68–7
Avg odds1.812.17
ROI %-1.6%+14.1%
Units P/L-0.31u+2.12u

Travel

Last 30 days

MetricMichelsenCerundolo
Countries22
Events23
Matches26
Distance1,092 mi · 1,758 km5,722 mi · 9,208 km
RouteJPN → CHNGBR → CHN

Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Cerundolo has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Michelsen's 60%).

OpponentMichelsenCerundolo
Botic van de Zandschulp
L
46
46
W
57
64
63
Daniil Medvedev
L
26
46
L
67
36
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
W
76
64
64
W
63
75
Taylor Fritz
L
36
46
W
36
46
63
64
64
Jan-Lennard Struff
W
61
36
61
W
57
75
46
62
63
Brandon Nakashima
W
63
64
64
W
67
63
64
Alejandro Tabilo
W
36
63
64
W
60
62
Jannik Sinner
L
57
67
L
57
16
Ugo Humbert
W
75
67
76
W
64
63
Mariano Navone
W
26
62
75
W
63
64

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Michelsen
LLLWWWWL
L

Botic van de Zandschulp

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round

46
46

Oct 10

L

Carlos Alcaraz

Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round

617
64
16

Oct 1

L

Frances Tiafoe

U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals

75
63
57
36
667

Sep 8

W

Tomas Martin Etcheverry

U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round

766
64
64

Sep 6

W

Daniel Merida Aguilar

U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round

765
64
63

Sep 5

W

Brandon Nakashima

U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round

63
64
64

Sep 2

W

Federico Cina

U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round

64
61
60

Aug 31

L

Taylor Fritz

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round

36
46

Aug 16

Cerundolo
LWLWWLWW
L

Jakub Mensik

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round

36
63
26

Oct 11

W

Roman Safiullin

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round

765
63

Oct 9

L

Daniil Medvedev

China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals

647
36

Oct 4

W

Jakub Mensik

China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round

63
63

Oct 3

W

Botic van de Zandschulp

China Open - Beijing · 1st Round

57
64
63

Oct 1

L

Casper Ruud

Laver Cup - London · Round Robin

764
46
810

Sep 25

W

Mert Alkaya

Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, ARG-TUR 3-1 · Rubber 4

61
60

Sep 20

W

Yanki Erel

Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, ARG-TUR 3-1 · Rubber 1

60
64

Sep 19

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

↑ MichelsenMichelsen ahead↓ Cerundolo

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 60–63 matches

MetricMichelsenCerundolo
Matches won60%63%
Sets won60%60%
Games won53%54%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

StageMichelsenCerundolo
ATP 50011
ATP Masters 100010

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

SurfaceMichelsenCerundolo
Hard11
Grass10

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Alex Michelsen vs Francisco Cerundolo FAQ

Alex Michelsen leads the head-to-head 2–1 over 3 meetings.